Some say the 'nuke free world' is a 'pipe dream', that the 'genie is out of the bottle'.
They may want to add Robert McNamara, Ronald Reaga, and Mikhail Gorbachev to the list of pollyannas who just don't appreciate the real world that they are such experts on.
How well do these people understand the theoretical capabilities of the IEAE and similar groups, if the world signed on to the policy? Can they say as experts how not one stage of obtaining weapons can be reliably detected? The physics being out of the bottle is one thing, the process of creating a usable weapon is another. Or are they being lazy armchair commentators spewing what is the easy and commonly held assumption on the issue?
It's all easy to 'get used' to a status quo, to our having eapons and others not, not only ignoring any ongoing issues of justness and fairness but becoming com,placent that the proliferation is sable.
It's all too easy to simplistically say, 'sure it'd be nice, but if we got rid of them, the populous countries would get a big advantage, the loss of MAD would make war miore tempting, and someone might get them'.
No real substance behind those conclusions - they're just easy to say 'so, it's not practical, forget it'.
One, ending slavery was a pipe dream. Once, ending segregation in the South was a pipe dream.
Taking the easy route makes it all to easy to forget one important thing, the overriding massive damage of a nuclear explosion if it happens. Like a drunk driver who thinks he won't have an accident, people ignore it.
It was just the last administration who had policies to make nukes 'more usable', and their use has come up again and again. Vietnam? Many wanted it. Pakistan versus India?
McNamara was in charge of our nuclear weapons at the height of the cold war - he was familiar with the issues of deterrence. He saw that we are not making a priority of their danger.
What we need are not ignorant enemies of change on this policy throwing out ill-informed and wrong obstructions, but leadership to get rid of this danger.
I think the objectors might bristle at that label, as they think of themselves as pro-change because of their position on some other issue like the fed, but they're wrong.
We should be working on how to rid the world of these weapons. Address the issues of conventional deterrents, the political structures needed for it to work, the monitoring and enforcement.
When nukes are gone, the threat of nuclear attacks is gone.
That's not any peace, as wars before and after nukes show, but it is the removal of an insane risk.
And what is the basis for one nation to tell another, 'we can have nukes, and you can't'?
There's a lot more basis for compelling all nations to not have nukes, by threat of force, when there are no nations keeping theirs.
In the twentieth centuries, powers got comfortable with conventional armies, and used them in terrible wars. Now, man is comfortable with nukes.
Under what theory is the risk of nuclear attack low enough year after year after year to justify their remaining? How long does MAD work?
Look at the 50 million killed in WWII, the mtens of millions of civilians, the firebombing of cities, the use of mass rape as a weapon, and tell me how MAD is reliable for reatraining everyone who can get a nuke.