theeedude
Lifer
- Feb 5, 2006
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Originally posted by: Ktulu
Originally posted by: senseamp
If big 3 fail, government is going to be on the hook for:
1. bailing out their pension and retiree health care plans
2. paying unemployment to their workers and/or bailing out state unemployment insurance funds
3. welfare and health benefits for families of workers
4. creating job programs to employ those workers
5. lost income tax revenues from these workers
That's just for starters.
The cost of cleaning up the mess left by a big 3 bankruptcy is going to be astronomical compared to the cost of bridge loans to delay/avoid it. Even if that money does nothing more than delay an inevitable collapse for another year and is never repaid, it will cost less than simply paying social benefits to unemployed workers, families, and retirees for that same year. Now is simply not the time to let big 3 fail, because there are no jobs to replace the lost ones in the near to medium term. These workers will simply become a much bigger burden on the government if they are laid off.
I get the feeling that alot of people here including those in congress think that if the Big 3 get whiped out the foreign car companies are gonna come in and pick up where the Big 3 left off and save everyone from the effects of a Big 3 failure.
I think once these automakers no longer have to worry about US domestic auto industry's political clout and potential for protectionism, there isn't really much reason for them to build cars in the US, especially if the dollar stays strong. If the US has no choice but to import their cars, they'll go to the cheapest labor, which probably is not going to be in the US.