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Captante

Lifer
Oct 20, 2003
30,246
10,748
136
Cousins is a joke. :rolleyes:


Back to the old drawing board @ QB for the Vikings ... they'll never win with him.
 

Captante

Lifer
Oct 20, 2003
30,246
10,748
136
Man what a bad football game .... the Bears can't get out of their own way and the Vikings are not a whole lot better.
 

purbeast0

No Lifer
Sep 13, 2001
52,834
5,713
126
The Bears are so bad. Like one of the worst teams in the NFL bad.

The Vikings also suck. They should have been up by like 50 points with how bad the Bears were self imploding and gifting them the ball at every opportunity.
 

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
10,913
2,061
126
Can someone explain this logic to me? I've read this like 5x and still don't know wtf he's trying to say.




42 seconds was a bit more time than you want to go for two, and wanted it around 20 seconds, but if it was a little more than 20 seconds he would have certainly kicked it, but he still went for two?

Does not compute.
No, he's saying if there's closer to a minute on the clock, he would have kicked the FG. The thinking being Aaron Rodgers can easily march his team into FG range to kick a game-winner so whether you're tied or up 1 doesn't change your win probability meaningfully.

OTOH ideally if there's little time left (i.e. 20s or less), going for 2 is something of a "no brainer." IIRC the probability of a 2pt conversion is about 52%. That may not sound like much but basically a little bit over half the time, you've won the game by successfully converting for 2. Harbaugh is saying 42s is kinda in the gray area, but what he surely factored in is that his team is not at full strength.

In scenarios where a team is a large underdog, wounded or otherwise compromised, a head coach should definitely take any late chance to end a contest immediately. You could argue the Ravens actually had momentum at home, so overtime would have been okay too. But analytics/game theory tends to support Harbaugh's decision.
 
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Captante

Lifer
Oct 20, 2003
30,246
10,748
136
"Reality-theory" however came up snake-eyes FTL. Again.

*(for the Bengals and Steelers however it WAS a brilliant strategy)

What's that best definition of insanity again? ;)
 

Torn Mind

Lifer
Nov 25, 2012
11,567
2,626
136
The opening skit of the pregame show was funny. They just used the Thursday night football field carpet for Tuesday night football.
 

Captante

Lifer
Oct 20, 2003
30,246
10,748
136
haskins_on_new_name.jpg



:p



EDIT: Holy crap talk about lucky on that turnover!
 
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13Gigatons

Diamond Member
Apr 19, 2005
7,461
500
126
No, he's saying if there's closer to a minute on the clock, he would have kicked the FG. The thinking being Aaron Rodgers can easily march his team into FG range to kick a game-winner so whether you're tied or up 1 doesn't change your win probability meaningfully.

OTOH ideally if there's little time left (i.e. 20s or less), going for 2 is something of a "no brainer." IIRC the probability of a 2pt conversion is about 52%. That may not sound like much but basically a little bit over half the time, you've won the game by successfully converting for 2. Harbaugh is saying 42s is kinda in the gray area, but what he surely factored in is that his team is not at full strength.

In scenarios where a team is a large underdog, wounded or otherwise compromised, a head coach should definitely take any late chance to end a contest immediately. You could argue the Ravens actually had momentum at home, so overtime would have been okay too. But analytics/game theory tends to support Harbaugh's decision.

Ravens should have kicked the field goal and tied the game. They had a chance in Overtime....
 
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Captante

Lifer
Oct 20, 2003
30,246
10,748
136
Gilbert was run a little ragged at the end of the first half there.... wise choice not trying to force things there for WFT.

Very even matchup.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,512
29,099
146
Stick a fork in DC.

The best part was how they started about 9.5 minutes to go, down only 10 points, just running down the clock on every play, for like 50 yards and no points, to then give the ball back on a no-chance 4th, with 2:54 or so to go...and then like, on the next 1st and 10 stop for a 1 yard gain....called a timeout. To you know, make it competitive.

Go WFT! Way to actually try to win stuff!
 
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