Post your personal 2012 election predictions here!

[buckshot24]

269-269 would be hilarious but not gonna happen. Remember they don't have to vote Romney-Biden if that happened.

That would be awesome for the entertainment value.

 

[zinfamous]

I like 263-263 better.

Biden would slice your Achilles and thumb your eyes out.

I think he's the kind of guy that would first go for the balls. Thumbs to the eyes though, too. definitely.

Old men just don't fuck around.

 

[rockyct]

Did the EC out back during the summer; had Obama winning 272-268. Don't really feel any different. Basically he only wins Florida but that's enough. I also had the Popular Vote being very close; but now I think Romney will win. Either way the PV will be within a percent.

House stays R, Senate stays D.

269-269 would be hilarious but not gonna happen. Remember they don't have to vote Romney-Biden if that happened.

If Obama wins FL, it means he's probably going to get OH, NV, CO, and VA as well.

 

[zinfamous]

269-269 would be hilarious but not gonna happen. Remember they don't have to vote Romney-Biden if that happened.

They don't--but it's House confirmation and senate confirmation separately, so....totally possible; and quite likely, I'd say.

 

[buckshot24]

I think he's the kind of guy that would first go for the balls. Thumbs to the eyes though, too. definitely.

Old men just don't fuck around.

He's old for a reason.

 

[jpiniero]

If Obama wins FL, it means he's probably going to get OH, NV, CO, and VA as well.

I based Obama winning Florida basically on the Hispanic vote.

 

[Abraxas]

I'm going to completely abdicate personal effort and just run with Silver's numbers, Obama by 303 or 332 depending on whether Florida flops back into Obama.

 

[First]

I'm going to completely abdicate personal effort and just run with Silver's numbers, Obama by 303 or 332 depending on whether Florida flops back into Obama.

Yup, this is indeed the most likely scenario. Not just based on Silver's polling model either, you can look at RCP's (more right-leaning) aggregation model and see that Obama will get to 303 without toss-ups at this point (though RCP leaves out a couple Virgina polls over the past couple weeks, don't know why).

 

[Screech]

resurrecting this thread....

My guess:

Obama 294, romney 244. Obama gets nevada, ohio, virginia, and the ones people expect (penn, wisconsin, michigan etc). Romney gets Colorado, florida, and NC.

 

[zinfamous]

He's old for a reason.

um, Biology?

:hmm:

 

[Don Vito Corleone]

Here is my map:

Forgive me for quoting myself, but I think I nailed it (unless the President ends up winning Florida).

 

[Arkaign]

And Obama around 300Ev, dem senate around 52 and GOP retain house.

 

[Abraxas]

Forgive me for quoting myself, but I think I nailed it (unless the President ends up winning Florida).

Looking like he will but since I just copied off Silver anyway I can't take too much credit.

 

[First]

Forgive me for quoting myself, but I think I nailed it (unless the President ends up winning Florida).

Yup. And all people had to do was average numbers, more or less.