Everyone seems to gloss over this important point...GOP voter registration is outpacing the Dems in nearly all the key swing states...where Biden's lead is already slim and just within the margin of error.
Everyone is making the same mistake as 2016, all over again. I bet Biden wins the popular vote by at least 5 mil, but loses all the key swing states again. GOP voter registration in Florida, NC and PA is greatly outpacing the Dems. He probably wins those 3 in addition to Ohio. Does picking up the rust belt and maybe AZ get Biden to 270?
IMO there are going to be a lot of shocked/disappointed people again.
Do you understand what "margin of error" is, or do you just parrot faux news?
In the states that Biden needs to go beyond 270 EC votes, he is leading by well over margin of error. The tipping point right now is PA, he is leading by close to 8%, well outside margin of error.
States like OH, GA, FL, IA, NC even TX are just dessert.
As far as oversampling democrats, I am of the idea that it is the opposite. A lot of pollsters want to avoid a repeat of 2016, do they are overcompensating with more potential repugnants.
Is it still possible for the orange slime ball to pull the win? Absolutely! That is why the polls are "estimates"
However, something that statistics cannot account for are human factors, like voter turnout. While the trumpsters argue that the base is fired up, they DO NOT realize that for every one of them, there is at least one of us fired up to kick him out.
BTW, the only huevos you have are Putin's, in your mouth, same as your orange leader.