- Aug 31, 2002
Romney wins is my prediction.
This is going to be a close race...anybody who doesn't think the same at this point is blinded by their bias and partisan hackery.Obama absolutely wins EC in this election and gets a second term. Anybody who doesn't think the same at this point is blinded by their bias and partisan hackery.
All the recent polling, by every source, has Obama up in Nevada - http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nv/nevada_romney_vs_obama-1908.htmlI'm surprised at the number of people thinking NV is an Obama lock. I'm an apolitical Nevadan and I would not be surprised at all to see Romney take the state, and by a comfortable margin too.
I don't care too much about margin of victory, but I would love it if Florida went blue. We could all just go to bed at that point.That's I feel his best outcome...ok, he MIGHT swing florida if early voting is correct. That's the best he's going to do. I'm worried FL, VA and CO are going red, I see that as his floor.
I think it's a close race. Silver is still giving Romney a 20% chance of winning. I'm hoping that as the post Sandy polls come out, that goes down, but it's not guaranteed.That is what the mainstream media wants us to believe. It sells ads. They love the horse race.
The local elections in NV are really going to push the Presidential numbers. The D's have a voter registration lead over the R's statewide but there is a lot of D voter apathy. Shelley Berkley, an incumbent D from So. NV, could very well lose to Dean Heller (also an incumbent due to redistricting). Steven Horsford, a very popular D and outgoing State Senate Majority Leader, is currently losing to challenger Danny Tarkanian in a very heavily D district. Sheila Leslie, a State Senate D, could lose her seat to Greg Brower (also an incumbent due to redistricting).All the recent polling, by every source, has Obama up in Nevada - http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nv/nevada_romney_vs_obama-1908.html
Obviously this is no guarantee, but all signs point to him winning Nevada.