Russia on brink of ... NOPE! Russia INVADES Ukraine!

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Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
40,512
9,994
136
If Russia really is this terrible at rolling over a next door neighbor that it can, on paper, easily defeat, than this was an extremely terrible move on Putin's part. If it's just a tactic to create a fall sense of hope before smashing it, I wouldn't be totally surprised.
A video I saw today from a westerner (American?) who's in an apartment in Kiev said that Russia's trying to not destroy Ukraine in the process of bringing it to its knees. They want it as part of Russia, not a vacant lot, destroyed. There may be a lot of truth in that, at least in these first 5 days. What happens now, I don't know.

His video was too long (~18 minutes? I didn't get more than 1/3 -1/2 way through), I think he was pretty full of himself and probably suffering from cabin fever, he seemed pretty pleased with himself.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,732
31,095
146
We are already overtly "in" this. Economic war has been declared. We are actively funneling tons of resources, arms, and supplies straight to the Ukrainian army.

This IS our fight.
The hundreds of thousands, if not millions of refugees fleeing into NATO makes this our fight.

Cities in eastern Ukraine need humanitarian supplies for millions of people. Russia is cutting them off and laying siege. A few weeks / months from now, that'll be a genocide. To save lives we must rapidly clear a path to eastern Ukraine, for food, water, fuel. And we must slaughter every single Russian standing in our way.

I'm....coming around to your attitude on this.
 
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Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
40,512
9,994
136
How are "we" actually getting all this stuff in? I assume we aren't just loading up a C-130 and dropping it off a Kyiv International Airport.
I figure there's a fair chance they aren't saying. "Classified."
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,732
31,095
146
Man, this is pretty much going to be like 90-94 era Russia after this is over with for a lot of Russian citizens. Probably not that bad. At least, the post-Putin fallout, however that works out, will be brutal for quite some time, but I think depending on how the power structure works out, the world could come to working quickly with Russia.

...of course, that just breads more resentment from the very same elements that think exactly like Putin, because a lot of them aren't going anywhere. Just...clerks and yes men just biding their time in the invisible trenches of the politburo. Just like Putin.

spit-balling ideal scenario, is something with an international committee observing the election, trusted, known Russian leaders, very local--Navalny, Kasparov, probably some of those past journalists, even writer/poets. It's a very patriarchal, macho society, but they also swoon for artists like no other such culture does. So I dunno...that's the sort of thing that "the west" tends to hope for, but anything that meets quick approval from the UN and other independent committees is going to be sold as western puppetry, and probably quite successfully, within 5 or 6 years.

You're going to have to clear out so many levels of entrenched power structure, significantly in the civilian legislature and as well the military, but you probably can't take out all the pieces. But whatever happens, it can never be perfect for anyone and a lot of regular Russian citizens are going to be generationally punished for this.
 
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RnR_au

Platinum Member
Jun 6, 2021
2,571
5,998
136
Not sure how reliable this is, but wouldn't surprise me.
1646029346367.png

The thing is... even if they get Zelensky, would Ukraine then suddenly roll over? I don't think so.
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,698
6,257
126
Hopefully we see their burnt out vehicles soon...I am under the impression we should all be impressed, but I'm curious as to what they could do that thousands of others have failed to do so far.
 
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sportage

Lifer
Feb 1, 2008
11,492
3,162
136
Putin bringing up nukes is just another failed attempt to scare.... I don't know to scare who exactly? Scare us? Scare the NATO countries? Scare Ukraine?
This Putin stunt sounds exactly like what Donald Trump's little brain would think up if Trump were in Putin's place. The more we know Trump, the more we can predict Putin. Having experienced someone like Donald Trump is quite telling of how Vladimir Putin operates.

Seriously. Think about it. The lies, the misinformation, the creating of conspiracies, the creating or fake boogiemen. All from the Trump playbook, or is it the other way around?
 

rommelrommel

Diamond Member
Dec 7, 2002
4,426
3,209
146
He’s spooked Europe successfully quite a few times, and what other cards does he have to play?

Sure, he can commit more forces to Ukraine, but he can’t attack a NATO country. He can’t stop the weapons and intel transfers. He can’t stop the sanctions.

While not in the same league, this has been a Hitler-esque overplay of assuming that because a tactic has worked before that it will work again.
 
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Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
35,502
9,724
136
The tales of fresh Russian conscripts not knowing wtf they are doing is incredible to behold.
Putin randomly and suddenly decided that Russians and Ukrainians alike had to be slaughtered.
Our response needs to be clear. Russia can surrender to live. Not to conquer them but to make peace.
Otherwise, if there must be slaughter, it will be a one way delivery until they have had their fill. Go back to their border and they will not be harmed.
 
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Leeea

Diamond Member
Apr 3, 2020
3,799
5,566
136
I saw this earlier today in a Twitter thread that was linked here, it had IIRC Olexander Scherba attribution. If I knew how to link that video specifically here, I would have.

Is that really in Kiev? The extent of the destruction astounds me. I wonder how that happened. I presume all those destroyed vehicles are Russian. I wish there was a translation to English provided, i.e. captions. That guy obviously had a lot to say, was very emotional.
If true, we know what happened to the 3 mile Russian convoy of doom.

It turns out it is one thing to launch cyberattacks and go all black hat. Just a few highly skilled individuals with minimal resources.

It is another thing entirely to protect your own stuff.
 
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RnR_au

Platinum Member
Jun 6, 2021
2,571
5,998
136
Bad news for businesses inside of Russia.
Russia has more than doubled its key interest rate after the rouble slumped by 30% against the US dollar.

Bank of Russia said it raised the rate to 20% from 9.5% to help cushion the impact on prices of the rouble's slide.
BBC
 

RnR_au

Platinum Member
Jun 6, 2021
2,571
5,998
136
1646043730642.png

Hmm... maybe 'low level' criminals would be ok. Would be kinda crazy to give killers guns. This ain't the suicide squad movie.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
25,804
15,278
136
Man, this is pretty much going to be like 90-94 era Russia after this is over with for a lot of Russian citizens. Probably not that bad. At least, the post-Putin fallout, however that works out, will be brutal for quite some time, but I think depending on how the power structure works out, the world could come to working quickly with Russia.

...of course, that just breads more resentment from the very same elements that think exactly like Putin, because a lot of them aren't going anywhere. Just...clerks and yes men just biding their time in the invisible trenches of the politburo. Just like Putin.

spit-balling ideal scenario, is something with an international committee observing the election, trusted, known Russian leaders, very local--Navalny, Kasparov, probably some of those past journalists, even writer/poets. It's a very patriarchal, macho society, but they also swoon for artists like no other such culture does. So I dunno...that's the sort of thing that "the west" tends to hope for, but anything that meets quick approval from the UN and other independent committees is going to be sold as western puppetry, and probably quite successfully, within 5 or 6 years.

You're going to have to clear out so many levels of entrenched power structure, significantly in the civilian legislature and as well the military, but you probably can't take out all the pieces. But whatever happens, it can never be perfect for anyone and a lot of regular Russian citizens are going to be generationally punished for this.
Yes, best and not at all unthinkable outcome here is a total deconstruction of the Russian mafia state and return the soil to its people.
 
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