Official Trump second term prediction thread

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QueBert

Lifer
Jan 6, 2002
22,975
1,175
126
You guys are so fucked. And by you I mean all of us. What a fucking disaster the next four years is going to be.

While we'll have the worst of it, his fuckery will affect most of the planet. The global destruction he'll cause over these next 4 years will be something else. As dramatic as that sounds, the world as a whole is doomed. And the MAGAs couldn't be happier he's back in office. A part of me thinks he'll fuck shit up so badly that even some of his cult will understand what they did by voting for him.

And his cult already have it figured out, the next 2 elections Vance wins, and then Barron will be old enough to be president lol. After 2016 and him still getting reelected I shouldn't make jokes. Just imagine 8 years of Vance followed by Barron.
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
15,142
10,039
136
While we'll have the worst of it, his fuckery will affect most of the planet. The global destruction he'll cause over these next 4 years will be something else. As dramatic as that sounds, the world as a whole is doomed. And the MAGAs couldn't be happier he's back in office. A part of me thinks he'll fuck shit up so badly that even some of his cult will understand what they did by voting for him.

And his cult already have it figured out, the next 2 elections Vance wins, and then Barron will be old enough to be president lol. After 2016 and him still getting reelected I shouldn't make jokes. Just imagine 8 years of Vance followed by Barron.

Yup, the worst part would seem to be that it means the end of any effort to avoid a disastrous degree of climate change. Thanks, America.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
17,367
16,636
146
Yup, the worst part would seem to be that it means the end of any effort to avoid a disastrous degree of climate change. Thanks, America.
Yup. I'm personally expecting to see +3c in my lifetime (probably by 2050). Any takers on societal collapse with me?
 

uallas5

Golden Member
Jun 3, 2005
1,647
1,910
136
Trump's executive order creating DOGE is very limited in scope, focusing on IT infrastructure and software. I can see why the tech bros were sucking Trump's dick to be a part of the team that recommends software and hardware configurations government-wide. Billions and billions are on the table.
So, their first order of business will be putting the cancelled IT upgrades for the IRS back, since the IRS has been dealing with INNEFICIENT and ancient systems for over a decade now? That'll be it, right?
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
29,855
30,635
136
So, their first order of business will be putting the cancelled IT upgrades for the IRS back, since the IRS has been dealing with INNEFICIENT and ancient systems for over a decade now? That'll be it, right?
No need!
The IRS is going to be closed and replaced with the ERS which will be outsourced to private companies in the name of efficiency.

The lower egg prices will be epic!
 
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Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
13,732
11,351
136
So far, most of his domestic orders are mostly petty shit that sounds good to the petty people who voted for him. His attacks on LGBT+ people mostly abolish policies that don't actually exist anyway.

He's making all SES positions hire/fire at will. They already were so no real change there.

He's ordering the military to seal the border. That's going to be a pricey endeavor and erode military readiness. Eventually, Congress will grow tired of it.

The one for birthright citizenship doesn't fall into that category. It's the groundwork for some really would-be heinous shit.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,610
46,271
136
And maybe not necessarily in the direction one might expect ...

The right simply assumes that political violence will be a one way street for them and them alone. History strongly suggests this as not the case.

The MAGA plan is to make a lot of people who don't agree with them desperate in a variety of ways because they have to be owned. You do not have to be able to see into the future to predict this could lead to adverse responses.
 

purbeast0

No Lifer
Sep 13, 2001
53,634
6,508
126
Trump plans to abrogate the free trade agreement and impose 25% tariffs for non-economic reasons on Canada and Mexico starting Feb 1. That sound you hear is automotive execs in the US jumping out of the nearest available window.

https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lg7nbcuz4r2e

Why would any country sign a deal with us?
I'm glad I got my new car when I did (NYE 2024).

I know Kia has a factory in Mexico so I don't see how this won't impact prices.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,935
55,288
136
I'm glad I got my new car when I did (NYE 2024).

I know Kia has a factory in Mexico so I don't see how this won't impact prices.
While prices are the biggest part as he alluded to we also now have no credibility when it comes to making deals. Every country that deals with the US will do so with the understanding that we can't be trusted to keep any promise we make.

What do you do if your counterparty can't be trusted? You either don't make a deal at all, you make one you don't intend on honoring either, or you demand payment up front.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,610
46,271
136
I'm glad I got my new car when I did (NYE 2024).

I know Kia has a factory in Mexico so I don't see how this won't impact prices.

I'm genuinely curious how the public perceives things if this happens and prices on cars/trucks start jumping up almost overnight. The Trump "Mexico pays the tariffs" or whatever is a questionable strategy when people are staring at higher sticker prices right in the face.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,610
46,271
136
What do you do if your counterparty can't be trusted? You either don't make a deal at all, you make one you don't intend on honoring either, or you demand payment up front.

China did option 2 and it worked out for them. They never fulfilled (or came remotely close) their end of the agreement Trump made. I expect other countries to follow suit.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,935
55,288
136
China did option 2 and it worked out for them. They never fulfilled (or came remotely close) their end of the agreement Trump made. I expect other countries to follow suit.
Yep! This is also a larger problem for business investment. If US trade terms are constantly changing how do you invest intelligently?
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,610
46,271
136
Leftists and muslims getting easily conned into supporting, or at least not opposing, Trump going to reap the expected dividends.

Screenshot 2025-01-21 at 9.33.19 AM.png
 
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you2

Diamond Member
Apr 2, 2002
6,884
1,958
136
China did option 2 and it worked out for them. They never fulfilled (or came remotely close) their end of the agreement Trump made. I expect other countries to follow suit.
It is an interesting but true thing that Trump is more interested in political wins than real wins.

Maybe it is time for a new thread - which of the second term predictions came true.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,610
46,271
136
It is an interesting but true thing that Trump is more interested in political wins than real wins.

Maybe it is time for a new thread - which of the second term predictions came true.

It still resulted in collateral damage that has not been undone. Especially for US agriculture. That's why he had to bail out the farmers.
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
15,985
11,122
136
Leftists and muslims getting easily conned into supporting, or at least not opposing, Trump going to reap the expected dividends.

View attachment 115368

They didn't get conned.

They voted for it as they thought the left was feckless and spammy saying the old shit all over again that didn't make the prices of eggs cheaper.

This is EXACTLY WHAT THEY VOTED FOR!
 

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
13,263
4,042
136
While we'll have the worst of it, his fuckery will affect most of the planet. The global destruction he'll cause over these next 4 years will be something else. As dramatic as that sounds, the world as a whole is doomed. And the MAGAs couldn't be happier he's back in office. A part of me thinks he'll fuck shit up so badly that even some of his cult will understand what they did by voting for him.

And his cult already have it figured out, the next 2 elections Vance wins, and then Barron will be old enough to be president lol. After 2016 and him still getting reelected I shouldn't make jokes. Just imagine 8 years of Vance followed by Barron.
18 + 12 = 30

See Article Two of the U.S. Constitution.


Yup. I'm personally expecting to see +3c in my lifetime (probably by 2050). Any takers on societal collapse with me?
+3c aggregate since Industrial Revolution, or from now? Is this like you predicting Hurricane Beryl would hit Texas as a Cat3?

Don't get me wrong, climate change's effects look to be disastrous for much of the world. However, I think eventually technology will come along and at least partially save us from ourselves. It's obvious we're not solving carbon emissions behaviorally; so the only thing left is to do a fuckton of carbon capture, handle mass migrations from low-lying areas, and mitigate the worst of the damage. Future generations are gonna be left holding the bag.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
17,367
16,636
146
+3c aggregate since Industrial Revolution, or from now? Is this like you predicting Hurricane Beryl would hit Texas as a Cat3?
From Industrial Revolution. We're at +1.5c and accelerating.

Actually I suggested Beryl would land as a cat5:
Earliest cat4 ever recorded, and only cat4 ever recorded in June.

I won't be surprised if it hits cat5 before it hits whatever it's going to hit in the Gulf.

It actually made landfall on Grenada as a high cat4, hit cat5 after that, before finally weakening prior to hitting Texas. I'll note that I never said it was going to hit TX as a cat5, though that has more to do with the path the thing took than anything else. If it had veered north to LA/MI it would have absolutely fucked that coast up.

My point still stands, it was the earliest cat5 on record, the strongest we've seen before JUL, and multiple-record-breaking. We should be grateful that southern wind shears weakened it so that it only killed 73 people, instead of a few thousand.


Don't get me wrong, climate change's effects look to be disastrous for much of the world. However, I think eventually technology will come along and at least partially save us from ourselves. It's obvious we're not solving carbon emissions behaviorally; so the only thing left is to do a fuckton of carbon capture, handle mass migrations from low-lying areas, and mitigate the worst of the damage. Future generations are gonna be left holding the bag.
Bad take man, relying on someone else to fix the problem but totes sure they will, will leave you and yours holding the bag, because you aren't planning to face any actual consequences.