GloFo has smashed together one failing fab business after another- IBM were failing so hard that they literally paid GloFo billions of dollars to take the fabs off their hands. I remain deeply skeptical.
GloFo has stayed afloat nevertheless. IBM was bleeding cash from the fab, but that is due to larger competitors. It is a very competitive business. They spun it off as AMD obviously did. Just because IBM's fab was not getting the business desired doesn't mean their processes were bad or that they didn't deliver. Now you have those two combined, you have the additional research agreement to bring the smaller nodes to mass production quicker. Having the number one and three largest fans working with the first company to achieve a 7nm and 5nm chip, and the all-around-gate to speed nodes and processes to market, which would take much longer otherwise, shouldn't be ignored.
Meanwhile, I point to Samsung and TSMC for timelines and nodes, which TSMC is already doing trappings for 7nm, Samsung is going to stay with 10nm longer, and GloFo already announced adopting IBM 7nm instead of licensing Samsung's (meaning Samsung has it, but isn't rushing as much). Intel, the fourth largest fab, has had problems with every node shrink since 14nm, which includes broadwell, which was a horrible chip, after having to put out devil's canyon because of the node not being ready and low yields. Now, 10nm is delayed AND we are seeing 3 process nodes per shrink. This is because they are having more trouble shrinking.
Other companies have had issues at 10nm also. It isn't unique to Intel. But, that is why GloFo focused on 7nm, as did TSMC which already have a 4GHz arm chip demo for HPC, which AMD is allowed to switch to if GloFo can't deliver. So, the arguments this is the same as historical events ignore intermediate developments, such as acquisition and research agreements.