~~~The Official Iowa Caucus discussion Thread~~~

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NoStateofMind

Diamond Member
Oct 14, 2005
9,711
6
76
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

We shall see if the urban crowd (note: the ones with internet) actually make a difference. :p ;)
 

miketheidiot

Lifer
Sep 3, 2004
11,060
1
0
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
126
Originally posted by: Sinsear
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Guiliani just passed Paul... Guiliani didnt even have a campaign office in Iowa...

C'mon man; cut em some slack, its a "grassroots revolution" :laugh:

Guiliani's strategy is risky, but might work. Its basically screw all the races before Florida. Florida is worth more delegates than them combined, its also the last primary before Super Tuesday. Win Florida, your name will be fresher, you'll have the most delegates. You might just parlay that into a big win on Super Tuesday. Its risky, but could work.

 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
126
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.

The Urban crowd will go for Romney not for Paul. Paul isnt going to make much ground.
 

Mill

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
28,558
3
81
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.

If you expect me to believe that the people who like Ron Paul are sane or educated then stop right here.
 

GenHoth

Platinum Member
Jul 5, 2007
2,106
0
0
Originally posted by: Wreckem
The Urban crowd will go for Romney not for Paul. Paul isnt going to make much ground.

I can tell you that this was true in my area.
 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
91
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: Sinsear
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Guiliani just passed Paul... Guiliani didnt even have a campaign office in Iowa...

C'mon man; cut em some slack, its a "grassroots revolution" :laugh:

Guiliani's strategy is risky, but might work. Its basically screw all the races before Florida. Florida is worth more delegates than them combined, its also the last primary before Super Tuesday. Win Florida, your name will be fresher, you'll have the most delegates. You might just parlay that into a big win on Super Tuesday. Its risky, but could work.

if no clear front runner emerges, it might pay off.

a Huckabee win in Iowa and a McCain win in NH would bode well for Rudy; he can outspend both of them combined on super tuesday and he'd probably do very well amongst republicans in urban areas (NY/NJ seems almost a given win for him).

if Romney pulls NH and SC, though, he might be fracked... I haven't looked at any SC polls recently, so I can't say as to what might happen there.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
126
Originally posted by: Farang
Drudge is giving it to Obama

Hes pulling away thanks to Richardson, Dodd, and Kucinichs people diverting their caucusers to his camp when they failed to meet the requirements to move on.
 

miketheidiot

Lifer
Sep 3, 2004
11,060
1
0
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.

The Urban crowd will go for Romney not for Paul. Paul isnt going to make much ground.

and apparently guliani as well, he jumped from 3% to 11% real fast.
 

Sinsear

Diamond Member
Jan 13, 2007
6,439
80
91
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.

The Urban crowd will go for Romney not for Paul. Paul isnt going to make much ground.


I guess they can't spam the caucus like they can polls on the internets eh?
 

NoStateofMind

Diamond Member
Oct 14, 2005
9,711
6
76
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.

If you expect me to believe that the people who like Ron Paul are sane or educated then stop right here.

"Yeah! Because we all know sane and educated people vote like I do!" :roll:
 

miketheidiot

Lifer
Sep 3, 2004
11,060
1
0
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.

If you expect me to believe that the people who like Ron Paul are sane or educated then stop right here.

sure there are some crazies, but at least they aren't empty headed morons like thompson and huckabee supporters are.
 

TheSlamma

Diamond Member
Sep 6, 2005
7,625
5
81
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.
Iowa has urban areas? :confused: ;)
 

HeXploiT

Diamond Member
Jun 11, 2004
4,359
1
76
Thompson, McCain, Giuliani & Paul are all within 3% of each other at 40% reported. This is still way too close to call for these four.
Looks like Huck & Mitt have it wrapped up.
 

Mill

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
28,558
3
81
Originally posted by: PC Surgeon
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Mill
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson 3,178 14%

McCain 2,638 12%

Paul 2,425 11%


Getting close between these three!

Rural boxes post first. Once the urban boxes start reporting (where people have more than a 1st Grade education) it will take Paul down quite a bit.

if anything you will see paul going up, since urbanites are less likely to vote for huckabee and thompson, who as far as i can tell appeal mainly to rednecks and the ignorant.

If you expect me to believe that the people who like Ron Paul are sane or educated then stop right here.

"Yeah! Because we all know sane and educated people vote like I do!" :roll:

So, Ron Paul is 6th out of 7 candidates and you expect me to believe he is a popular revolutionary? You just need to meet reality.
 

Lemon law

Lifer
Nov 6, 2005
20,984
3
0
Well, one thing for sure, tomorrow. all the candidates who did not win will be explaining why they did better than expected and also explaining why the winners actually lost.

But in a moment of Supreme boredom, this afternoon, I listened to Rush Limbaugh. And this afternoon Rush was explaining why the Rumor that Fred Thompson would drop out of the Presidential race if he did not do well in Iowa was false. But in a seven person race, 14.3% is the mean expectation and given ole Ducan Hunter may get zero making it a six person race, then making the real expectation a higher 16.7%, and if the initial 15% Thompson showing holds up, it will be interesting to see if Thompson stays in because he is on the cusp.

As for Ron Who, he has cracked the double digits his critics said he would not exceed.

And as I post this, I hear my wife's television say the networks have declared Obama and Huckabee the Iowa winners.

Now all exit stage east, on to New Hampshire.
 

Mill

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
28,558
3
81
Originally posted by: Perry404
Thompson, McCain, Giuliani & Paul are all within 3% of each other at 40% reported. This is still way too close to call for these four.
Looks like Huck & Mitt have it wrapped up.

You do understand that finishing second to last makes it easy to stick a fork in Ron Paul's campaign, right?
 

Jinru

Senior member
Feb 6, 2006
671
0
76
wow Linn County, Rudy gets 50% with 3.5k votes when hes averaging 4% everywhere else. Had to be an input error...

Edit: I just checked again, he now has 268 votes at 5% :confused: