~~~The Official Iowa Caucus discussion Thread~~~

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SSSnail

Lifer
Nov 29, 2006
17,458
83
86
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: bamacre
Originally posted by: SSSnail
Originally posted by: rrahman1
^ check out this larry king cnn poll: Who would you vote for in the Iowa caucus?
http://www.cnn.com/CNN/Programs/larry.king.live/

Who would you vote for in the Iowa caucus?
--- snipped ---
This is not a scientific poll

Yeah, I don't even know why they bother with these silly "polls."

Online polls and actual real world polls with parameters and statisticans conducting them are two entirely different things.

Yeah, we all know how those turned out as well.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
126
Originally posted by: SSSnail
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: bamacre
Originally posted by: SSSnail
Originally posted by: rrahman1
^ check out this larry king cnn poll: Who would you vote for in the Iowa caucus?
http://www.cnn.com/CNN/Programs/larry.king.live/

Who would you vote for in the Iowa caucus?
--- snipped ---
This is not a scientific poll

Yeah, I don't even know why they bother with these silly "polls."

Online polls and actual real world polls with parameters and statisticans conducting them are two entirely different things.

Yeah, we all know how those turned out as well.


Other than 2000, with flawed exit polling in Florida, polls have been pretty accurate. Zogby HAS an extremely good record on polling. And his latest poll puts Paul at 5th in Iowa with 9%. Polls in the few weeks before an election are extremely reliable. Several months to a year out are not.
 

KarmaPolice

Diamond Member
Jun 24, 2004
3,066
0
0
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: bamacre
Originally posted by: SSSnail
Originally posted by: rrahman1
^ check out this larry king cnn poll: Who would you vote for in the Iowa caucus?
http://www.cnn.com/CNN/Programs/larry.king.live/

Who would you vote for in the Iowa caucus?
--- snipped ---
This is not a scientific poll

Yeah, I don't even know why they bother with these silly "polls."

Online polls and actual real world polls with parameters and statisticans conducting them are two entirely different things.

Thats not even a poll...

I like Ron Paul but all that is a click fest
 

GenHoth

Platinum Member
Jul 5, 2007
2,106
0
0
Originally posted by: homercles337
Why are we supposed to care so much about what some backward state full of yokels thinks? We are not an agrarian society anymore, why does a backward state like this get so much attention and power?

Thanks a lot, Jerk!
 

SSSnail

Lifer
Nov 29, 2006
17,458
83
86
Originally posted by: GenHoth
Originally posted by: homercles337
Why are we supposed to care so much about what some backward state full of yokels thinks? We are not an agrarian society anymore, why does a backward state like this get so much attention and power?

Thanks a lot, electoral colleges!

 

randym431

Golden Member
Jun 4, 2003
1,270
1
0
On CBS news this morning they cited a poll done by the Des Moines Registar

The register is a pretty defunked paper. I believe they are up for sale, or have been sold lately (ops...cat out of the bag).

They definitely have an agenda and they rotate in their own little world.
The register means NOTHING!

BYW, iOwa doesn?t matter. Its a blip, as they say.
People that work evenings/nights (like the cops, firemen, clerks) can not even participate. No allowance for absentee ballots either in the caucus method.

The caucus system is hugely flawed and in NO WAY a true representation of the national (or state of iOwa - for that matter) voting trends.

The only reason iOwa has the caucus is their greed. It allowed them to go first before New Hamp. If iOwa did away with the caucus, they'd fall behind New Hamp and that would spell death for iOwa having ANY impact.

It truly means and should mean NOTHING to any candidate that wins or doesn?t win. All will go on and the real leaders will be decided in the next states.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
126
Originally posted by: Gobadgrs
So when will the results be in for the Democratic caucus?

It will take the Dems alot longer than the Republicans.

The Republicans are more of a straw poll than a caucus.
 

CellarDoor

Golden Member
Aug 31, 2004
1,574
0
0
MSNBC is reporting that there is huge turnout in some areas for the Democrats. They sited one place that had 86 people show up in 2004, and over 260 people showed up today.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
126
Originally posted by: CellarDoor
MSNBC is reporting that there is huge turnout in some areas for the Democrats. They sited one place that had 86 people show up in 2004, and over 260 people showed up today.

There are also reports of rural evangicals showing up in droves on the GOP side of things...

 

Farang

Lifer
Jul 7, 2003
10,913
3
0
Paul is actually around 11%, I'm not trusting any of it though because these early results have been erratic. Give it an hour. (I'm not a Paul supporter)
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
126
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Ahhhh Poooor Ron Paul supporters. 0% with 15% reporting...

Funny, 19% reporting and Paul has *Gasp* 10.56%

I guess that 15% wasn't so accurate?

That was the drudgereport numbers....

They've already called it for Huckabee...
 

HeXploiT

Diamond Member
Jun 11, 2004
4,359
1
76
Republican results sofar. 15% reporting.

Huckabee
4,220
36%

Romney
2,762
23%

Thompson
1,711
15%

McCain
1,386
12%

Paul
1,300
11%

Giuliani
386
3%

Hunter
52
0%
 

NoStateofMind

Diamond Member
Oct 14, 2005
9,711
6
76
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Ahhhh Poooor Ron Paul supporters. 0% with 15% reporting...

Funny, 19% reporting and Paul has *Gasp* 10.56%

I guess that 15% wasn't so accurate?

That was the drudgereport numbers....

They've already called it for Huckabee...

The caucus is only an hour old. Hold on to your pants there skippy.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
126
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Ahhhh Poooor Ron Paul supporters. 0% with 15% reporting...

Funny, 19% reporting and Paul has *Gasp* 10.56%

I guess that 15% wasn't so accurate?

That was the drudgereport numbers....

They've already called it for Huckabee...

The caucus is only an hour old. Hold on to your pants there skippy.

I take it you are going to be kicking and screaming at 11:59pm on Feb. 5 saying its not over its not over...

So far the polls are looking dead on... Better hope RP beats McCain or hes not going to be in the Debate on Saturday...