***Official*** 2009 Stock Market Thread

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hiromizu

Diamond Member
Jul 6, 2007
3,405
1
0
Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Originally posted by: hiromizu
Sold almost everything 10 mins ago. Should be a fun day tomorrow.

haha

Haha? The day ain't even over yet! I'm a technical trader that makes $$$million$$$ a year. The graphs tells me everything. Everything I tell you. This ship is going down but I just don't have the balls to short. I say get out while you still have legs...but buy C of course.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Originally posted by: cKGunslinger
Well, one of my resolution for the year was to get involved in some sort of *potential* money-making/investment hobby, just to test the waters.

Not to high-jack this thread, but do we have any consensus on a good stock-trading site for a non day-trader. I have an ING account, but Sharebuilder seems to not be exactly what I'm looking for, based on reviews.

I used sharebuilder until recently. I'm switching back to TD. Sharebuilder is nice because I use ING Direct for my primary checking, so it was nice to have everything coupled together. However, I have tried and tried to hold on, but lack of stop % losses, $1.50 per contract options trading, no pre/after market trading, no conditional orders, etc. was really killing me. So I made the switch.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Originally posted by: cKGunslinger
Well, one of my resolution for the year was to get involved in some sort of *potential* money-making/investment hobby, just to test the waters.

Not to high-jack this thread, but do we have any consensus on a good stock-trading site for a non day-trader. I have an ING account, but Sharebuilder seems to not be exactly what I'm looking for, based on reviews.

However, I should say that sharebuilder is a GREAT way to get started in investing. So if you don't know what a stop % loss order is, or conditional order, or what "per contract" means, I would start with Sharebuilder.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Originally posted by: Naustica
Sold and took my small profit in DXO and little larger profit in DBA. Commodities had a nice little rally here the past two weeks and oil up around 50% since the Dec 19 low. I think oil is headed to $60 but very few things move in straight line. $35-60 seems to the trading range lot of people are thinking. Still holding on to COP as my oil/gas exposure.

My gut feeling for this year? We have couple nice bear market rallies as people try to buy in front of recovery. Maybe a nice rally to April in anticipation and then reality sets in and we fall hard breaking last year's low. Lower to the year end. Just my guess.

Mine too :) I keep telling people it's going to hit hard.
 

Slew Foot

Lifer
Sep 22, 2005
12,379
96
86
Originally posted by: hiromizu
Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Originally posted by: hiromizu
Sold almost everything 10 mins ago. Should be a fun day tomorrow.

haha

Haha? The day ain't even over yet! I'm a technical trader that makes $$$million$$$ a year. The graphs tells me everything. Everything I tell you. This ship is going down but I just don't have the balls to short. I say get out while you still have legs...but buy C of course.

I too think were pretty maxed out for the year, but damn, the market keeps going up.

 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,230
701
126
The DOW Jones Indexes have been put up for sale. Goldman Sachs (suprise!) is conducting the sale. ATOT could buy the index and rename it the ATOT Industrial Index or whatever they wanted! :D

(Per CNBC)

Originally posted by: hiromizu
It'll go down any minute now. Please.


:laugh:

(Take it from someone who knows, begging it doesn't help it one way or another! :p )
 

hiromizu

Diamond Member
Jul 6, 2007
3,405
1
0
Originally posted by: Engineer
The DOW Jones Indexes have been put up for sale. Goldman Sachs (suprise!) is conducting the sale. ATOT could buy the index and rename it the ATOT Industrial Index or whatever they wanted! :D

(Per CNBC)

Originally posted by: hiromizu
It'll go down any minute now. Please.


:laugh:

(Take it from someone who knows, begging it doesn't help it one way or another! :p )

There's 5 mins left. I am pretty sure that it may go down.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,230
701
126
Originally posted by: hiromizu

There's 5 mins left. I am pretty sure that it may go down.

Typical rally up from about 3:00-3:45 and then a slight pullback from 3:45 to 3:55 and then a slight runup at the end. If it were a big down day, reverse the above! :D
 

hiromizu

Diamond Member
Jul 6, 2007
3,405
1
0
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: hiromizu

There's 5 mins left. I am pretty sure that it may go down.

Typical rally up from about 3:00-3:45 and then a slight pullback from 3:45 to 3:55 and then a slight runup at the end. If it were a big down day, reverse the above! :D

Looks like the down leg is due for Monday, not today. Sometimes with technical analysis unexpected developments in support and resistance could occur causing unusual market movements like today. Sometimes these things can be a bit tricky.
 

SandEagle

Lifer
Aug 4, 2007
16,809
13
0
CTIC up to 1.75 in after hours. FDA priority review to be granted this Monday (hopefully)
30mil stock purchase from institutional investor completed today
wish me luck :)
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
68
91
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: hiromizu

There's 5 mins left. I am pretty sure that it may go down.

Typical rally up from about 3:00-3:45 and then a slight pullback from 3:45 to 3:55 and then a slight runup at the end. If it were a big down day, reverse the above! :D

Typical ..... har har

You [people need to stop watching CNBC.
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
68
91
I get a kick out of you guys. I bought one stock this year. WFC at $14.19.

Up to just shy of $28. A 90%+ gain. Nothing like buying at what I assumed to be a 60-70% discount to intrinsic value. I will sell at $35.

 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,230
701
126
Originally posted by: IHateMyJob2004
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: hiromizu

There's 5 mins left. I am pretty sure that it may go down.

Typical rally up from about 3:00-3:45 and then a slight pullback from 3:45 to 3:55 and then a slight runup at the end. If it were a big down day, reverse the above! :D

Typical ..... har har

You [people need to stop watching CNBC.

I didn't get that from CNBC, I got that from watching yahoo finance at work throughout the years. Sure, it doesn't happen every day, but that's the very pattern that happens many days during the year. Something about 3:00 starts it all. :)
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
68
91
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: IHateMyJob2004
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: hiromizu

There's 5 mins left. I am pretty sure that it may go down.

Typical rally up from about 3:00-3:45 and then a slight pullback from 3:45 to 3:55 and then a slight runup at the end. If it were a big down day, reverse the above! :D

Typical ..... har har

You [people need to stop watching CNBC.

I didn't get that from CNBC, I got that from watching yahoo finance at work throughout the years. Sure, it doesn't happen every day, but that's the very pattern that happens many days during the year. Something about 3:00 starts it all. :)

Ya, the pattern that happens expect when it doesn't.
 

GTKeeper

Golden Member
Apr 14, 2005
1,118
0
0
Originally posted by: IHateMyJob2004
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: IHateMyJob2004
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: hiromizu

There's 5 mins left. I am pretty sure that it may go down.

Typical rally up from about 3:00-3:45 and then a slight pullback from 3:45 to 3:55 and then a slight runup at the end. If it were a big down day, reverse the above! :D

Typical ..... har har

You [people need to stop watching CNBC.

I didn't get that from CNBC, I got that from watching yahoo finance at work throughout the years. Sure, it doesn't happen every day, but that's the very pattern that happens many days during the year. Something about 3:00 starts it all. :)

Ya, the pattern that happens expect when it doesn't.

Ihate... are you bullish in today's market?
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Hi all, posted this in another thread but figured people here would know better:

Wash sales... seems to only apply to losses, correct? So if I am up in my portfolio, and want to pay taxes now on the short term gains I have (to offset some significant short term losses earlier this year), I can sell all of the stock for a $7K short term gain, which will offset a $6K short term loss earlier this year (stupid THMR), buy back the stock within 30 days, and continue holding it, yes?

Here's the two situations I propose:

1) I hold onto the stock that is up now, and it continues to go up over the next few years. Those gains turn into long term gains, and I pay 15% tax. Yet, this year on my taxes, I'll have a $7K short term loss, which isn't offset by anything, so I'll have to wait 3 years (3K + 3K + 1K) to get those losses back on my taxes.

2) I sell the portfolio I have now for $7K profit, completely wiping out the losses I have. I'm in the middle of switching brokerages too, so this would be good because I could move cash and not worry about ACAT. My short term losses (already realized, and no wash rule applies to the losses since I never rebought those stocks back) and short term gains cancel each other out, and I'm left even. I move the cash over to my new brokerage and begin buying again. Yes I lose out on the potential long term gains, but I'm also a bit bearish on the market, and if things drop like crazy soon, I could have even more of a loss to report vs. the potential to break even

Any negatives to #2?

My gut is to sell everything now, to protect myself against the bear market, but also wipe out that $7K loss and start from scratch tax-wise. I may just transfer funds to my new broker at that point (who is going to give me 60 days of free trading) and buy things back.
 

Kntx

Platinum Member
Dec 11, 2000
2,270
0
71
Originally posted by: hiromizu
all these suckers are still buying into the rally. just you wait. please

Yea I don't know. This has been my opinion for a few months. More and more I'm feeling like the sucker for not buying into the rally.
 

manlymatt83

Lifer
Oct 14, 2005
10,051
44
91
Originally posted by: hiromizu
all these suckers are still buying into the rally. just you wait. please

I'm up over 300% in most of my positions. Thinking of getting out of everything and waiting to see if the rally continues up, or if it busts. I think it will bust again, hard.

Thoughts?
 

Kntx

Platinum Member
Dec 11, 2000
2,270
0
71
Originally posted by: manlymatt83
Originally posted by: hiromizu
all these suckers are still buying into the rally. just you wait. please

I'm up over 300% in most of my positions. Thinking of getting out of everything and waiting to see if the rally continues up, or if it busts. I think it will bust again, hard.

Thoughts?

I think you at least need to lock in the profit. Take it off the table and reduce the positions to the level of the initial investment.