Considering the rest of Feb is very favorable ground for Obama. He'll do well in Texas. All he needs to is win a majority of congressional districts in Texas, and he'll get the most Delegates.
Here is a hint. There are only 5-6 Hispanic majority districts in Texas. Thats out of 32 districts.
The latino vote is concentrated in parts of Texas. As is the black vote.
You also have to look at the trend. Obama wins hands down amongst affluent suburbanites. Thats like a HUGE % of the Texas population.
Obama can win the majority of Congressional Districts in Texas. He does that, he gets the most delegates. My bet is he splits it. While snagging a good win in Ohio.
The clock won't run out. The next 6 contests favor Obama immensely.
Every passing day, he gains. She loses. And with the race so close, there will be many, many days.
Every passing day, he gains. She loses. And with the race so close, there will be many, many days.
They won't all be over, Einstein.
There's a lot of contests yet to come. And with the race this tight, they WILL matter.
my current thought line is Obama = Hillary > McCain.
I'm probably voting for whoever the democratic nominee is unless McCain has a VP that really blows me away (re: not Huckabee, though I can objectively see that Huckabee or Crist as VP is probably the GOP's only hope).
I've got a complicated relationship with McCain
I disagree with him on nearly every issue, but I think he'd make a damn fine president and should have been elected president in 2000 if he hadn't gotten such a raw deal in the SC primary. I just want McCain to have the fair shot that he was denied in 2000.I would have much rather have had him in the oval office on 9/11 instead of Bush or Gore.
Uh. Hes peaking at the right time. His momentum is going upwards still. About half the delegates have been awarded. Hes within 80 delegates because of Super Delegates. He still leads amongst ELECTED delegates. He will likely have the most overall delegates going into March 4(Texas, Ohio).
What you said is just nonsense.
Originally posted by: loki8481
my current thought line is Obama = Hillary > McCain.
I'm probably voting for whoever the democratic nominee is unless McCain has a VP that really blows me away.
I've got a complicated relationship with McCain
I would have much rather have had him in the oval office on 9/11 instead of Bush or Gore.
I think one thing we've learned from this primary, and all the backlash McCain has got, is that he never had a chance in hell in 2000. The Republicans have nobody and are gritting their teeth even having to settle with him. George W. Bush, a Texan with all the right stances, the outside-of-Washington position, the Jesus factor, the name recognition.. it was inevitable.
techs
Lifer
- Sep 26, 2000
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Obama had his chance tonite and he blew it.
The only thing that saved his candidacy was winning the caucus states, plus 2 tiny, tiny states in Alaska and North Dakota. If he had not won Missouri (by less than 1 percentage point) it might have even finished his campaign.
Tomorrow I will add up the total nationwide votes and if adds up like it looks now, Hillary beat Obama in the number of votes substantially.
The only thing that saved his candidacy was winning the caucus states, plus 2 tiny, tiny states in Alaska and North Dakota. If he had not won Missouri (by less than 1 percentage point) it might have even finished his campaign.
Tomorrow I will add up the total nationwide votes and if adds up like it looks now, Hillary beat Obama in the number of votes substantially.
I live in North Dakota so it will be a rout for mccain, so i'll either vote mccain or do a bogus right in.
Although I prefer Hillary, I could live with either her or Obama as the candidate. I would vote for either one over any Republican. I do think that Obama seems like a good guy.
Pabster, you on the other hand have been fanatical in your support of Obama. You have shown a lot of disrespect and spitefulness towards Hillary Clinton and her supporters in this forum. I almost want Hillary to win solely for the enjoyment of seeing you eat LOTS of crow. If I were you and Obama ended up losing, I think I'd be so embarrassed that I would just dissapear.
Pabster, you on the other hand have been fanatical in your support of Obama. You have shown a lot of disrespect and spitefulness towards Hillary Clinton and her supporters in this forum. I almost want Hillary to win solely for the enjoyment of seeing you eat LOTS of crow. If I were you and Obama ended up losing, I think I'd be so embarrassed that I would just dissapear.
Obama is expected to win(look at the exit polls). Most predict the delegates will be split fairly evenly.
You confuse me. Didn't you make thread after thread claiming it was going to be a landslide for Clinton?
if the popular vote mattered, we'd be speaking french and driving priuses under the leadership of President Gore.
Not replying to techs because I said I wouldn't, just using this comment to make a bet.
$10 says there is some kind of condition placed on these numbers he comes up with because they didn't turn out the way he thought they would.. that is, Obama has more total votes so far than Clinton.
My own condition on this calculation, which I think is reasonable, is that Michigan is either discounted or a significant number of "Uncommitted" are given to Obama. Say, 85%? Seeing as how Edwards usually topped out at 15%.
someone has to balance out techs, and at least pabster is sane and grounded about it, if not a bit overzealous.
Obama is taking lots of red/purple state primaries and caucuses (some of them hugely).
This doesn't mean he'd win Utah in the general - but I think it shows his potential to win more honest-to-god battlegrounds in Nov. than Hillary. The blue states seem to have far more nostalgic feelings about 1993-2000 than the rest of the country.
Well, that's my biased little bit of tea-leaf reading.
This doesn't mean he'd win Utah in the general - but I think it shows his potential to win more honest-to-god battlegrounds in Nov. than Hillary. The blue states seem to have far more nostalgic feelings about 1993-2000 than the rest of the country.
Well, that's my biased little bit of tea-leaf reading.
it's a weird topsy turvy world.
seems like conservative democrats are going for Hillary and republicans are going for Obama. lol.
seems like conservative democrats are going for Hillary and republicans are going for Obama. lol.
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