Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: markuskidd
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: markuskidd
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: PSYWVic
Originally posted by: SuperTool
OK, what's with all this second guessing. The terrorists start killing hostages and the Russians go in. Negotiations are fine until the terrorist start killing hostages en masse.
Only 2 hostages died from gunfire, according to official new sources. That is not "en masse." Whatever you were told there must not be true.
No one is approving of terrorists or hostages-takers, but this was obviously a more-or-less failed rescue scenario, with unacceptable hostages casualties (~15%). The fact that those deaths were caused by the Russian government, and not the hostage-takers as would be the usual case, makes the situation that much worse.
With Putin on Russian TV giving formal apologies, you can guarantee that heads are rolling in the Russian government right now.
The terrorists said they would start executing hostages at 6 in the morning. They killed 2 at 5:30, and the Russians heard automatic weapons fire. The hostages that made it out said they had full expectation of being killed. Now, what would you have the Russians do?
1. Sit back and say, "yep let them shoot. they'll run out of ammo eventually"
2. Not use gas, rush in and risk massive explosions. Now even if the building didn't collapse, there were dozens of chechen women sitting there wired up to blow. Surrounded by hostages. We are talking about blowing up dozens of bombs in a crowded theatre. Now given the size of their explosives, each would probably take down a dozen or more around them. If the building collapsed, everyone including the rescuers would die, probably around 1000 people.
3. Use gas. Which would kill some hostages with lower tolerances, but would neutralize the terrorists. They had to use enough gas to incapacitate all terrorists if they wanted to avoid explosions. There are so many variables, that it's impossible to calculate how much gas is needed to avoid killing the hostages and at the same time take out all the terrorists.
The Russians did what they had to do with the information that they had. Now if you can come up with a better solution given what they knew then, I would like to know it. And why are 15% casualties unacceptable? And why would it be better if the hostages were killed by terrorists who wouldn't give them any chance to survive as opposed to being killed by Russians in a rescue attempt, where at least they had a chance?
#4. Allow the Chechans to have a referendum to decide whether they will become an independant republic?
Yes, there is always an option of giving in to terrorists. You are living in a dream world.
Why are you opposed to letting them have a referendum to decide if they want to have independance? Just because some misguided individuals have chosen violence to put forward their cause doesn't mean the cause itself is invalid. *However* in this case doing the right thing (in my opinion) is also something that would have ended the hostage situation.
You are naive in the ways of this world.
I am opposed to it on a variety of reasons:
Practical:
Who is going to vote in said referendum? Just Chechens still living in Chechnya? Chechens who are refugees living in Russia? Russians who were living in Chechnya prior to the war and are also refugees living in Russia? Russians who are still in Chechnya? Chechens born in Russia who never lived in Chechnya? Al Qaeda terrorists who were living in Saudi Arabia and are now living in Chechnya? All people of Russian Federation? All of the above? None of the above?
What would the consequences of such referendum be?
If won: Would all Chechens be forced to go to Chechnya? Even those who have been living in Russia for a long time? Could Chechens guarantee no attacks on the rest of Russia from their territory, would they guarantee that no terrorists would find refuge on their land. Experience shows that during their 2 years of de-facto independence they were not able to do any of that, or establish any sort of government aside from a few warlords fighting with each other. Attacks were routinely launched on Dagestan and other parts of Russia. People were kidnapped from Russia.
If lost: Would all Chechens put down their arms, allow all refugees to return and live happily ever after? Would they expell wahabbi interventionists? Would they even be able to do any of the above if they wanted to? What about those who chose to continue fighting?
This referendum is the dumbest idea I have ever heard, because both sides would simply ignore it and continue fighting. It's not going to happen.
Some in this world let this democracy thing go to their head, but even in the US if a state voted to secede from the union, there would be civil war, as we know from history. States cannot allow themselves to be broken down into the lowest common denominators just because one group of subjects votes that way.