dullard
Elite Member
- May 21, 2001
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We certainly could use more data. There really has only been one year of good data in the studies that are out so far. I'll give you that. But, virtually all studies are showing a small but measurable impact on some weather variables which include temperature, humidity, and amount of sun exposure. Human choices are a far bigger influence though--weather is just a small but often overlooked factor.I think the seasonality has yet to be really proven out, right now it seems like typical human pattern finding and confirmation bias. The peaks have not lined up with other seasonal viruses that well. And the summer peak YoY didnt really line up.
I think expecting it to become seasonal is a fair assumption, but dont think it explains as much as currently stated.
Here is one recent example of many studies on the issue:
"Warmer temperature and moderate outdoor ultraviolet exposure result in a slight reduction in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2; however, changes in weather or air pollution alone are not enough to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2 with other factors having greater effects."