What a modern depression would look like.

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blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,902
2,359
126
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: WhipperSnapper

I don't know what a modern depression would look like and I don't want to know. Unfortunately, we're probably going to find out and it's not going to be pretty.

True, even America's new chosen one is warning of the impending doom ahead:

12-7-2008 Obama: Economy 'a big problem, and it's going to get worse'

President-elect Barack Obama braced the country for more tough times Sunday, saying twice in an interview that the nation?s already dismal economy would continue to worsen in the months ahead.

Interesting also is his new stance of going back on campaign promises:
*bringing the troops home, and
*repealing the Bush tax cuts.

Get ready for more deficit spending!

You should be thrilled then becaue he would be like Bush Jr part II.

Why is that? Can you link where Ive been thrilled with Bush? Tell you what...for every link you find where I have, I'll link where Ive lambasted him. If I cant link more cons of Bush to the pros I'll paypal you $50. Deal?

Chickenshit.

No link necessary:

Originally posted by: blackangst1

Get ready for more deficit spending!

Nice dodge (as usual). Unless, of course you equate "Get ready for more deficit spending!" to "I like Bush"...in which case you need to explain (which I know you wont).
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
From Slew Foot-

I like how people think living 10 miles away from a big city is living "out in the hinterlands".

My comment was in reference to the 30 mile figure cited above.

Even at 10 miles out, you won't be walking to work or the grocery store. You're still completely hooked on the automobile and all it entails... In a depression, lots more people simply can't afford it...
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
0
76
Today I saw a white guy selling oranges

OH GOD IT'S HAPPENING, ECONOMIC APOCALYPSE HAS COME

The article was a good read, the thread responses have been ridiculous.
 

Slew Foot

Lifer
Sep 22, 2005
12,379
96
86
Originally posted by: Jhhnn
From Slew Foot-

I like how people think living 10 miles away from a big city is living "out in the hinterlands".

My comment was in reference to the 30 mile figure cited above.

Even at 10 miles out, you won't be walking to work or the grocery store. You're still completely hooked on the automobile and all it entails... In a depression, lots more people simply can't afford it...

The vast majority of suburbs in the US have more shopping centers within a 10 minute drive than you can shake a stick at, at least for now, maybe theyll all go out of business in the next couple years.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
Sigh. I'm not making any sort of end of the world as we know it argument, Slew Foot. But it seems to me that people caught on the stinky end of the stick- laid off, foreclosed, evicted, bankrupt & etc will probably find it to their advantage to move closer to the city core, simply because it can be cheaper... and a depression scenario dictates that entirely more people than I'd like will find themselves in that position.

Even people who make above average incomes often live hand to mouth, deeply in debt, so disruption of their income stream has immediate and drastic effects. They have no reserves, so the glide path to financial ruin is vertical...
 

CptObvious

Platinum Member
Mar 5, 2004
2,501
7
81
I foresee exponential growth in 4chan-like forums, as hundreds of thousands of unemployed grads move back into their parents' basements.
 

JD50

Lifer
Sep 4, 2005
11,888
2,788
136
Originally posted by: Capt Caveman
Originally posted by: JD50
Originally posted by: Rainsford
Originally posted by: Zebo
The Suburbs to Urban shift is not happening instead more likely is well armed gated communities will hole themselves up with community armed sentries and community farms and invite their urban family to move in with them. Also Rural communities will boom. Cities will be a no-go zone totally unsafe. LEO's in those cities will quit in droves much like they fled the danger during Katrina.

Consider all the trends I've seen say EXACTLY the opposite, you got anything to back up your claim? Big cities are getting safer and the rich folks are moving back in. A big reason is that rising fuel costs make commuting 30 miles one way a ridiculously stupid idea, people once again want to live near where they work...and "rural communities" provide no jobs at all for anyone who isn't a potato farmer.

How in the world can you consider commuting 30 miles one way a "ridiculously stupid idea"? Even at the height of the oil bubble that would only have been about $8 a day in gas, assuming that you're driving a more fuel efficient car. Wow, 8 whole dollars to live in a nice neighborhood with a big backyard as opposed to living in a cramped city....:roll:

And unless you're living within walking distance from your work, you're still going to be spending money on public transportation.

Actually, trends do show a migration of the rich to the city. In Boston, luxury condos/apts are going up and selling out prior to construction even in this economy. Also, there have been news stories of people looking to buy homes that were close distance to public transportation. I know if I ever moved out to burbs, it would have to be close to commuter rail station.

Trading Places
Moving On: Urban Nesters Head Downtown

That's fine, but that doesn't change the fact that calling someone "ridiculously stupid" for choosing to spend an extra couple of dollars a day in fuel costs is well, ridiculously stupid. Also, if you're rich, I doubt that fuel costs make much of difference.
 

JD50

Lifer
Sep 4, 2005
11,888
2,788
136
Originally posted by: Jhhnn
From Slew Foot-

I like how people think living 10 miles away from a big city is living "out in the hinterlands".

My comment was in reference to the 30 mile figure cited above.

Even at 10 miles out, you won't be walking to work or the grocery store. You're still completely hooked on the automobile and all it entails... In a depression, lots more people simply can't afford it...

Hi, I live 25 miles from Richmond and there are 3 grocery stores, a mall, home depot, chili's, applebees, chinese restaurant, thai restaurant, 3 italian restaurants, camera place, dominos, cici's pizza, barnes and nobles, petsmart, target, 2 liquor stores, 3 gas stations, 2 mexican restaurants, texas roadhouse, officemax, bed bath n beyond, dicks sporting goods, bestbuy, circuit city, japanese steakhouse, subway, quiznos, 2 blockbusters, and a few more stores all within about 4 miles.

I don't know about you, but I can certainly walk 4 miles. Oops!

Edit - I live in a 2500 sq. foot home in a nice neighborhood with about 1/2 acres of land, and I paid about 240k for my house a year ago. The value has stayed about the same over the past year. But oh noes, I'm 25 miles from the city and I'm paying an extra 4$ a day in gas!!!!

You must've never been outside of the city if you think that 10 miles out is so desolate.
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
40,426
9,941
136
It could get as bad as the 1930's. Bread lines, rationing. There may be an economic collapse. If credit isn't restored and companies go out of business willy nilly, purchasing power drops, discresionary spending becomes relatively obsolete, a major proportion of the working population is out of work, cities, counties, states go essentially bankrupt. You think it can't happen? I don't.

Americans, many of them, maybe the great majority are spoiled. Their idea of economizing is paltry compared to what they would be doing in the event of a complete economic collapse. It would be a huge wake up call. We're certainly closer to that, much closer, than any time in the last 60 years. Will it happen? I don't have a crystal ball.
 

nullzero

Senior member
Jan 15, 2005
670
0
0
Lets see 70% of the economy is consumer driven.... So if we see the trend of unemployment and contraction of credit to consumers continue... it will be devastating to the economy. We could easily climb to +20% unemployment since it seems the perfect storm has formed.

For those who don't think it will be all that bad take a look at the highest unemployment areas in the nation. Detroit and New Orleans as some examples to get an idea of how it will be. I expect rampant crime and possibly rioting in the major cities across the nation as the nation is starved of income and food. Give it a year or two for us to get to the point where the depression will start to hit 99% of Americans.
 

IGBT

Lifer
Jul 16, 2001
17,967
140
106
..a few months in and the obama will declare victory and tell y'all the economy is great and he'll have the clinton circus out there with their smoke and mirrors just like they did in 1995.
 

roid450

Senior member
Sep 4, 2008
858
0
0
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Capt Caveman
Originally posted by: Wheezer
Originally posted by: nergee
533,000 more people are in a state of economic depression this month compared to last month.....It will get worse......

BUT look on the bright side...in all this economic uncertainty...its nice to see people have their priorities straight.

Blackberry Storm

Why not? Plenty of people have not been affected and won't be.

That's where you are wrong.

We have not been affected one bit. in fact, we benefitted from this Economic depression thing. My mom just bought a brand new 08 Grand Cherokee fully loaded all the bells and whistles, it took us 5 hrs total but we finally brought he salesman and dealer to their knees (once ur in there figuring out numbers they will not let you go) and got the car for about 28K out the door final price with Preferred Warranty. Payments of about 370 a month :Q we had seen the same or similar Jeeps selling in the 30K range, and then still add tax etcc blah blah on top of the 30K, a few months back in the summer, this one was at 19,995

Few days later my dad bought a 08 4X4 2500HD Dodge with Cummins 6.7L diesel fully loaded also for about 40K out the door :Q :Q :Q

Luckily we bought a mobile home 7 years back and the bad home market did not affect us ONE bit at all, our lives are pretty much unchanged. Tho a lot of our friends weren't so lucky, few lost their cars, most lost their homes which they had refinanced at the peak of the prices :roll: and got money put of it to pay off a car etc..


 

roid450

Senior member
Sep 4, 2008
858
0
0
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Capt Caveman
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Capt Caveman

Why are some companies still hiring?

Where?

Please do a good public service for a chnage and post these miraculous job openings.

Mickey D's and Walmart does not count.

My company and thousands of other's on Monster and Dice. Sorry Dave, we know you can't keep a job and your experience is limited to McDonald's and Walmart but some of us are educated, skilled, employed and do well for ourselves.

We're not stupid enough to buy $7 milk and believe that oil is going to $200.

Milk already hit $6, oil already hit $147, gas already hit $5

You and your buds have already destroyed the country by design and on purpose.

4.69 for 2 gallons of 2% with the Vons card here in So Cal or u can go to 7/11 and pay 4.59 for one gallon
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: roid450
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Capt Caveman
Originally posted by: Wheezer
Originally posted by: nergee
533,000 more people are in a state of economic depression this month compared to last month.....It will get worse......

BUT look on the bright side...in all this economic uncertainty...its nice to see people have their priorities straight.

Blackberry Storm

Why not? Plenty of people have not been affected and won't be.

That's where you are wrong.

We have not been affected one bit. in fact, we benefitted from this Economic depression thing. My mom just bought a brand new 08 Grand Cherokee fully loaded all the bells and whistles, it took us 5 hrs total but we finally brought he salesman and dealer to their knees (once ur in there figuring out numbers they will not let you go) and got the car for about 28K out the door final price with Preferred Warranty. Payments of about 370 a month :Q we had seen the same or similar Jeeps selling in the 30K range, and then still add tax etcc blah blah on top of the 30K, a few months back in the summer, this one was at 19,995

Few days later my dad bought a 08 4X4 2500HD Dodge with Cummins 6.7L diesel fully loaded also for about 40K out the door :Q :Q :Q

Luckily we bought a mobile home 7 years back and the bad home market did not affect us ONE bit at all, our lives are pretty much unchanged. Tho a lot of our friends weren't so lucky, few lost their cars, most lost their homes which they had refinanced at the peak of the prices :roll: and got money put of it to pay off a car etc..
You haven't been affected yet, but I could go and buy a fully loaded Corvette today, I have little doubt of that, but it doesn't mean I should or that I won't be affected by any coming downturn.

Plenty of people will NOT be affected, though, just as they were not in the depression, or at least not negatively. In a bad economy if a person is in the right spot, they do better. I was talking to IT contractors last night who say they've seen an increase in business as companies are less willing to hire full-time people, for example.
Milk already hit $6, oil already hit $147, gas already hit $5
Liar, yes it did, and again liar.
 

Aharami

Lifer
Aug 31, 2001
21,205
165
106
Originally posted by: dmcowen674

Milk already hit $6, oil already hit $147, gas already hit $5

You and your buds have already destroyed the country by design and on purpose.

your posts are annoying man. not everyone who disagrees with you is a repub and not everyone who agrees with you is a dem. you gotta stop this us vs. them crap. you make us dems look bad. I'd rather you leave the country.
 

rudder

Lifer
Nov 9, 2000
19,441
86
91
Originally posted by: Jhhnn
Living in the exurbs is becoming more expensive by the minute. $4 gas was just a taste of things to come, and insurance rates often reflect less than optimal fire and police services. Not to mention that vehicle maintenance costs are mileage based, as well. There's also the issue of time, which is essentially all any of us have on this earth. If you don't mind wasting a lot of it fighting traffic and weather, then moving out to the hinterlands won't bother you.

In a depression scenario, city life has a lot to offer. First off, the chances of picking up odd jobs are increased, even if the pay is lousy- it's still better than no pay. And people who're on the lower end of it all can actually *walk* to a lot of places they need to go- a truly remarkable concept... survival is entirely possible w/ no vehicle at all, making total cost of existence a lot lower...

Tell me how well that sidewalk garden is doing. Me... I will be eating fresh vegetables and dining on venison steaks. Enjoy that $15.00/lb ground beef. Of course I don't know how I will be able to afford enough concertina wire to keep those hungry city folk out of my garden.
 

blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,902
2,359
126
Originally posted by: Muse
It could get as bad as the 1930's. Bread lines, rationing. There may be an economic collapse. If credit isn't restored and companies go out of business willy nilly, purchasing power drops, discresionary spending becomes relatively obsolete, a major proportion of the working population is out of work, cities, counties, states go essentially bankrupt. You think it can't happen? I don't.

Americans, many of them, maybe the great majority are spoiled. Their idea of economizing is paltry compared to what they would be doing in the event of a complete economic collapse. It would be a huge wake up call. We're certainly closer to that, much closer, than any time in the last 60 years. Will it happen? I don't have a crystal ball.

Although generally I agree with you (to a point), I am cautious of using words like close. Are we closER? Yeah, we are. But I guarantee you, based on my own global travel in 13 counties, the USA in its current form is a long, long way from doomsday scenarios proposed on this board by a few. A long way. Ive been to countries where the unemployment rate is 40%, and positions like sales in a mall REQUIRE a college degree, and I can tell you people still get by. We are very resiliant and resourceful. But for sure we are staged for a general change in life in the US, but we'll have to wait and see.

I think Obama will fix it :p
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Although generally I agree with you (to a point), I am cautious of using words like close. Are we closER? Yeah, we are. But I guarantee you, based on my own global travel in 13 counties, the USA in its current form is a long, long way from doomsday scenarios proposed on this board by a few. A long way. Ive been to countries where the unemployment rate is 40%, and positions like sales in a mall REQUIRE a college degree, and I can tell you people still get by. We are very resiliant and resourceful. But for sure we are staged for a general change in life in the US, but we'll have to wait and see.

I think Obama will fix it :p
When I was in Cuba the guy who gave us towels at the beach had an engineering degree.

F**king pathetic use of his life, but he had to take what was available, I guess.
 

wwswimming

Banned
Jan 21, 2006
3,695
1
0
it's not a future tense thing. it's a present tense thing - in some states.

if California was as bad off economically as Michigan, it would be called a Depression.

and that's before GM goes BK, if it does.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
Originally posted by: rudder
Originally posted by: Jhhnn
Living in the exurbs is becoming more expensive by the minute. $4 gas was just a taste of things to come, and insurance rates often reflect less than optimal fire and police services. Not to mention that vehicle maintenance costs are mileage based, as well. There's also the issue of time, which is essentially all any of us have on this earth. If you don't mind wasting a lot of it fighting traffic and weather, then moving out to the hinterlands won't bother you.

In a depression scenario, city life has a lot to offer. First off, the chances of picking up odd jobs are increased, even if the pay is lousy- it's still better than no pay. And people who're on the lower end of it all can actually *walk* to a lot of places they need to go- a truly remarkable concept... survival is entirely possible w/ no vehicle at all, making total cost of existence a lot lower...

Tell me how well that sidewalk garden is doing. Me... I will be eating fresh vegetables and dining on venison steaks. Enjoy that $15.00/lb ground beef. Of course I don't know how I will be able to afford enough concertina wire to keep those hungry city folk out of my garden.

Another one of the survivalists adds their bit.

As I offered earlier, economic depression isn't an end of civilization scenario. And if it were, the "rugged individualists" would be among the first to go under, because they'd be no match for organized paramilitaries...
 

TheSlamma

Diamond Member
Sep 6, 2005
7,625
5
81
Originally posted by: rudder
Originally posted by: Jhhnn
Living in the exurbs is becoming more expensive by the minute. $4 gas was just a taste of things to come, and insurance rates often reflect less than optimal fire and police services. Not to mention that vehicle maintenance costs are mileage based, as well. There's also the issue of time, which is essentially all any of us have on this earth. If you don't mind wasting a lot of it fighting traffic and weather, then moving out to the hinterlands won't bother you.

In a depression scenario, city life has a lot to offer. First off, the chances of picking up odd jobs are increased, even if the pay is lousy- it's still better than no pay. And people who're on the lower end of it all can actually *walk* to a lot of places they need to go- a truly remarkable concept... survival is entirely possible w/ no vehicle at all, making total cost of existence a lot lower...

Tell me how well that sidewalk garden is doing. Me... I will be eating fresh vegetables and dining on venison steaks. Enjoy that $15.00/lb ground beef. Of course I don't know how I will be able to afford enough concertina wire to keep those hungry city folk out of my garden.
Delusional Disorders

Dave, you should check that page out too.
 

Dufusyte

Senior member
Jul 7, 2000
659
0
0
If people on anti-depressant meds go off their medication due to cost or due to losing their job and healthcare benefits, then there will be alot of erratic behavior. They say going off anti-depressants is the hardest part, and is the source of the most crazy behavior: shooting rampages to increase.