NON_POLITICAL China Coronavirus THREAD

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Svnla

Lifer
Nov 10, 2003
17,986
1,388
126
Just saw on the France24 channel, the country is shutting down again and people are scramming to get foods and supplies. The shelves are bare/empty again. Where are the usual suspects that love to blame? Who are you blaming this time? Uh huh.
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
71,209
14,033
126
www.anyf.ca
I think the writing is on the wall that we might shutdown again too. Cases are rising, in some places even more than what was original. I think right now the government is in a big dilemma, do we try to ride this wave so we can keep the economy going, or do we shutdown again to lower spread and avoid it to get out of control.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
53,741
48,411
136
Just saw on the France24 channel, the country is shutting down again and people are scramming to get foods and supplies. The shelves are bare/empty again. Where are the usual suspects that love to blame? Who are you blaming this time? Uh huh.

I think the useful distinction to draw are the places that gave up or started to ignore the threat after good initial responses and those that have kept after it relentlessly (much of Asia).
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
15,142
10,043
136
Fauci says that US may not be back to normal until 2022. This sucks, and will only get bad this winter. Stay safe all.



Yeah, I find it hard to believe the world in general will be able to get 'back to normal' for at least another year. And even after that the virus will still hang around in some areas and flare up intermittently, I suspect. It shows no sign of slowing any time soon. Wonder what the total global death toll will be? A few million, maybe?
 

Denly

Golden Member
May 14, 2011
1,436
229
106
I think the writing is on the wall that we might shutdown again too. Cases are rising, in some places even more than what was original. I think right now the government is in a big dilemma, do we try to ride this wave so we can keep the economy going, or do we shutdown again to lower spread and avoid it to get out of control.

Ford sound exciting yesterday, other than GTA's stage 2 1/2 lock down Ontario might have dodge the bullet "for now"
 

Scarpozzi

Lifer
Jun 13, 2000
26,392
1,780
126
An underfunded and disorganized vaccination campaign is a growing concern as we get closer to having something available.

I agree....I posted something that was political in nature....so I retracted it.

Distribution is going to be tricky, especially in rural America. Furthermore, the distribution is going to be tough if they ship vials out too quickly and end up not tracking the stockpiles. I can see Philadelphia or Jersey getting large quantities that aren't consumed and other cities states having shortages. It's going to take time to connect the logistics appropriately.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
53,741
48,411
136
I agree....I posted something that was political in nature....so I retracted it.

Distribution is going to be tricky, especially in rural America. Furthermore, the distribution is going to be tough if they ship vials out too quickly and end up not tracking the stockpiles. I can see Philadelphia or Jersey getting large quantities that aren't consumed and other cities states having shortages. It's going to take time to connect the logistics appropriately.

Yeah there is a lot that could potentially go wrong and this government totally f'd up the distribution of supplies and drugs already so I'm not exactly super confident about their skills in directing distribution of an even more complex product.
 
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Grey_Beard

Golden Member
Sep 23, 2014
1,825
2,007
136
Yeah there is a lot that could potentially go wrong and this government totally f'd up the distribution of supplies and drugs already so I'm not exactly super confident about their skills in directing distribution of an even more complex product.

I wonder how many doses will be contaminated because they were not kept at right temperature? Seems like this is the best way the incompetence will impact the roll out.
 

Spacehead

Lifer
Jun 2, 2002
13,067
9,858
136
Didn't Trump say the military was going to be in charge of distribution?

No idea if that would be good or bad.
 

Scarpozzi

Lifer
Jun 13, 2000
26,392
1,780
126
Didn't Trump say the military was going to be in charge of distribution?

No idea if that would be good or bad.
That was what I wrote about and deleted... trying to keep it non-political...but I guess it's just a quote. He said he had one general, in particular, that's ready to go as soon as the vaccine is ready... So relax already!
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,115
136
An underfunded and disorganized vaccination campaign is a growing concern as we get closer to having something available.

Good God. As we start to get promising news on the availability of vaccines - this :(.
If 2020 sucks, what are we going to be saying about 2021. I really, really hope that our bodies remember how to create antibodies for at least 12 months, or this plague will continue.
 

Scarpozzi

Lifer
Jun 13, 2000
26,392
1,780
126
Good God. As we start to get promising news on the availability of vaccines - this :(.
If 2020 sucks, what are we going to be saying about 2021. I really, really hope that our bodies remember how to create antibodies for at least 12 months, or this plague will continue.
Tough to say. I just hope I can continue to work from my man cave through next year. If things get better, I may come out next May.
 

CZroe

Lifer
Jun 24, 2001
24,195
857
126
Good God. As we start to get promising news on the availability of vaccines - this :(.
If 2020 sucks, what are we going to be saying about 2021. I really, really hope that our bodies remember how to create antibodies for at least 12 months, or this plague will continue.
T-cell immunity is where it's at. People with the original SARS-CoV didn't have antibodies for long but they still have T-cell immunity, even today (17 years later). All indications are that this is exactly how our immune systems will work with SARS-CoV-2. Your T-cells will recognize infected cells and destroy them before the virus can get a foothold.

The media raising the alarm about this demonstrates limited awareness of the many facets for viral immunity.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
53,741
48,411
136
Didn't Trump say the military was going to be in charge of distribution?

No idea if that would be good or bad.

The military's role in this has not been explained. Frankly I have trouble conceiving what it could be since the administration has required states and cities to develop and submit vaccination plans.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,115
136
T-cell immunity is where it's at. People with the original SARS-CoV didn't have antibodies for long but they still have T-cell immunity, even today (17 years later). All indications are that this is exactly how our immune systems will work with SARS-Cov-2. Your T-cells will recognize infected cells and destroy them before the virus can replicate.

The media raising the alarm about antibodies have demonstrably limited awareness of how our multi-faceted immune system works.
Thanks for that positive note and reminder! The media has been been its usual self blasting about over 'studies' on antibody retention, and I fell for it*. I guess it’s going to take time to get good studies on long term T cell effectiveness and beta cell 'memory'.

*This surge is putting me on edge.
 
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Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,115
136
Noticed yesterday that a local Starbucks is closed to instore ordering and pickup (drive thru only). I wonder is someone was positive for COVID. If so, kudos to them.
 

H T C

Senior member
Nov 7, 2018
614
458
136

I have no proof but i'm convinced that's it's the schools that are driving the spread. Here's why:

1 - parent(s) catch the virus somewhere and remain asymptomatic
2 - parent(s) pass it on to kid(s) that also remain asymptomatic
3 - kid(s) pass it on to fellow classmate(s), also asymptomatic, not in classes themselves but either between classes or entering / leaving schools
4 - fellow classmate(s) pass it on to their parents

By the time someone presents symptoms, there's already a HUGE bunch of people infected, and that is PER SCHOOL.

By keeping schools open, i think it will take much longer for France to be able to leave lockdown, thus further aggravating it's economic consequences: they should limit schools in person only for kids up to ... say ... 10 years old or so.

Is it bad to have e-learning for older kids? It's far from ideal but, considering the circumstances and IF I'M RIGHT, it's a heck of a lot better than the alternative, IMO.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
53,741
48,411
136
I have no proof but i'm convinced that's it's the schools that are driving the spread. Here's why:

1 - parent(s) catch the virus somewhere and remain asymptomatic
2 - parent(s) pass it on to kid(s) that also remain asymptomatic
3 - kid(s) pass it on to fellow classmate(s), also asymptomatic, not in classes themselves but either between classes or entering / leaving schools
4 - fellow classmate(s) pass it on to their parents

By the time someone presents symptoms, there's already a HUGE bunch of people infected, and that is PER SCHOOL.

By keeping schools open, i think it will take much longer for France to be able to leave lockdown, thus further aggravating it's economic consequences: they should limit schools in person only for kids up to ... say ... 10 years old or so.

Is it bad to have e-learning for older kids? It's far from ideal but, considering the circumstances and IF I'M RIGHT, it's a heck of a lot better than the alternative, IMO.

Current evidence seems to indicate younger kids don't really spread the virus much at all but teenagers are little biological bombs. The former need in person schooling much more than the latter.