I'm frankly surprised. While Lugar is too liberal for me on many issues, it's difficult to defeat any sitting Senator unless he's a freshman from an atypical year, let alone in the primary. And while I don't know anything about Mourdock, it's easy for the media to paint any new Republican Senatorial candidate as a nutter simply because the vast majority of what most voters know about a first-term candidate comes directly from the media. (This is true of Representative candidates too, but there are simply too many of those for the media to bash without losing any remaining dregs of integrity.) Unless this Mourdock is well known (and liked) in Indiana or is ethically Caesar's wife, he is probably going to be in trouble.
Lugar may vote with the Dems virtually every time after the initial caucus, but the Republicans may well miss that first vote after November. Indiana's not exactly pure red, and sometimes when you cut off your nose to spite your face you come to regret it. For the rest of us - looks like blessed gridlock just got a boost.
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