I'm very confused about the question of immunity, whether from vaccine or infections.
On the one hand, this doesn't sound good (from Professor Spector and his wall of covid)
Protection could fall to below 50% for the elderly and healthcare workers by winter, analysis from the Zoe COVID study found.
news.sky.com
But then I also see stories like this - so is it the case that waning immunity is not a major problem?
We can’t avoid the virus for the rest of our lives, but we can minimize its impact.
www.theatlantic.com
And the other thing I wonder about is - if antibody counts are not the whole story when it comes to the immune system's defences against viruses, does that not also mean that allergies and auto-immune disorders are also likely to be equally complicated? i.e. that antibody responses are not going to be the whole story there, either?
Article 1 seems to be focused on the level of observations and results from studies regarding efficacy over time. Article 2 is more of a fluffy piece with disguised opinionating regarding institutions dealing with the virus and a heavily optimistic "framing" of talking points. It also lacks any pragmatic protocols when "endemic" is reached. Thus, Article 1's point of discussion might still be true even in the hypothetical world of Article 2.
I got a natural infection around this February and took an antibody test for the spike protein receptor binding domain(RBD) from Labcorp about two weeks ago. No detectable levels of those antibodies were in my blood. Less than 0.4 U/ml. The cutoff for negative is <0.8 U/ml. So, whatever natural immunity I have now is in the memory white blood cells and not the antibodies. Vaccinated people might have produced more to start with, but it's like that they too experience a drop in antibodies, thus leaving protection to the memory cells over time. That's just dandy for Delta, because there is a time gap between infection and the production of new antibodies.
Article 2 is about the equivalent of saying a car's transmission will last a "lifetime". At the institutional level, COVID would allegedly become nothing of concern to hospitals, the government, businesses, etc. That can be true while the matter discussed in Article 1 also is true. Phrases like "the pandemic will end" says nothing at all because a pandemic can end simply by alleging a circumstance has changed even with the virus still circulating(exactly what the case is for the flu).
Article 2 is exceptionally tone deaf to what still needs to be done at the individual even with it being endemic. It's a rather disgusting piece written by a disgusting state and business-worshipper. Numbers might go down, hospitalizations might go down, but COVID is not the flu genetically and its infection damage is much more concerning even if it strikes down people at a 1% clip. Potential Blood vessel damage, heart damage, nerve reconfiguration, lung damage, and a long period of unrelenting symptoms is still potent enough that an "endemic" world of COVID still requires booster shots like oil changes, still might take out a beloved grandpa and grandma, and requires maintain caution in order to avoid the damaging morbidity of reinfection.
If someone needs surgery and they had contracted the virus recently, the docs need to be on the lookout for clots moreso than with regular healthy patients. They can, but they gotta look. That's "endemic".
The author of article 2 is doing a technique journalists often do, which is presenting "facts" in just the right way to let the reader draw incorrect conclusions due the reader's own inability to reason fully. It attempts to lead "smarter" people into a "reasoned delusions".
It also really sounds like the author never had it. One would never call a disease that can, at bare minimum, make extremely difficult to do physical or mental activity for two weeks or more something just like the flu. The threat of blood system issues, from simple bloody noses to clots(I got bloody noses, indicating an weakening of vessels in my nose) is not something typical of the "flu" or common cold. Being endemic is simply a qualitative state in which the masters can "deal with it". Meaning many people can now avoid the worst and most importantly, NOT COLLECTIVELY GIVE A SHIT ABOUT the remaining few who are unfortunate to still get whacked with some form of the "worst", be it long COVID or death.
A disease that require routine vaccinations on the order of an oil change is not just a flu. It means that the "experts" know that even with memory white blood cells, it's not good enough and that antibodies being present in blood is necessary to really mitigate symptoms.