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NFL thread 2021-2022

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The Bears are so bad. Like one of the worst teams in the NFL bad.

The Vikings also suck. They should have been up by like 50 points with how bad the Bears were self imploding and gifting them the ball at every opportunity.
 
purbeast0 said:
Can someone explain this logic to me? I've read this like 5x and still don't know wtf he's trying to say.

profootballtalk.nbcsports.com

John Harbaugh: If there was any more time left on the clock, we would have kicked

Ravens head coach John Harbaugh's decision to go for two after cutting the Packers' lead to 31-30 with 42 seconds left in Sunday's game remained a main topic of conversation at his Monday press conference.
profootballtalk.nbcsports.com profootballtalk.nbcsports.com



42 seconds was a bit more time than you want to go for two, and wanted it around 20 seconds, but if it was a little more than 20 seconds he would have certainly kicked it, but he still went for two?

Does not compute.
Click to expand...
No, he's saying if there's closer to a minute on the clock, he would have kicked the FG. The thinking being Aaron Rodgers can easily march his team into FG range to kick a game-winner so whether you're tied or up 1 doesn't change your win probability meaningfully.

OTOH ideally if there's little time left (i.e. 20s or less), going for 2 is something of a "no brainer." IIRC the probability of a 2pt conversion is about 52%. That may not sound like much but basically a little bit over half the time, you've won the game by successfully converting for 2. Harbaugh is saying 42s is kinda in the gray area, but what he surely factored in is that his team is not at full strength.

In scenarios where a team is a large underdog, wounded or otherwise compromised, a head coach should definitely take any late chance to end a contest immediately. You could argue the Ravens actually had momentum at home, so overtime would have been okay too. But analytics/game theory tends to support Harbaugh's decision.
 
"Reality-theory" however came up snake-eyes FTL. Again.

*(for the Bengals and Steelers however it WAS a brilliant strategy)

What's that best definition of insanity again? 😉
 
The opening skit of the pregame show was funny. They just used the Thursday night football field carpet for Tuesday night football.
 
haskins_on_new_name.jpg



😛



EDIT: Holy crap talk about lucky on that turnover!
 
Last edited:
manly said:
No, he's saying if there's closer to a minute on the clock, he would have kicked the FG. The thinking being Aaron Rodgers can easily march his team into FG range to kick a game-winner so whether you're tied or up 1 doesn't change your win probability meaningfully.

OTOH ideally if there's little time left (i.e. 20s or less), going for 2 is something of a "no brainer." IIRC the probability of a 2pt conversion is about 52%. That may not sound like much but basically a little bit over half the time, you've won the game by successfully converting for 2. Harbaugh is saying 42s is kinda in the gray area, but what he surely factored in is that his team is not at full strength.

In scenarios where a team is a large underdog, wounded or otherwise compromised, a head coach should definitely take any late chance to end a contest immediately. You could argue the Ravens actually had momentum at home, so overtime would have been okay too. But analytics/game theory tends to support Harbaugh's decision.
Click to expand...

Ravens should have kicked the field goal and tied the game. They had a chance in Overtime....
 
Gilbert was run a little ragged at the end of the first half there.... wise choice not trying to force things there for WFT.

Very even matchup.
 
Captante said:
Stick a fork in DC.
Click to expand...

The best part was how they started about 9.5 minutes to go, down only 10 points, just running down the clock on every play, for like 50 yards and no points, to then give the ball back on a no-chance 4th, with 2:54 or so to go...and then like, on the next 1st and 10 stop for a 1 yard gain....called a timeout. To you know, make it competitive.

Go WFT! Way to actually try to win stuff!
 
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