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~~~The Official Iowa Caucus discussion Thread~~~

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looks like a 3-way washout for the dems after 30% reporting.

is it too early to ring the death bell for edwards?

I mean, 8 years campaigning in a single state, longer than any of his competitors, and he couldn't get a clear win (assuming the trends stay, that is... I have no idea who has/hasn't reported in terms of urban or rural districts)?
 
I thought the media had learned about calling winners so early in elections and such...apparently not.
 
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Ahhhh Poooor Ron Paul supporters. 0% with 15% reporting...
Click to expand...

Funny, 19% reporting and Paul has *Gasp* 10.56%

I guess that 15% wasn't so accurate?
Click to expand...

That was the drudgereport numbers....

They've already called it for Huckabee...
Click to expand...

The caucus is only an hour old. Hold on to your pants there skippy.
Click to expand...

I take it you are going to be kicking and screaming at 11:59pm on Feb. 5 saying its not over its not over...

So far the polls are looking dead on... Better hope RP beats McCain or hes not going to be in the Debate on Saturday...
Click to expand...

We will see.
 
Well, Paul had about 9% at our caucus. Romney had about 36%, McCain 18%, Thompson, Huckabee both around 14%
 
Originally posted by: loki8481
looks like a 3-way washout for the dems after 30% reporting.

is it too early to ring the death bell for edwards?

I mean, 8 years campaigning in a single state, longer than any of his competitors, and he couldn't get a clear win (assuming the trends stay, that is... I have no idea who has/hasn't reported in terms of urban or rural districts)?
Click to expand...

No one thought he would win Iowa. Most didnt put him beating Hillary. Its going to be a squeaker but I have a gut feeling its gonna be 1. Obama, 2. Edwards, 3. Hillary.
 
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Ahhhh Poooor Ron Paul supporters. 0% with 15% reporting...
Click to expand...

Funny, 19% reporting and Paul has *Gasp* 10.56%

I guess that 15% wasn't so accurate?
Click to expand...

That was the drudgereport numbers....

They've already called it for Huckabee...
Click to expand...

The caucus is only an hour old. Hold on to your pants there skippy.
Click to expand...

I take it you are going to be kicking and screaming at 11:59pm on Feb. 5 saying its not over its not over...

So far the polls are looking dead on... Better hope RP beats McCain or hes not going to be in the Debate on Saturday...
Click to expand...

We will see.
Click to expand...

looks like a dead heat between the two

my question is why cnn isn't display rp in that big block of 'other' vote.
 
I'm surprised at Thompson.

I mean, he's doing bad, but not as bad as I'd have expected (though he's looking at a distant, distant third right now)
 
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: loki8481
looks like a 3-way washout for the dems after 30% reporting.

is it too early to ring the death bell for edwards?

I mean, 8 years campaigning in a single state, longer than any of his competitors, and he couldn't get a clear win (assuming the trends stay, that is... I have no idea who has/hasn't reported in terms of urban or rural districts)?
Click to expand...

No one thought he would win Iowa. Most didnt put him beating Hillary. Its going to be a squeaker but I have a gut feeling its gonna be 1. Obama, 2. Edwards, 3. Hillary.
Click to expand...

I'm hoping Obama will win, not necessarily a supporter but hearing what Chris Matthews was saying about how much of a statement it would be for the son of a Kenyan immigrant to win the primary in an all-white state would be impressive.
 
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: loki8481
looks like a 3-way washout for the dems after 30% reporting.

is it too early to ring the death bell for edwards?

I mean, 8 years campaigning in a single state, longer than any of his competitors, and he couldn't get a clear win (assuming the trends stay, that is... I have no idea who has/hasn't reported in terms of urban or rural districts)?
Click to expand...

No one thought he would win Iowa. Most didnt put him beating Hillary. Its going to be a squeaker but I have a gut feeling its gonna be 1. Obama, 2. Edwards, 3. Hillary.
Click to expand...

I'm sure this is just my hate for Edwards and absolute and total condemnation for anything and everything in any way associated with the 2004 CF of a campaign, but I mean, if he can't bang out a substantial victory in Iowa after 8-9 years of nonstop campaigning, what hope will he have in the states that Obama and Clinton have been campaigning in while he's been in Iowa?
 
Originally posted by: Sinsear
I thought the media had learned about calling winners so early in elections and such...apparently not.
Click to expand...

They have gotten better at polling since 2000. In a caucus, its alot easier to call it early.
 
Originally posted by: loki8481
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: loki8481
looks like a 3-way washout for the dems after 30% reporting.

is it too early to ring the death bell for edwards?

I mean, 8 years campaigning in a single state, longer than any of his competitors, and he couldn't get a clear win (assuming the trends stay, that is... I have no idea who has/hasn't reported in terms of urban or rural districts)?
Click to expand...

No one thought he would win Iowa. Most didnt put him beating Hillary. Its going to be a squeaker but I have a gut feeling its gonna be 1. Obama, 2. Edwards, 3. Hillary.
Click to expand...

I'm sure this is just my hate for Edwards and absolute and total condemnation for anything and everything in any way associated with the 2004 CF of a campaign, but I mean, if he can't bang out a substantial victory in Iowa after 8-9 years of nonstop campaigning, what hope will he have in the states that Obama and Clinton have been campaigning in while he's been in Iowa?
Click to expand...

John Edwards is delusional. He stands no chance.

Interestingly enough, allegedly Richardsons camp is directing his caucus supporters towards Obama...
 
I am fairly sure anyone in Iowa will resent the implication that they are a bunch of hicks. Iowa may not exactly reflect the thinking of large urban States, but large urban States don't exactly reflect the nation either.
 
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Ahhhh Poooor Ron Paul supporters. 0% with 15% reporting...
Click to expand...

Funny, 19% reporting and Paul has *Gasp* 10.56%

I guess that 15% wasn't so accurate?
Click to expand...

That was the drudgereport numbers....

They've already called it for Huckabee...
Click to expand...

The caucus is only an hour old. Hold on to your pants there skippy.
Click to expand...

I take it you are going to be kicking and screaming at 11:59pm on Feb. 5 saying its not over its not over...

So far the polls are looking dead on... Better hope RP beats McCain or hes not going to be in the Debate on Saturday...
Click to expand...

We will see.
Click to expand...

looks like a dead heat between the two

my question is why cnn isn't display rp in that big block of 'other' vote.
Click to expand...

Yeah I see that too rofl

Fucking asshats!

EDIT: They even show Richardson in the democrat one with 2% of the pie, yet Paul with 11% doesn't get any pie? Someones awfuly hungry!
 
all the king's horses and all the king's men couldn't buy Romney a victory.

wonder if his accountant is going to make fun of the 20 mil. of his own money he dropped in Iowa 😛
 
Originally posted by: Lemon law
I am fairly sure anyone in Iowa will resent the implication that they are a bunch of hicks. Iowa may not exactly reflect the thinking of large urban States, but large urban States don't exactly reflect the nation either.
Click to expand...

:thumbsup:
 
Originally posted by: GenHoth
Originally posted by: Farang
Wow... Barack Hussein Obama winning in Iowa, who would have thunk it
Click to expand...

I would, but what do I know? I just live here! :laugh:
Click to expand...

I'm saying that as someone looking forward, from say, 2000. I would've never thought in a million years a guy with that name could a) rise so quickly and b) win a primary.
 
Originally posted by: loki8481
all the king's horses and all the king's men couldn't buy Romney a victory.

wonder if his accountant is going to make fun of the 20 mil. of his own money he dropped in Iowa 😛
Click to expand...

lol; I'd be kicking myself in the ass if I were him about now.
 
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!
Click to expand...

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.
 
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Guiliani just passed Paul... Guiliani didnt even have a campaign office in Iowa...
Click to expand...

C'mon man; cut em some slack, its a "grassroots revolution" :laugh:
 
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