- Aug 4, 2000
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Bought AMD at $109 yesterday so now I'm in a bit of a hurt as it's down to about $105 but I won't lose money on this trade. I've set a target price of $78 that it can't fall below. I'm basing this on that AMD hasn't been that low in a little over a year ago. It's a long trade, no puts just to be clear.
And just over a year is considered long term so I'm using a sort of long term timeline for my research. All I have to do is sit back and wait until it goes back up over $109. There may be tumults down and up but it can't go below $78 because of the historical DD I've done. And also because I wish it to be so that it never goes below $78.
If it does hit $78 then I'll sell in order to preserve a certain amount of cash reserves. Yeah that would mean a more serious hit in losses but it's more important I remain at or above a certain level of cash in CDs, money market, and savings. I can afford to lose the whole AMD purchase but the point is one of pride. I'm not going to wind up below the amount of cash I want keep and the added bonus that I'm not going to lose a damn cent on this trade if it takes 2 years for it to go back up.
I realize some can say relax it'll probably go back up in a couple months and that I've wasted four paragraphs of post space in mumbling about a fantasy DD. Maybe. As far as the amount of the buy I don't really want to imply how much my total worth is but the AMD buy was in the several tens of thousands of $. And that doesn't really stand out as a very high amount compared to the high flying buys of others here.
Housing prices are already contracting, wouldn't that make things worse?CPI was 8.6% in May. Maybe we will get the triple hike?
CPI was 8.6% in May. Maybe we will get the triple hike?
Its possible, but won't likely help. CPI is high, not due to overspending, but due to the costs of gas, shelter and food. Raising interest rates have already weakened housing demand, but it won't help the others unless it causes a massive recession and people stop driving and eating.
Im thinking we might go back under $300 QQQ
It should help the dollar, which should in turn help stem oil from going higher.
Still, I am only seeing a few anecdotes about people losing their job over refusing to RTO. The CPI numbers just make the Fed's job easier.
Futures are toileting bigly.
I suspect new lows tomorrow.
Buy bitcoin, it's a hedge against inflation they said...unless it too is wildly inflated to $65,000.
I suspect Kathy Wood will get her own episode of American Greed.
July odds now favor a triple hike and the stopping point is now pushing 4%.
20% prime rate!? Anyone?😬