Zorba
Lifer
- Oct 22, 1999
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So either you or Zorba, or both, think that Putin will conclude that if he can use WMD in Ukraine without a military response from NATO, that he's clear to invade a NATO country? I don't think so. Because Putin knows we are obligated by treaty to intervene while we are not with Ukraine, which is why Putin manipulated Trump to undermine NATO. But even if the US broke it's treaty obligation (which I bet would happen if Trump was back in office), EU alone has enough military to crush Russia, and France has nukes.
This sounds like a slippery slope fallacy to me. I mean, you could be right, but it's far from clear that you are. The scenario where we intervene with our military now is the one with the highest probability of a catastrophic outcome.
Just wanted to add, I fully believe that there are people much more intelligent about how to handle this than me and will accept what they decide. I'm definitely not routing for any direct involvement. I'm also very glad we have a component administration for the moment.I don't necessarily think it'd lead to directly attacking NATO, but other non-NATO countries in the area, yes.
I also don't think Putin will nuke us because we enforced a NFZ over a different country. I agree with you that it raises the possibility of continued escalation, though.