The glooves come off after the conventions. McCain has been laying low because quite frankly he lacks the funds to do an all out campaign since June. Sept\Oct he will burn money like there is no tomorrow.
Queasy
Moderator<br>Console Gaming
- Aug 24, 2001
- 31,796
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Actually, McCain has to burn through all his private funds now. He won't be able to use them after the GOP convention. His campaign actually has alot of cash on hand. McCain and the RNC have about as much cash on hand together as Obama and the DNC.
I'm pulling for Biden. I strongly supported his presidential bid and I truly believe that Obama has a lock on the presidency (barring an October surprise) with Biden as his #2. He would be a great attack dog, and even better, he takes away any perceived foreign policy edge that McCain has over Obama. While some people see his big mouth as a negative, I think the only way it could do harm is if he performs too well on the campaign trail and in debates and somehow overshadows Obama himself, which I doubt will happen.
All signs point to Biden though (although this may mean something different). Time's Mark Halperin has some interesting items that may point to Biden on The Page: http://thepage.time.com/
All signs point to Biden though (although this may mean something different). Time's Mark Halperin has some interesting items that may point to Biden on The Page: http://thepage.time.com/
added an Obama poll since we'll actually find out this week and the pool seems to have narrowed on basically 3 people (B/B/K)
- Sep 30, 2003
- 26,907
- 173
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Yeah, I've been watching this. During the primary Obama's huge lead in fundraising was hyped. It's pretty much dropped out of sight and the mater is rarely mentioned. That alone has made me suspicious.
From what I can tell, while individually Obama is doing well, McCain and RNC have more cash on hand than Obama + the DNC.
That's a huge turnaround for the RNC. Early on there much talk about how poor their fundraising was - people were fired etc. Now, very little is said.
I suppose while there may be tepid support for McCain, Obama may driving Repubs to contribute to the RNC. Perhaps there is some strategic purpose as well? Given the FEC limits McCain must deal with perhaps many just give to the RNC?
Fern
I just think the news story has gotten a bit old. Every report I've seen has Obama continuing to crush McCain in fundraising, by 200-300%.
The RNC has had far more cash on hand than the DNC from the beginning, this is nothing new. In fact as far as I know RNC fundraising has been consistently good. What are you referring to? The RNC has about $60 million more on hand then the DNC but that will have to be spread around quite a bit, especially considering the crushing advantage of about $50 million that the DCCC has over the NRCC, and the $20 million or so advantage the DSCC has over the NRSC. In order to avert an even larger catastrophe in Congress, the RNC is going to have to help them a lot.
So in short the RNC will be able to help McCain close the fundraising gap a bit, but it has a lot of other obligations to meet. I imagine by the end Obama will have about twice the campaign cash at his disposal that McCain will.
Queasy
Moderator<br>Console Gaming
- Aug 24, 2001
- 31,796
- 2
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Only problem is, that door swings both ways. Because of the DNC money troubles, Obama is going to have to help the DNC out. They've started selling seats at Invesco for $1,000 a pop and luxury suites for unions and PACs for Obama's acceptance speech. This is the same 'soft money' that Obama previously criticized.
And money donated to Obama is money that isn't donated to the DNC to help out their candidates.
Why is money donated to Obama not money donated to the DNC? The two aren't mutually exclusive. Also, the door doesn't really swing both ways much at all. The outlays that Obama might give to the DNC would be tiny, considering the DNC doesn't really need to help the DCCC and the DSCC much at all. (as the DSCC has about 2x the money on hand as its counterpart and the DCCC is approaching about 10x the amount of cash as the NRCC)
So, what does Obama really need to do to help the DNC out? I mean other than the convention their needs are minimal. It's pretty much just a given that Obama and the Democrats in general will have a huge financial advantage.
Oh, in the middle of the immigration debate more than a year ago about 6 months after a crushing electoral defeat. That's not surprising, but during the actual serious presidential campaign season they've been just fine from the beginning.
when polls are saying that McCain is better suited to handle the crisis in Russia/Georgia by 2:1 margins and 80% think that McCain has the right amount of experience compared to 48% for Obama, I'd be genuinely surprised if Obama picked Kaine.
That's simply because the American Public at large don't know the real John McLame yet (his bus buddy corporate media are basically giving him a free pass to create the impression of a close race).
My impression is all of the negative campaigning by the RNC has just brought their base back to their party. Any significant damage in this race was done by the Clinton campaign (e.g. push enough Democratic voters away from Obama to give the state of Ohio to McCain), and how well they can truly heal that rift will determine how close this race eventually becomes (polls now are meaningless because margin of error is really something like 7%, and that doesn't even taken into account disingenuous polling methodology where polls are worded to skew results in a desired direction - i.e. a close race). Gotta see where polling settles out after the conventions and at least one nationally televised presidential debate.
My impression is all of the negative campaigning by the RNC has just brought their base back to their party. Any significant damage in this race was done by the Clinton campaign (e.g. push enough Democratic voters away from Obama to give the state of Ohio to McCain), and how well they can truly heal that rift will determine how close this race eventually becomes (polls now are meaningless because margin of error is really something like 7%, and that doesn't even taken into account disingenuous polling methodology where polls are worded to skew results in a desired direction - i.e. a close race). Gotta see where polling settles out after the conventions and at least one nationally televised presidential debate.
it's not about aptitude, it's the way you're viewed
considering the statistics regarding VP candidates being able to bring their own states to the president, it just seems unlikely that Obama wouldn't try to create a balanced ticket instead of doubling down on his inexperience in an attempt to increase his existing lead in VA.
Just saw this...
"On Tuesday, Biden drove a white pickup truck past a group of reporters and said only: "I'm not the guy. See you.""
Looks like maybe Bayh now? I was thinking Biden but looks like its not him. I hope its not Kaine.
"On Tuesday, Biden drove a white pickup truck past a group of reporters and said only: "I'm not the guy. See you.""
Looks like maybe Bayh now? I was thinking Biden but looks like its not him. I hope its not Kaine.
Bayh would Pwn serious ass. He's a conservative democrat and would tend to balance out the "Obama means libruls in charge' mantra from the right..
Most Americans don't know Biden. He doesn't come in a nice pre-existing package to be able to easily shore up Obama's weak areas. However, someone like Wesley Clark would not require much effort.
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