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zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
104,860
19,544
136
I like 263-263 better.

Biden would slice your Achilles and thumb your eyes out.:p
I think he's the kind of guy that would first go for the balls. Thumbs to the eyes though, too. definitely.

Old men just don't fuck around.
 

rockyct

Diamond Member
Jun 23, 2001
6,658
32
91
Did the EC out back during the summer; had Obama winning 272-268. Don't really feel any different. Basically he only wins Florida but that's enough. I also had the Popular Vote being very close; but now I think Romney will win. Either way the PV will be within a percent.

House stays R, Senate stays D.

269-269 would be hilarious but not gonna happen. Remember they don't have to vote Romney-Biden if that happened.
If Obama wins FL, it means he's probably going to get OH, NV, CO, and VA as well.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
104,860
19,544
136
269-269 would be hilarious but not gonna happen. Remember they don't have to vote Romney-Biden if that happened.
They don't--but it's House confirmation and senate confirmation separately, so....totally possible; and quite likely, I'd say.
 

Abraxas

Golden Member
Oct 26, 2004
1,056
0
0
I'm going to completely abdicate personal effort and just run with Silver's numbers, Obama by 303 or 332 depending on whether Florida flops back into Obama.
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,530
271
136
I'm going to completely abdicate personal effort and just run with Silver's numbers, Obama by 303 or 332 depending on whether Florida flops back into Obama.
Yup, this is indeed the most likely scenario. Not just based on Silver's polling model either, you can look at RCP's (more right-leaning) aggregation model and see that Obama will get to 303 without toss-ups at this point (though RCP leaves out a couple Virgina polls over the past couple weeks, don't know why).
 

Screech

Golden Member
Oct 20, 2004
1,202
6
81
resurrecting this thread....

My guess:

Obama 294, romney 244. Obama gets nevada, ohio, virginia, and the ones people expect (penn, wisconsin, michigan etc). Romney gets Colorado, florida, and NC.
 

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