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nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
91
democrats should be preparing themselves to lose seats in both houses of congress... because that's how the dems roll :p
 
S

shadow9d9

Diamond Member
Jul 6, 2004
8,132
2
0
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
A new Washington Post-ABC news poll has some of the best news Republicans have seen in days maybe even weeks. Link

1. Bush?s approval numbers are up to 43%, the HIGHEST they have been since January. His disapprove number is at 55, also the lowest it has been ALL year.

Since their last poll released on 10-22 there has been a 6 point swing in Bush?s favor. Sure his numbers still suck, but a 6 point move in 12 days is very bad news for Democrats who are counting on Bush?s disapproval ratings to put them over the top.

2. Maybe even bigger news. The Generic ballot question shows only a 6 point lead for the Democrats. Before you get all excited over a 6 point lead keep in mind that on 10-22 it was a 14 point lead. In 12 days the Democrats have lost 14 points!!! At that rate by Election Day they would be down to a 3 point lead. A 3 point lead is NOTHING. In 2004 the Democrats had a lead in nearly every generic ballot poll and ended up losing the actual vote for the house by 3 points.

Prior to this poll the generic ballot numbers had moved very little all year. So obviously something has changed since November 1. Wonder if any of this is John Kerry related?
Most likely this movement is related to people having to really think about their vote. Saying you are mad at Republicans and actually voting for Democrats are two totally different things.

Maybe I need to bring back my ?Republicans will hold both houses? sig

BTW: Lots of other interesting things in this poll
Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling the situation in Iraq? 42-42 with 11 saying neither

Do you approve or disapprove of the way your own representative to the U.S. House of Representatives in Congress is handling his or her job? 56 approve 25 disapprove. (This is another huge factor in Republican favor. I believe in the number 1994 was under 50% approve.)

All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? 44 worth, 53 not. A 8 point move in the ?worth? direction.

Only 15% of people are ?not confident? that their own vote will be accurately counted this year

And for Harvey? 47% of people believe that Bush ?Intentionally mislead the American public.

The only questionable thing about the poll, it is 33 Democrat and 34 Republican. So as long as there is a strong Republican turnout the numbers look good, but if there is not then all bets are off.
Also there are other polls that still show a large Democrat lead in the generic ballot question.
Click to expand...


Last minute fear mongering is pathetic!
 
N

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
91
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: loki8481
democrats should be preparing themselves to lose seats in both houses of congress... because that's how the dems roll :p
Click to expand...

Bahahahahahahaha :laugh:
Click to expand...

man, that's harsh... you're cut 'n paste replying to me? :(

;)
 
C

catnap1972

Platinum Member
Aug 10, 2000
2,607
0
76
Originally posted by: shadow9d9
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
A new Washington Post-ABC news poll has some of the best news Republicans have seen in days maybe even weeks. Link

1. Bush?s approval numbers are up to 43%, the HIGHEST they have been since January. His disapprove number is at 55, also the lowest it has been ALL year.

Since their last poll released on 10-22 there has been a 6 point swing in Bush?s favor. Sure his numbers still suck, but a 6 point move in 12 days is very bad news for Democrats who are counting on Bush?s disapproval ratings to put them over the top.

2. Maybe even bigger news. The Generic ballot question shows only a 6 point lead for the Democrats. Before you get all excited over a 6 point lead keep in mind that on 10-22 it was a 14 point lead. In 12 days the Democrats have lost 14 points!!! At that rate by Election Day they would be down to a 3 point lead. A 3 point lead is NOTHING. In 2004 the Democrats had a lead in nearly every generic ballot poll and ended up losing the actual vote for the house by 3 points.

Prior to this poll the generic ballot numbers had moved very little all year. So obviously something has changed since November 1. Wonder if any of this is John Kerry related?
Most likely this movement is related to people having to really think about their vote. Saying you are mad at Republicans and actually voting for Democrats are two totally different things.

Maybe I need to bring back my ?Republicans will hold both houses? sig

BTW: Lots of other interesting things in this poll
Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling the situation in Iraq? 42-42 with 11 saying neither

Do you approve or disapprove of the way your own representative to the U.S. House of Representatives in Congress is handling his or her job? 56 approve 25 disapprove. (This is another huge factor in Republican favor. I believe in the number 1994 was under 50% approve.)

All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? 44 worth, 53 not. A 8 point move in the ?worth? direction.

Only 15% of people are ?not confident? that their own vote will be accurately counted this year

And for Harvey? 47% of people believe that Bush ?Intentionally mislead the American public.

The only questionable thing about the poll, it is 33 Democrat and 34 Republican. So as long as there is a strong Republican turnout the numbers look good, but if there is not then all bets are off.
Also there are other polls that still show a large Democrat lead in the generic ballot question.
Click to expand...


Last minute fear mongering is pathetic!
Click to expand...

Especially when the proclamation of the idiot in question is totally wrong! :D
 
DAPUNISHER

DAPUNISHER

Super Moderator CPU Forum Mod and Elite Member
Super Moderator
Aug 22, 2001
32,069
32,594
146
Given hindsight, this thread is comedy gold!
 
theeedude

theeedude

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,197
126
Originally posted by: senseamp
I love how Republicans are building their hopes up over some polls. It's going to be great coming back to this thread after these hopes are dashed on tuesday. :D
Click to expand...

:thumbsup:
 
Arkaign

Arkaign

Lifer
Oct 27, 2006
20,736
1,379
126
Hehehehehe :)

What's PJ's next prediction? Oh yeah, something about the Democrat's winning being bad for AT posters? Where DOES he get this stuff ;)
 
D

DealMonkey

Lifer
Nov 25, 2001
13,136
1
0
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
Maybe I need to bring back my ?Republicans will hold both houses? sig
Click to expand...
Man oh man, I don't think this sort of blind-faith cheerleading could possibly be rubbed in your face enough. :laugh:
 
UberNeuman

UberNeuman

Lifer
Nov 4, 1999
16,937
3,087
126
y'know, PJ - people might take you a little more seriously if you could just admit you were wrong, had a laugh at it and just moved on...

/no one is ever totally right.... Take them there lumps, boy.... Humility won't hurt ya, dude.....
 
JD50

JD50

Lifer
Sep 4, 2005
11,918
2,884
136
Wow, you guys really dislike ProfJohn. This circle jerk is getting a little ridiculous. So he was wrong, I'm sure all of you have been many times in your life. He has never been disrespectful or rude despite all of the childish insults constantly thrown at him, you guys could at least show a little respect. Grow up.
 
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