Atlantic Ocean getting hot as hell - could be monstrous hurricane season

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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,934
55,280
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I’m no insurance expert as the only place I’ve owned was part of a co-op, which operate by different rules. I thought homeowner’s insurance didn’t cover flooding though and I think most hurricane damage is flooding so this would make sense. Oklahoma sees a lot of disasters covered by it and Florida’s disasters aren’t, even if they are overall far more destructive.
 

jdubs03

Golden Member
Oct 1, 2013
1,282
902
136
Should be getting our next center fix at 4:30pm EDT. Hurricane Hunter for that should’ve already departed.

Based on its satellite presentation (clearing out eye and those cloud tops), I wouldn’t be surprised if it was back up to 165mph or more, ~915mb or lower.
I should note taking a look at the objective Advanced Dvorak data, it’s reading at T7.5/7.4, which equivalent to 155knots (180mph). So my 165mph might be too low.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,581
46,217
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I've looked at a few sites and the states with the highest coverage costs vary depending on the methodology and the website. I've seen a few sites that say Southern Midwest is the most expensive for states in Tornado Alley. How those states are more expensive than Florida is beyond my understanding. A hurricane does way more damage than a Torando.

All in I think my mom is hovering in the 4K range now. Was like 800 when she lived in IL.
 

pete6032

Diamond Member
Dec 3, 2010
8,128
3,572
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I’m no insurance expert as the only place I’ve owned was part of a co-op, which operate by different rules. I thought homeowner’s insurance didn’t cover flooding though and I think most hurricane damage is flooding so this would make sense. Oklahoma sees a lot of disasters covered by it and Florida’s disasters aren’t, even if they are overall far more destructive.
A quick google search suggests that hurricanes are typically covered in Florida policies, though you are not required by law to purchase hurricane coverage.
 
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Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
13,718
11,325
136
A big problem with a shifting track is that people who were not in the zone and not advised to move out, but now are will have less time to do so.

To be fair, anywhere it hits directly is gonna be in the cone that has been published for days now. If you were/are in the cone and stayed ... eh ...
 
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jdubs03

Golden Member
Oct 1, 2013
1,282
902
136
165 mph. 918 mb. Cat 5 again.
This most recent pass.
Flight level winds of 160kt is as high as any point yesterday.
SFMR at 177kt (two readings at that speed), tied highest reading from yesterday (though these today are suspect for some reason).

902mb extrapolated.
1728422458399.png
I think NHC will provide a special update and raise the wind speed accordingly.

ADT reads as T7.7/161kts.
Definitely support for at least 155kt/180mph. But we’ll see what NHC does.
 

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
15,613
11,255
136
I watched a video this morning from people evacuating the area and gas stations have already gone dry and closed along with massive traffic jams which means that people are heeding the warnings. Hopefully the FHP will make all lanes one way to help move traffic out of the area.
Every person taking their own personal car is such a stupid way to evacuate an area, but 'Merica.
 
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jdubs03

Golden Member
Oct 1, 2013
1,282
902
136
This most recent pass.
Flight level winds of 160kt is as high as any point yesterday.
SFMR at 177kt (two readings at that speed), tied highest reading from yesterday (though these today are suspect for some reason).

902mb extrapolated.
View attachment 108930
I think NHC will provide a special update and raise the wind speed accordingly.

ADT reads as T7.7/161kts.
Definitely support for at least 155kt/180mph. But we’ll see what NHC does.
Hmmm.. well they lowered the pressure to 905mb. But no wind speed raise yet. Would’ve thought at least a small bump.
 
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Thump553

Lifer
Jun 2, 2000
12,839
2,625
136
Lived in Chicago for 15 years and lost power/gas exactly zero times. Even during the polar vortex in 2014 that hit -16F and froze jet fuel supplies at ORD.
I lived in the Midwest (Milwaukee) and New England. We probably lose power ten times as often in New England as the Midwest. The main reason is that nearly all of your power lines are buried where nearly all of ours are above ground. I went through some brutal ice storms in the ten years I was in Milwaukee and we only lost power once (two simultaneous skid out car accidents took out both the big green boxes (technical term) servicing our neighborhood. Damn rocky soil in New England.

Fortunately most of our power interruptions here are of the nuisance category-flicker off and on, or off for a couple of hours. Worse thing is I have well water so no power, no water, no toilets. That gets old fast. We do have a wood stove so can pretty long in the winter without power.
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
29,842
30,607
136
Michigan is just a shit show. The poles are old, the transformers are old as F, the lines are old, I'm not an expert, but how the lines are mounted to poles here looks much weaker than where we lived in Kansas. The two power companies here did hardly any tree trimming until a few years ago, it will take them years to catch up.

The state legislature and utility board are completely in the pocket of the power companies (both parties) so there is no accountability. For this shitty ass grid we get to pay some of the highest rates in the region. While companies do stock buy backs, pay large bonuses, and even ask for rate increases to cover corporate jet use.

Oh if your power is out for more than 5 days the companies have to compensate you.

It's a whole $25 bill credit.

In my opinion if a company is a managed monopoly and is failing to meet performance standards (which applies both Consumers and DTE), the investors in the company should be on the hook for getting the performance of the company back up to standards without asking for rate increases. Basically there is zero risk to investors in this state, they just keep asking for rate increases and delivering shit service while increasing profits.
 
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Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
15,613
11,255
136
I've looked at a few sites and the states with the highest coverage costs vary depending on the methodology and the website. I've seen a few sites that say Southern Midwest is the most expensive for states in Tornado Alley. How those states are more expensive than Florida is beyond my understanding. A hurricane does way more damage than a Torando.
Oklahoma has hail all the time. And then insurance buys off roofs that have minimal damage driving up the rates for everyone. I mean we get a lot of large very damaging hail too, but some people just get a new roof every 5 years.
 
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BoomerD

No Lifer
Feb 26, 2006
66,239
14,660
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People in the Southeast: I could never live in the Midwest. it is WAAY too cold in the winter, I just couldn't do it!

OK, well, it may be cold here, but neither my governor nor my mayor have ever told me I need to evacuate or I will die.
Maybe...but you lot are in Tornado Alley. I've heard similar stuff from southerners and midwesterners about California.
"I could never live there...they have EARTHQUAKES!"
 

sdifox

No Lifer
Sep 30, 2005
100,133
17,861
126
Oklahoma has hail all the time. And then insurance buys off roofs that have minimal damage driving up the rates for everyone. I mean we get a lot of large very damaging hail too, but some people just get a new roof every 5 years.
Wouldn't a metal roof make more sense then?
 
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sdifox

No Lifer
Sep 30, 2005
100,133
17,861
126
Way too loud when it hails. Better to just replace the roof than deal with the noise.
Insulation below metal roof would dampen the sound no? Also reduces thermal transfer making cooling cheaper. Hail storm don't last very long do they?
 
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Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
15,613
11,255
136
Wouldn't a metal roof make more sense then?
Probably, although my mom's metal patio cover has more dimples than a golf after last week's baseball sized hail.

I do think asphalt shingles are stupid in Oklahoma, but good luck changing that any time soon.