Originally posted by: OrByte
Originally posted by: dphantom
It seems that the left's posts are simply to simplistic. A timetable 1, 2 or 4 years ago would have been disastrous for Iraq. Sectional fighting, ethnic cleansing even genocide were the norm.
The remarkable success of the surge planned and led by Gen Petraeous has brought us to the point where we can today begin thinking about a planned withdrawal. I see no change in positions, simply a recognition that today is much different than yesterday and so positions held yesterday are no longer valid today.
Smart people recognize that. Others who are so blinded by their hatred of anything Bush related will only see this change as justification for their ill thought out and ill advised position of years past.
With the securing of the last AQI areas in and around Mosul complete, and additional Iraqi divisions gaining combat experience, the situation today is much different than even 6 months ago. And still, the proposed framework for a withdrawal provides a mechanism for US combat forces to remain if the situation changes for the worse. If it does not and the ground situation reamins as it is or continues to improve, then there is no need for US combat forces as Iraqi's are and have proved themselves capable, TODAY, of handling the threat from AQI and sectarian militias.
what about a request for a time table 40-50 days ago? When even McCain was against the idea of "emboldening our enemies?" I guess ALOT has changed since then right??? I guess our enemies cared back then but they dont care today...those terrrist are finicky like that!
You aren't saying anything that hasn't already been said, just more of the same apologies. Smart people recognize that.
What about in all the years past when candidates such as Kerry and Gore and Clinton and now Obama were chastized for recognizing that "today is much different than yesterday and so positions held yesterday are no longer valid today." ????
Again, you are not saying anything that hasn't already been said before, only now I guess its your turn to defend people for "flip flopping" enjoy!
I don't know about Kerry, Gore or Clinton. Don't think they are part of the OP posting. I was talking only to the OP itself.
I think a lot has changed on the last 2-3 months. Operations in Mosul and Basra were successfully completed only recently and were still very much questionable 3 months ago. Diyaniyah is still a problem but it appears based on Iraqi orbat they are taking the lead there.
"The plan for the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) to take over Iraq security is directly linked to the US plan to draw down forces and as briefed by General Petraeus in September 2007. For military planners, there are natural decision points for when to reduce forces based on the rotation schedule of US forces. These semi-annual decision points are September for drawdowns to be completed by January, and March for drawdowns to be completed by July. The drawdown schedule is not a hard and fast schedule. At each of these points the option to delay exists if the situation on the ground warrants it.
The decision to draw down forces will be made by September 2008 so that the drawdown can be completed by January 2009. There are already signs the US and Iraq are preparing for this drawdown. The Iraqi Army is beginning to absorb at least two Kurdish Divisions. The 3rd Brigade, 101st Airborne Division in south Baghdad is already planning to turn over its battle space to the newly forming 17th Commando Division. The Marines in Anbar are looking at reducing to a Marine Expeditionary Brigade. The 3rd Brigade, 10th Mountain Division is already preparing for Afghanistan instead of the originally announced Iraq deployment.
These reductions are being facilitated by the expanding the Iraqi Army and Iraqi National Police (INP). The Iraqi Army, which consisted of 10 divisions organized into 36 brigades in 2006, now consists of 16 divisions with 60 brigades and is still expanding. One-third of the current Iraqi Army did not exist two years ago."
Reference
Please note the above. This is what is allowing us to look at more concrete timetables for withdrawal STILL predicated on the assumption that Iraq can continue to handle its security. All bets are off if Mahdi or other militia groups attempt to return to the factional fighting of the past.
What I don't believe you or other leftists understand is just how fast military conditions can change and how quickly commanders need to adjust tactics and operations to deal with the changes. No one could have predicted the overwhelming success of the surge. In fact, many of those who are now complainign about this so called flip-flop over withdrawal were teh very ones adamantly predicting the surges complete failure.
Well, it appears they were wrong then and are just as wrong now. We make decisions based on best current information with an eye to past events. We can quibble over 40-50 days or 3-4 months. The bottom line is that until very recently, any discussion of set in stone withdrawal dates was inappropriate. Even today, there is nothing set in stone nor will there ever be.
I make no apologies for Bush's idiotic management of the Iraq war. I've said it over and over in many previous posts. But the current status in Iraq requires a change in how we look at our long-term stay. And the key is and always has been the stand up of Iraqi forces to manage their own internal security. And that as much as the surge is the reason why today's Iraq is finally, after years of unbelieveable incompetency, finally looking like the Iraqi's will have a safe, secure country of their own for the first time in many years.