Originally posted by: Hayabusa Rider
Winning the Democratic nomination? Most likely.
Winning the Presidency? I'm not so sure. The Reps have yet to start on him in earnest. I believe they've let Democratic internal politics do whatever harm it can, and then it will all begin. Also please remember, we're talking about an electorate that elected Bush TWICE. My confidence in the average voter to find their way out of a paper bag isn't very high.
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I still have to disagree. The democrats have a secret weapon this year named GWB and I think many of his far flung chickens of bad policy will come home to roost by fall. If the economy tanks and Iraq flares up again, stick a fork in McCain, he is done.
In terms of elections, the dems ran Kerry who failed to connect with the American public. And running as a smarter GWB doomed him. But still the election of 2000 and 2004 were almost identical in States taken in the electoral college and did show America as a deeply divided 50 50 nation.
The election of 11/06 was widely seen as a referendum on the governance of GWB. And in that election, the GOP got creamed. Losing its majority in the house which was expected as all seats had to run. But when the GOP lost in the Senate where only 1/3 of the Seats were open, the loss of a six seat majority has to be regarded as a whiz bang wonder. Since then the GOP congress has gridlocked the nation and very few people now can regard the GOP members of congress as their saviors. And above all, America is far worse off than it was
eight years ago. Something like 80% of the people think this nation is heading in the wrong direction and maybe a raw majority are now SEETHING MAD AT GWB&co. But certainly about 75% are at least very very disturbed with GOP policy.
I have faith in the American voter. They have been fooled before but they are really wising up now. The GOP electorate firmly rejected the big phonies with Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, and Giuliani. McCain is going to have to live with the GWB label.