best weapon to carry around in the city

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DangerAardvark

Diamond Member
Oct 22, 2004
7,559
0
0
Originally posted by: Eeezee
A swordfish is the ultimate weapon; it works as a club for bashing, a sword for stabbing, and it's edible in case of emergency. There could be no better weapon.

And a lover for lonely nights.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
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Originally posted by: ironwing
Originally posted by: krunchykrome
I keep a taser in my glove compartment in my car.

Should work, once you drive over your assailant a few times you can tase the corpse just to watch it twitch.

I think this is when the thread went from great to epic
 

jyates

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2001
3,847
0
76
I wouldn't worry with carrying a knife.....a guy tried to rob a knife store here the other day and the owner blasted him with a pistol, so you can see that even the shop owner had no confidence in his own product.

 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
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Originally posted by: rgwalt
Originally posted by: Deeko
Originally posted by: thepd7


So I don't understand why then you would think it's a bad idea to carry. If you know someone who was randomly murdered that could have saved themselves with a concealed handgun why wouldn't you get a license and carry?

Already addressed that. I mentioned my personal experience to show that I'm aware these things can happen. However, I still realize that it's extremely random, and as I said above - in this situation, having a gun on you ain't gonna protect you.

There is a lot of talk about randomness in this thread... risk is probability multiplied by consequence. While the probability is pretty low that you'll be involved in a situation of a truly random act of violence, the probability climbs higher when you consider being targeted for a robbery (or assult, or rape, etc). Even still, the probability is very low. That being said, the potential consequence is extraordinarily high. What is the chance that someone is going to walk into your home at night? Pretty low. So why do you keep your doors locked? Because the consequence of getting robbed, beaten, raped, and murdered is so high that it necessitates locking the doors.

Some people want to live with the probability, some people choose to give themselves a fighting chance if the situation should ever arise. Fortunately, we live in a country where both courses of action are protected by the Bill of Rights.

R

Actually, I keep my doors locked because it's an easy preventative measure. Why wouldn't I lock them? It's not that the consequences are high, it's that the action is so easy that there's no point in taking a risk.

Carrying around a gun is not an easy preventative measure. I'd have to learn how to shoot it. I'd have to get the conceal carry permit. I'd have to actually purchase the gun. I'd have to carry around on me at all times. And then should the need arise to use the gun, what are the chances that the gun will help me at all? Certainly not 100%; if I'm being mugged/assaulted, chances are that they assumed I'd be carrying a gun and have already pulled out a gun of their own. Great, now if I reach for my gun I'll get shot. A lot of good all of that preparation did!

And how about if I do successfully use the gun? Awesome, now I go to trial and plead defense. Hopefully the jury believes me! Now I've spent a ton of money on a good defense lawyer, but of course there is simply no guarantee. But hey, at least I saved the $50 in my wallet, I stopped the mugger... after spending thousands on a lawyer and on the weapon and the permit.

And then there are the chances of your kid getting to the gun and accidentally shooting themselves or someone else. It does not happen as often as assault/rape/mugging/etc., but accidents do occur. That sounds like a pretty big consequence.

It's all personal preference. To me, it sounds like I'd be risking a lot more and wasting a lot more time/energy by carrying.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
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Originally posted by: daishi5
Originally posted by: RedSquirrel
A rusty pocket knife may do the trick. not an utility knife with a bunch of other stuff on it (too finicky to take out fast) but just a simple fold in knife. Apply poison to it every now and then. Not sure what though, rat poison maybe? The rust is a key as well, it can induce lock jaw to your attacker, and who knows what the poison will do...

Though best bet is probably knowing some form of martial arts, and also forms against martial arts, such as gugitsu(sp?). Keep in mind people usually gank so if you can run fast, its probably better then any form of self defense, unless they have a gun, which, if in the states, they most likely will.

In regards to the bolded, I hope you are joking, but if you are not please read my post just before yours. The statistics about having a gun being the best defense include other forms such as cooperating and running away. Also, look at the fact that only 1/10 crimes in the states us a gun.

But those statistics did not include rusty poisoned pocket knives! They also did not include swordfish! Clearly these are both better self-defense weapons.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
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Fireaxe

Only someone truly insane would attack fire with an axe. The criminal will realize this and leave you alone. It's even part of the hobo code
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
70,566
13,803
126
www.anyf.ca
Originally posted by: Atomic Playboy
Originally posted by: RedSquirrel
... if someone randomly takes out a gun and shoots you or someone snipes you from a building...

Where the fuck are you guys posting from, Beirut in the 1980s? How many sniper attacks have their been in the US in the past 20 years? 20? 30? Talk about a minor fucking risk...

This stuff happens all the time in big cities. Just watch any national news channel and there's murders daily. This is the ones that actually do make the news, there's probably lot of incidents that don't get on the news since the body is dumped and they only find out about it a few weeks later and the killer is not caught.

But that said, big city = millions, so what are the odds of it happening to you? very slim. So not something to constantly worry about imo. Just be aware of your surroundings at all time and don't walk into what looks like could go bad. Though having a self defense plan for bad situations is not a bad idea. If the attacker just wants something like money then great, just give them their 20 and leave, but if they just want to kill you for fun of it, they probably already did it before you knew.
 

BudAshes

Lifer
Jul 20, 2003
13,990
3,346
146
Originally posted by: Eeezee
Originally posted by: rgwalt
Originally posted by: Deeko
Originally posted by: thepd7


So I don't understand why then you would think it's a bad idea to carry. If you know someone who was randomly murdered that could have saved themselves with a concealed handgun why wouldn't you get a license and carry?

Already addressed that. I mentioned my personal experience to show that I'm aware these things can happen. However, I still realize that it's extremely random, and as I said above - in this situation, having a gun on you ain't gonna protect you.

There is a lot of talk about randomness in this thread... risk is probability multiplied by consequence. While the probability is pretty low that you'll be involved in a situation of a truly random act of violence, the probability climbs higher when you consider being targeted for a robbery (or assult, or rape, etc). Even still, the probability is very low. That being said, the potential consequence is extraordinarily high. What is the chance that someone is going to walk into your home at night? Pretty low. So why do you keep your doors locked? Because the consequence of getting robbed, beaten, raped, and murdered is so high that it necessitates locking the doors.

Some people want to live with the probability, some people choose to give themselves a fighting chance if the situation should ever arise. Fortunately, we live in a country where both courses of action are protected by the Bill of Rights.

R

Actually, I keep my doors locked because it's an easy preventative measure. Why wouldn't I lock them? It's not that the consequences are high, it's that the action is so easy that there's no point in taking a risk.

Carrying around a gun is not an easy preventative measure. I'd have to learn how to shoot it. I'd have to get the conceal carry permit. I'd have to actually purchase the gun. I'd have to carry around on me at all times. And then should the need arise to use the gun, what are the chances that the gun will help me at all? Certainly not 100%; if I'm being mugged/assaulted, chances are that they assumed I'd be carrying a gun and have already pulled out a gun of their own. Great, now if I reach for my gun I'll get shot. A lot of good all of that preparation did!

And how about if I do successfully use the gun? Awesome, now I go to trial and plead defense. Hopefully the jury believes me! Now I've spent a ton of money on a good defense lawyer, but of course there is simply no guarantee. But hey, at least I saved the $50 in my wallet, I stopped the mugger... after spending thousands on a lawyer and on the weapon and the permit.

And then there are the chances of your kid getting to the gun and accidentally shooting themselves or someone else. It happens about as often as assault/rape/mugging/etc. Accidents do occur. That sounds like a pretty big consequence.

It's all personal preference. To me, it sounds like I'd be risking a lot more and wasting a lot more time/energy by carrying.

Thank you for that little dose of reality.
 
May 16, 2000
13,522
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Originally posted by: Eeezee
Originally posted by: rgwalt
Originally posted by: Deeko
Originally posted by: thepd7


So I don't understand why then you would think it's a bad idea to carry. If you know someone who was randomly murdered that could have saved themselves with a concealed handgun why wouldn't you get a license and carry?

Already addressed that. I mentioned my personal experience to show that I'm aware these things can happen. However, I still realize that it's extremely random, and as I said above - in this situation, having a gun on you ain't gonna protect you.

There is a lot of talk about randomness in this thread... risk is probability multiplied by consequence. While the probability is pretty low that you'll be involved in a situation of a truly random act of violence, the probability climbs higher when you consider being targeted for a robbery (or assult, or rape, etc). Even still, the probability is very low. That being said, the potential consequence is extraordinarily high. What is the chance that someone is going to walk into your home at night? Pretty low. So why do you keep your doors locked? Because the consequence of getting robbed, beaten, raped, and murdered is so high that it necessitates locking the doors.

Some people want to live with the probability, some people choose to give themselves a fighting chance if the situation should ever arise. Fortunately, we live in a country where both courses of action are protected by the Bill of Rights.

R

Actually, I keep my doors locked because it's an easy preventative measure. Why wouldn't I lock them? It's not that the consequences are high, it's that the action is so easy that there's no point in taking a risk.

Carrying around a gun is not an easy preventative measure. I'd have to learn how to shoot it. I'd have to get the conceal carry permit. I'd have to actually purchase the gun. I'd have to carry around on me at all times. And then should the need arise to use the gun, what are the chances that the gun will help me at all? Certainly not 100%; if I'm being mugged/assaulted, chances are that they assumed I'd be carrying a gun and have already pulled out a gun of their own. Great, now if I reach for my gun I'll get shot. A lot of good all of that preparation did!

And how about if I do successfully use the gun? Awesome, now I go to trial and plead defense. Hopefully the jury believes me! Now I've spent a ton of money on a good defense lawyer, but of course there is simply no guarantee. But hey, at least I saved the $50 in my wallet, I stopped the mugger... after spending thousands on a lawyer and on the weapon and the permit.

And then there are the chances of your kid getting to the gun and accidentally shooting themselves or someone else. It happens about as often as assault/rape/mugging/etc. Accidents do occur. That sounds like a pretty big consequence.

It's all personal preference. To me, it sounds like I'd be risking a lot more and wasting a lot more time/energy by carrying.

Not even REMOTELY true. There are only about 930 accidental deaths a year, and of course a slightly greater number of accidents that don't result in death (mortality from gunshot accidents is unfortunately very high). Let's call it a maximum of 5000 firearm accidents a year (to include those that go unreported, etc).

Meanwhile, there were 1,400,000 violent crimes in 2006. So you are about 300 times more likely to be a victim of crime than to be the victim of a firearm accident.
 

Deeko

Lifer
Jun 16, 2000
30,213
12
81
As I said earlier - your stats are not a 1-1 comparison. You assume that if you have a gun on you, you will prevent the violent crime 100% of the time? And also, you picked out just one aspect of his post, when the rest of it is extremely relevant.
 

ConstipatedVigilante

Diamond Member
Feb 22, 2006
7,670
1
0
I can't believe people are still arguing that it's better to be unprepared, no matter how unlikely an attack might be. Go cite statistics to the thug holding a gun in your face while he's telling you to hand over your wallet and keys.
 

Deeko

Lifer
Jun 16, 2000
30,213
12
81
Originally posted by: ConstipatedVigilante
I can't believe people are still arguing that it's better to be unprepared, no matter how unlikely an attack might be. Go cite statistics to the thug holding a gun in your face while he's telling you to hand over your wallet and keys.

Huh? That's the point I'm trying to make. Even in the extremely unlikely event that that happens - the thug has a gun to your head. you can give him your wallet with $20 in it, or you can reach for your gun and he can shoot you. I know I'd rather be dead than give some druggie $20.
 

BudAshes

Lifer
Jul 20, 2003
13,990
3,346
146
Originally posted by: Deeko
Originally posted by: ConstipatedVigilante
I can't believe people are still arguing that it's better to be unprepared, no matter how unlikely an attack might be. Go cite statistics to the thug holding a gun in your face while he's telling you to hand over your wallet and keys.

Huh? That's the point I'm trying to make. Even in the extremely unlikely event that that happens - the thug has a gun to your head. you can give him your wallet with $20 in it, or you can reach for your gun and he can shoot you. I know I'd rather be dead than give some druggie $20.

See you absorb the bullet with your head then pull your gun out and shoot him in the nuts.
 

ConstipatedVigilante

Diamond Member
Feb 22, 2006
7,670
1
0
Originally posted by: Deeko
Originally posted by: ConstipatedVigilante
I can't believe people are still arguing that it's better to be unprepared, no matter how unlikely an attack might be. Go cite statistics to the thug holding a gun in your face while he's telling you to hand over your wallet and keys.

Huh? That's the point I'm trying to make. Even in the extremely unlikely event that that happens - the thug has a gun to your head. you can give him your wallet with $20 in it, or you can reach for your gun and he can shoot you. I know I'd rather be dead than give some druggie $20.

You could always shoot him in the leg as he runs away, then call the cops.

Edit: It may sound cowardly, but there are no "rules" when dealing with supreme douchebag thugs.
 

Deeko

Lifer
Jun 16, 2000
30,213
12
81
A) Aren't most people taught that if you're shooting a gun, the intent is to kill?
B) Shooting a guy that's running away from you....ah....no rules? What about laws? What about when his family sues you because you shot a guy that was, at the time, causing you not threat? I'm not saying you wouldn't be justified in doing it, I'm saying it makes the ensuing legal battle a much bigger pain in the ass.
C) You also assume that he's just going to turn and run, not back away with his gun still pointing at you. You even further assume that in the process of robbing you, he doesn't take your gun from you anyway.
 

sjwaste

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2000
8,757
12
81
Originally posted by: TechBoyJK
I don't have a license for concealed carry, but would like to get one soon.

In the meantime, I'm thinking a knife, or pepper spray? Any other recommendations? I don't want someting too bulky, but it needs to be effective (and hopefully not deadly if turned against me)

In most states, you don't get one "soon." There's usually a background check involved, then some safety classes, then you take it. In some states, you have to have a certain # of range hours. A noob concealing a handgun is a bad idea, and not a decision to be made lightly, and the laws of most states reflect that.

Start by finding a local range that will let you rent, take a safety class, and see how comfortable you are. If so, proceed, if not, find a safer occupation.

I'm really not trying to flame or be an asshole or anything, but a CCW brings a certain level of responsibility with it. Make sure you're ready for that before doing it.
 

thepd7

Diamond Member
Jan 2, 2005
9,423
0
0
Originally posted by: Deeko
As I said earlier - your stats are not a 1-1 comparison. You assume that if you have a gun on you, you will prevent the violent crime 100% of the time? And also, you picked out just one aspect of his post, when the rest of it is extremely relevant.

no one said the rest of the post wasn't relevant. It's a great post aside from the misinformation.

It is absolutely his personal choice to decide that those steps are too much.

For me, those steps are nothing compared to even the extremely remote possibility that my CHL will save my life or the lives of others.


Originally posted by: ConstipatedVigilante
Originally posted by: Deeko
Originally posted by: ConstipatedVigilante
I can't believe people are still arguing that it's better to be unprepared, no matter how unlikely an attack might be. Go cite statistics to the thug holding a gun in your face while he's telling you to hand over your wallet and keys.

Huh? That's the point I'm trying to make. Even in the extremely unlikely event that that happens - the thug has a gun to your head. you can give him your wallet with $20 in it, or you can reach for your gun and he can shoot you. I know I'd rather be dead than give some druggie $20.

You could always shoot him in the leg as he runs away, then call the cops.

Edit: It may sound cowardly, but there are no "rules" when dealing with supreme douchebag thugs.

Actually, there ARE rules. You can't even pull that crap in Texas. Please don't spread stupidity, we are trying to be informative.


Originally posted by: Deeko
A) Aren't most people taught that if you're shooting a gun, the intent is to kill?
B) Shooting a guy that's running away from you....ah....no rules? What about laws? What about when his family sues you because you shot a guy that was, at the time, causing you not threat? I'm not saying you wouldn't be justified in doing it, I'm saying it makes the ensuing legal battle a much bigger pain in the ass.
C) You also assume that he's just going to turn and run, not back away with his gun still pointing at you. You even further assume that in the process of robbing you, he doesn't take your gun from you anyway.

A) If you are properly taught then the intent is to STOP. Whether you kill the person does not matter. There is a question on the Texas CHL test regarding this.

B) You are correct, and in fact he would not be legally justified depending on the situation. Definitely if he intentionally shot someone in the leg he would be charged with attempted murder. Again, this goes back to shooting to STOP. If you are shooting someone, you better be shooting at their center of mass.

C) true.
 
May 16, 2000
13,522
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Originally posted by: sjwaste
Originally posted by: TechBoyJK
I don't have a license for concealed carry, but would like to get one soon.

In the meantime, I'm thinking a knife, or pepper spray? Any other recommendations? I don't want someting too bulky, but it needs to be effective (and hopefully not deadly if turned against me)

In most states, you don't get one "soon." There's usually a background check involved, then some safety classes, then you take it. In some states, you have to have a certain # of range hours. A noob concealing a handgun is a bad idea, and not a decision to be made lightly, and the laws of most states reflect that.

Start by finding a local range that will let you rent, take a safety class, and see how comfortable you are. If so, proceed, if not, find a safer occupation.

I'm really not trying to flame or be an asshole or anything, but a CCW brings a certain level of responsibility with it. Make sure you're ready for that before doing it.

The background checks take less than two weeks usually. The classes take between 1 day and 1 week (when they're even required, not all states do). I've never seen a requirement for range hours outside those inherent in the required class.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
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Originally posted by: ConstipatedVigilante
I can't believe people are still arguing that it's better to be unprepared, no matter how unlikely an attack might be. Go cite statistics to the thug holding a gun in your face while he's telling you to hand over your wallet and keys.

He can have them. I'm still coming out ahead when you factor in cost of weapon + permit + ammo + training even if I have to change all of my locks (cheap by comparison) and change all of my credit card numbers (free).

Yes, having a gun reduces your likelihood of injury more than cooperation, but the calculated risk of simply owning a gun outweighs the risk of not carrying and getting mugged and then being injured/killed.

The best solution is to avoid dangerous situations. That will drop your likelihood of injury/death to almost nil.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
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Originally posted by: ConstipatedVigilante
Originally posted by: Deeko
Originally posted by: ConstipatedVigilante
I can't believe people are still arguing that it's better to be unprepared, no matter how unlikely an attack might be. Go cite statistics to the thug holding a gun in your face while he's telling you to hand over your wallet and keys.

Huh? That's the point I'm trying to make. Even in the extremely unlikely event that that happens - the thug has a gun to your head. you can give him your wallet with $20 in it, or you can reach for your gun and he can shoot you. I know I'd rather be dead than give some druggie $20.

You could always shoot him in the leg as he runs away, then call the cops.

Edit: It may sound cowardly, but there are no "rules" when dealing with supreme douchebag thugs.

Unless he checks you for a weapon. If he has a gun, chances are he'll try to find out if you have a gun, too. What then, hot shot? Now he has two guns and is twice as powerful! :p
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
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Originally posted by: PrinceofWands
Not even REMOTELY true. There are only about 930 accidental deaths a year, and of course a slightly greater number of accidents that don't result in death (mortality from gunshot accidents is unfortunately very high). Let's call it a maximum of 5000 firearm accidents a year (to include those that go unreported, etc).

Meanwhile, there were 1,400,000 violent crimes in 2006. So you are about 300 times more likely to be a victim of crime than to be the victim of a firearm accident.

Perhaps, but how many of those 1.4 million violent crimes are actually random events? I may not be reporting any numbers at all, but at least I'm not reporting misleading ones! Also, consider how many violent crimes are completely unpreventable even with a gun. If a man has a gun to your head, you're fucked and the gun in your holster isn't going to change that.

Over 80% of rape victims know their attackers, for instance. Many violent crimes are not random chance events like what we're considering. I'm not aware of how many random violent crimes occur, but I'm sure it's pretty comparable to number of firearm accidents
 
May 16, 2000
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Originally posted by: Eeezee
Originally posted by: PrinceofWands
Not even REMOTELY true. There are only about 930 accidental deaths a year, and of course a slightly greater number of accidents that don't result in death (mortality from gunshot accidents is unfortunately very high). Let's call it a maximum of 5000 firearm accidents a year (to include those that go unreported, etc).

Meanwhile, there were 1,400,000 violent crimes in 2006. So you are about 300 times more likely to be a victim of crime than to be the victim of a firearm accident.

Perhaps, but how many of those 1.4 million violent crimes are actually random events? I may not be reporting any numbers at all, but at least I'm not reporting misleading ones! Also, consider how many violent crimes are completely unpreventable even with a gun. If a man has a gun to your head, you're fucked and the gun in your holster isn't going to change that.

Over 80% of rape victims know their attackers, for instance. Many violent crimes are not random chance events like what we're considering. I'm not aware of how many random violent crimes occur, but I'm sure it's pretty comparable to number of firearm accidents

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH.

In fact, in only 24% of all violent crimes is any weapon present. That means if you carry a gun you're going to be better armed than your attacker three-quarters of the time. Doesn't mean you can get it into play necessarily, but it does mean in the VAST majority of violent crimes you won't face a firearm.

74% of males robbed were robbed by a stranger, while 48% of females were.

57% of murders were committed by a stranger.

So we can roughly estimate that at least 700,000 violent crimes every year are committed at random/by a stranger, and that only 175,000 of them are armed (with even fewer being armed with a firearm). 900 accidents, 175,000 unarmed attacks by a total stranger. In other words, you're completely and totally wrong.

This is why people who don't study things seriously shouldn't form any sort of opinion about them...you simply don't have a damned clue what you're talking about.

edit: oh yeah, and btw about rape/sexual assault, against females it's actually 64% people they know, but for males it's 46% people they know. Yes, it's a higher percentage of intimates, but still a very large number of strangers.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
0
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Originally posted by: PrinceofWands
Originally posted by: Eeezee
Originally posted by: PrinceofWands
Not even REMOTELY true. There are only about 930 accidental deaths a year, and of course a slightly greater number of accidents that don't result in death (mortality from gunshot accidents is unfortunately very high). Let's call it a maximum of 5000 firearm accidents a year (to include those that go unreported, etc).

Meanwhile, there were 1,400,000 violent crimes in 2006. So you are about 300 times more likely to be a victim of crime than to be the victim of a firearm accident.

Perhaps, but how many of those 1.4 million violent crimes are actually random events? I may not be reporting any numbers at all, but at least I'm not reporting misleading ones! Also, consider how many violent crimes are completely unpreventable even with a gun. If a man has a gun to your head, you're fucked and the gun in your holster isn't going to change that.

Over 80% of rape victims know their attackers, for instance. Many violent crimes are not random chance events like what we're considering. I'm not aware of how many random violent crimes occur, but I'm sure it's pretty comparable to number of firearm accidents

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH.

In fact, in only 24% of all violent crimes is any weapon present. That means if you carry a gun you're going to be better armed than your attacker three-quarters of the time. Doesn't mean you can get it into play necessarily, but it does mean in the VAST majority of violent crimes you won't face a firearm.

74% of males robbed were robbed by a stranger, while 48% of females were.

57% of murders were committed by a stranger.

So we can roughly estimate that at least 700,000 violent crimes every year are committed at random/by a stranger, and that only 175,000 of them are armed (with even fewer being armed with a firearm). 900 accidents, 175,000 unarmed attacks by a total stranger. In other words, you're completely and totally wrong.

This is why people who don't study things seriously shouldn't form any sort of opinion about them...you simply don't have a damned clue what you're talking about.

edit: oh yeah, and btw about rape/sexual assault, against females it's actually 64% people they know, but for males it's 46% people they know. Yes, it's a higher percentage of intimates, but still a very large number of strangers.

You've completely missed the point. Robbery is only one type of violent crime. I think you require better reading comprehension.

This is why morons shouldn't form any sort of opinion... you simply don't have a damn clue what you're trying to argue about :roll:

Stating that 57% of murders were committed by a stranger and using that alone to claim that 50% of all violent crimes are random is idiocy.

edit: Clearly the numbers on rape vary considerably. Here are numerous conflicting sources, the percent I've included is the percentage of victims who knew their assailant
http://wellness.uwsp.edu/medin...teAcquaintanceRape.pdf (90%)
http://www.wcstx.com/friendrp.htm (80%)
http://www.cer.truthaboutrape.co.uk/3.html (97%)
http://www.rainn.org/statistics (73%)

If only 50% of rapes are random, there were 140k rapes reported in 2005 in the US; that's 70k of your 1.4 mill violent crimes that were definitely not random events, and the number is definitely higher than 50%.

You also have to remove all domestic violence from your number, as those are definitely NOT random. In 2004, there were more than 600k reported nonfatal domestic violence cases (fatal cases are only a few thousand). That's nearly half of your sample! You didn't even take any of this into account, making your post completely disingenuous.