~~~The Official Iowa Caucus discussion Thread~~~

[nageov3t]

it's looking like an Obama victory and Hillary/Edwards basically tying.

wonder if this will translate to a surge in NH for Obama or if people will just write off Iowa as a wash.

all in all, this is good news for McCain, though.

 

[NaughtyGeek]

Dr. Paul is within 3 to 4% of McCain, Rudy, and Thompson. Regardless of what the naysayers would like to think, obviously Dr. Paul's support is more than "half a dozen spammers on the internet." Huck and Romney were what Iowa was looking for for whatever reason but to hang with the media darlings doesn't do anything but encourage me. Dr. Paul IS a contender in this race and that is playing out today.

 

[RU482]

Originally posted by: Jinru
wow Linn County, Rudy gets 50% with 3.5k votes when hes averaging 4% everywhere else. Had to be an input error...

no, there are alot of idiots in CR

 

[bamacre]

Originally posted by: Jinru
wow Linn County, Rudy gets 50% with 3.5k votes when hes averaging 4% everywhere else. Had to be an input error...

Edit: I just checked again, he now has 268 votes at 5%

Well his numbers just dropped dramatically.

 

[HeXploiT]

Originally posted by: Gobadgrs
Come on Hillary you bitch, finish in third.

HA!

 

[NoStateofMind]

Originally posted by: Mill

Originally posted by: PC Surgeon

Originally posted by: Mill

Originally posted by: miketheidiot

Originally posted by: Mill

Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.

If you expect me to believe that the people who like Ron Paul are sane or educated then stop right here.

"Yeah! Because we all know sane and educated people vote like I do!" :roll:

So, Ron Paul is 6th out of 7 candidates and you expect me to believe he is a popular revolutionary? You just need to meet reality.

I don't expect you to believe anything. Contrarily, you expect people to believe anyone who supports Paul is not sane or or educated. And the bottom 4 are separated by 2,000 votes or less, so no BIG separation as you like to make it sound.

 

[TheSlamma]

With as many Huckabee and Romney votes as there is tonight I have to ask, is Iowa a heavy religious state?

 

[GenHoth]

Originally posted by: redly1

Originally posted by: Jinru
wow Linn County, Rudy gets 50% with 3.5k votes when hes averaging 4% everywhere else. Had to be an input error...

no, there are alot of idiots in CR

Haha, thats my city. Rudy came in with fewer votes than Paul at our caucus!

 

[NaughtyGeek]

Originally posted by: Mill

Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson, McCain, Giuliani & Paul are all within 3% of each other at 40% reported. This is still way too close to call for these four.
Looks like Huck & Mitt have it wrapped up.

You do understand that finishing second to last makes it easy to stick a fork in Rudy's campaign, right?

Corrected for ya.

 

[Farang]

Originally posted by: loki8481
it's looking like an Obama victory and Hillary/Edwards basically tying.

wonder if this will translate to a surge in NH for Obama or if people will just write off Iowa as a wash.

all in all, this is good news for McCain, though.

He is up by 7% now, I think as it now apparent that the second-tiers are done we may seem the same effect in NH as we did in the caucus, with those supporters moving towards Obama.

 

[NoStateofMind]

Oh wow, I thought guilliani was at 11%? WTF? Error? LOL

 

[GenHoth]

Originally posted by: TheSlamma
With as many Huckabee and Romney votes as there is tonight I have to ask, is Iowa a heavy religious state?

Not HEAVY, but yes, we have a pretty good share. especially among the republicans

 

[Sinsear]

And in other news: Tonights biggest loser is Kucinich, pulling in a massive 0% so far.

 

[HeXploiT]

There was some sort of a glitch. Giuliani just dropped to 2,708 4%. Looks like there was a major error in Linn county reporting him at 50% which was totally wrong. Let's hope there are no more mistakes.

 

[FoBoT]

Originally posted by: TheSlamma
With as many Huckabee and Romney votes as there is tonight I have to ask, is Iowa a heavy religious state?

Fuckabee got all the S.B.'s to show up to vote against Romney due to his religion
he basically used tax exempt churches to push the turnout up and win it for him

 

[Sinsear]

Originally posted by: Perry404
There was some sort of a glitch. Giuliani just dropped to 2,708 4%. Looks like there was a major error in Linn county reporting him at 50% which was totally wrong. Let's hope there are no more mistakes.

Much more reasonable numbers there; no way Rudy could pull that many with so little time spent in Iowa. I woldn't mind seeing his campaign come to an end...

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: NaughtyGeek
Dr. Paul is within 3 to 4% of McCain, Rudy, and Thompson. Regardless of what the naysayers would like to think, obviously Dr. Paul's support is more than "half a dozen spammers on the internet." Huck and Romney were what Iowa was looking for for whatever reason but to hang with the media darlings doesn't do anything but encourage me. Dr. Paul IS a contender in this race and that is playing out today.

Yeah but he cannot win. Hes just as much a contender as Thompson or McCain, and heres a hint, they ARENT Contenders.

Its Huckabee, Romney and Guiliani.

Those are the three people that could get the nomination. Guiliani is the wild card, because of his strategy. He isnt campaigning in Iowa, and is minimally campaigning in NH and SC. Hes placed all his eggs in Florida and Super Tuesday.

Paul has support but his support isnt enough.

 

[Mill]

Originally posted by: NaughtyGeek

Originally posted by: Mill

Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson, McCain, Giuliani & Paul are all within 3% of each other at 40% reported. This is still way too close to call for these four.
Looks like Huck & Mitt have it wrapped up.

You do understand that finishing second to last makes it easy to stick a fork in Rudy's campaign, right?

Corrected for ya.

Rudy actually polls higher than 2% nationwide. And, yes, I realize that you spammers win all the online polls.

Don't you have some Youtube videos to upload or some conspiracies to discuss?

 

[nageov3t]

Originally posted by: NaughtyGeek

Originally posted by: Mill

Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson, McCain, Giuliani & Paul are all within 3% of each other at 40% reported. This is still way too close to call for these four.
Looks like Huck & Mitt have it wrapped up.

You do understand that finishing second to last makes it easy to stick a fork in Rudy's campaign, right?

Corrected for ya.

Rudy hasn't campaigned in Iowa at all, really.

his entire strategy has been to let the rabble fight it out, hopefully kill eachother, and leave him as the one with all the ad money left for super tuesday, where he can potentially win without having to take positions and do 180's that would screw him in the general election like Romney has done.

it's a risky strategy, but it could potentially pay off if we get to February with no clear front runner.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: NaughtyGeek

Originally posted by: Mill

Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson, McCain, Giuliani & Paul are all within 3% of each other at 40% reported. This is still way too close to call for these four.
Looks like Huck & Mitt have it wrapped up.

You do understand that finishing second to last makes it easy to stick a fork in Rudy's campaign, right?

Corrected for ya.

You must not be watching the campaign to closely.

Guliani is far from done, his camp came up with the strategy to not do anything in the primaries before Florida. He has spent all his money on Florida and Super Tuesday states.

Guliani is playing the odds, but it could work with the shortened and bunched up primary season.

And you cannot say Guliani is done, he has the lead in the national poll and has the lead in Florida. Paul has niether.

 

[Legend]

This state has only nominated 2 people that have actually become president. I'm not saying that because I'm disappointed with Paul's results. I expected him to get a distant third, but I didn't think McCain and especially Thompson would be doing so well.

I mean Guiliani is getting 3%. I hate Guiliani, but even I can recognize that's out of sync with the nation.

 

[Lemon law]

Stupid me, I said it would be tomorrow when all the losers started to explain why they really won. And I was wrong because its started already even before the voting finishes.

So I declare Duncan Hunter the real winner at 0%, the dude has nowhere to go but up.

 

[Deeko]

Yea I'm surprised Guiliani did THAT poorly.

 

[Wreckem]

Originally posted by: Legend
This state has only nominated 2 people that have actually become president. I'm not saying that because I'm disappointed with Paul's results. I expected him to get a distant third, but I didn't think McCain and especially Thompson would be doing so well.

I mean Guiliani is getting 3%. I hate Guiliani, but even I can recognize that's out of sync with the nation.

When you dont campaign you dont get votes. Rudy doesnt have any campaign staff in Iowa, he has a very small skeleton crew in NH and SC. But he leads the polls in Florida, why? Because hes campaigning extremely heavily there.

 

[GenHoth]

Originally posted by: Legend
This state has only nominated 2 people that have actually become president. I'm not saying that because I'm disappointed with Paul's results. I expected him to get a distant third, but I didn't think McCain and especially Thompson would be doing so well.

I mean Guiliani is getting 3%. I hate Guiliani, but even I can recognize that's out of sync with the nation.

Are you serious? If you only count people with BUSH as a last name we have 2. Honestly people. Take a look at the past winners of the Iowa caucus. We DO line up pretty well with the nation (The huge exception is Tom Harkin vs Clinton but Harkin is an Iowan senator)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iowa_caucus#Past_winners