Merrill Lynch being sold + Lehman Brothers filing for bankruptcy

Page 3 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
142
116
Analysts are predicting that Morgan Stanley and Goldman will probably need to merge with bigger banks to survive the fallout, like Merrill did.
 

Special K

Diamond Member
Jun 18, 2000
7,098
0
76
Originally posted by: jpeyton
Analysts are predicting that Morgan Stanley and Goldman will probably need to merge with bigger banks to survive the fallout, like Merrill did.

What other bigger banks are left? Citi, BoA, Wachovia, ???
 

Nitemare

Lifer
Feb 8, 2001
35,461
4
81
Originally posted by: darkxshade
Originally posted by: ICRS
Originally posted by: Capt Caveman
Originally posted by: TheoPetro
meh if were gonna bail out the "poor" home owner who was "taken advantage of" then we may as well bail out the banks too. After all many of them thought they were purchasing AAA rated paper. IMO if AIG gets bailed out too it just creates a HUGE moral hazard.

Well, we bail out on a regular basis all the folks that decide to live and rebuild in hurricane devastated/natural disaster prone areas.

Which is stupid, since they aren't victims of a hurricane/natural disaster. They are victims of their own stupidity.

The victims are those who will lose their jobs as a result and had nothing to do with this huge mess.

they chose to live in an area that is hit by a hurricane every other year. Either get homeowners insurance or move.
 

TheSlamma

Diamond Member
Sep 6, 2005
7,625
5
81
Originally posted by: darkxshade
Originally posted by: ICRS
Originally posted by: Capt Caveman
Originally posted by: TheoPetro
meh if were gonna bail out the "poor" home owner who was "taken advantage of" then we may as well bail out the banks too. After all many of them thought they were purchasing AAA rated paper. IMO if AIG gets bailed out too it just creates a HUGE moral hazard.

Well, we bail out on a regular basis all the folks that decide to live and rebuild in hurricane devastated/natural disaster prone areas.

Which is stupid, since they aren't victims of a hurricane/natural disaster. They are victims of their own stupidity.

The victims are those who will lose their jobs as a result and had nothing to do with this huge mess.
Thats why you don't get a house way out of range and one you can get even a temp job to cover.

If I fell *victim* to losing my job like I did 4 times in 3 years back between 1999-2002 I could cover my mortgage on a temp job. These *victims* you speak of go out and buy a house WAY out of their price range because they feel they deserve it and then can barely cover the thing. "Victims" my ass. :thumbsdown: :thumbsdown: :thumbsdown: :thumbsdown:
 

TheoPetro

Banned
Nov 30, 2004
3,499
1
0
hmm ok maybe I need to define "moral hazard" for everyone

The risk that a party to a transaction has not entered into the contract in good faith, has provided misleading information about its assets, liabilities or credit capacity, or has an incentive to take unusual risks in a desperate attempt to earn a profit before the contract settles.

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/moralhazard.asp
 

IGBT

Lifer
Jul 16, 2001
17,973
140
106
..the end result when political elements tamper with the free market and encourage home loans to DEAD BEATS who couldn't afford them. All the while political hacks whispering in the ears of the lenders, "don't worry.. the dumb shit tax payer will cover the loss".
 

Mo0o

Lifer
Jul 31, 2001
24,227
3
76
Originally posted by: Koing
I got quite lucky...didn't interview at Lehmans, didn't hear anything back from Bears after the 2nd interview...

A mate interviewed at Lehmans and was turned down due to his excessively stylish hair :p haha.

It's completely savage that they put so much money in to one basket like that...

Koing

where are you now? Goldman i hope
 

Mo0o

Lifer
Jul 31, 2001
24,227
3
76
Originally posted by: Special K
Originally posted by: jpeyton
Analysts are predicting that Morgan Stanley and Goldman will probably need to merge with bigger banks to survive the fallout, like Merrill did.

What other bigger banks are left? Citi, BoA, Wachovia, ???

International. Barclay's was considering buying up Merrill but the investments were much to toxic and the US banks didn't want to do a good bank, bad bank deal
 
Aug 25, 2004
11,151
1
81
Originally posted by: jpeyton
Analysts are predicting that Morgan Stanley and Goldman will probably need to merge with bigger banks to survive the fallout, like Merrill did.

I'll start watching Cramer... if he announces that Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are fine, I'll interpret the opposite and expect trouble.
 

Oyeve

Lifer
Oct 18, 1999
22,066
882
126
Originally posted by: loki8481
I used to work for the main ferry company in NYC... most of our regular clients were commuters down to Wall St. and they were all giant self-important douchebags.

it secretly makes me a little happy to think that some of those DB's might be going broke today.

I feel the same. All I picture are these rich-ass old farts puffing cigars making billions and giving nothing to the common working guy. I'd love to see these old farts in a freaking cardboard box on the street. Like in that 48 Hours movie. Buncha thieves if you ask me.
 

Mo0o

Lifer
Jul 31, 2001
24,227
3
76
Speaking of all this, has anyone read the Vanity Fair article about the Bear Stearns collapse? It's a GREAT read and gave me a lot of insight into what really happened behind the scenes. From they way they presented the story, it wasn't really Bear's subprimes that killed them, it was the poor reputation after that loss plus rampant speculation of liquidity issues that scuttled them. Anyways, if you guys have some time to kill, I highly recommend it:

http://www.vanityfair.com/poli.../08/bear_stearns200808
 

jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
142
116
Remember that the FDIC isn't a fool-proof guarantee that your money is safe if any more banks collapse as a result of this financial crisis.

Yes, they guarantee up to $100,000 per account. However, the FDIC only has about $40-50 billion to insure about $9 trillion in deposits, and about 100 banks are "at risk" holding $1 trillion. IndyMac's failure cost the FDIC $8 billion. Something like WaMu going under would cause a major run on all banks that appear even remotely weak.
 

UglyCasanova

Lifer
Mar 25, 2001
19,275
1,361
126
Originally posted by: Oyeve
Originally posted by: loki8481
I used to work for the main ferry company in NYC... most of our regular clients were commuters down to Wall St. and they were all giant self-important douchebags.

it secretly makes me a little happy to think that some of those DB's might be going broke today.

I feel the same. All I picture are these rich-ass old farts puffing cigars making billions and giving nothing to the common working guy. I'd love to see these old farts in a freaking cardboard box on the street. Like in that 48 Hours movie. Buncha thieves if you ask me.

A job?
 

jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
142
116
LEH Stock

February 2, 2007: $85.80
September 15, 2008: $0.19

A lot of wealth went up into thin air today.
 

ultimatebob

Lifer
Jul 1, 2001
25,134
2,450
126
Originally posted by: jpeyton
Remember that the FDIC isn't a fool-proof guarantee that your money is safe if any more banks collapse as a result of this financial crisis.

Yes, they guarantee up to $100,000 per account. However, the FDIC only has about $40-50 billion to insure about $9 trillion in deposits, and about 100 banks are "at risk" holding $1 trillion. IndyMac's failure cost the FDIC $8 billion. Something like WaMu going under would cause a major run on all banks that appear even remotely weak.

Yeah... even Wachovia is looking dicey right now, and that bank chain is HUGE. Scary!
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: Oyeve
Originally posted by: loki8481
I used to work for the main ferry company in NYC... most of our regular clients were commuters down to Wall St. and they were all giant self-important douchebags.

it secretly makes me a little happy to think that some of those DB's might be going broke today.

I feel the same. All I picture are these rich-ass old farts puffing cigars making billions and giving nothing to the common working guy. I'd love to see these old farts in a freaking cardboard box on the street. Like in that 48 Hours movie. Buncha thieves if you ask me.

Please. The vast majority of people are very hard working (80+ hours) people who are very intelligent and driven. They add intellectual capital.

I don't know all that much about structured finance, but what I do know has helped several companies go through their funding. My work alone saved a Fortune 50 company over $20MM in funding costs in the last 3 years and will save them a lot of money in the future.

The idea that people on Wall St. don't provide anything is bullshit. Intellectual capital is just as powerful as physical product, if not moreso in many cases.
 
Aug 25, 2004
11,151
1
81
Originally posted by: Mo0o
Speaking of all this, has anyone read the Vanity Fair article about the Bear Stearns collapse? It's a GREAT read and gave me a lot of insight into what really happened behind the scenes. From they way they presented the story, it wasn't really Bear's subprimes that killed them, it was the poor reputation after that loss plus rampant speculation of liquidity issues that scuttled them. Anyways, if you guys have some time to kill, I highly recommend it:

http://www.vanityfair.com/poli.../08/bear_stearns200808

Bookmarked for later
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: George P Burdell
Originally posted by: Mo0o
Speaking of all this, has anyone read the Vanity Fair article about the Bear Stearns collapse? It's a GREAT read and gave me a lot of insight into what really happened behind the scenes. From they way they presented the story, it wasn't really Bear's subprimes that killed them, it was the poor reputation after that loss plus rampant speculation of liquidity issues that scuttled them. Anyways, if you guys have some time to kill, I highly recommend it:

http://www.vanityfair.com/poli.../08/bear_stearns200808

Bookmarked for later

it is a very good article.

With LEH, it's pretty sad. The company could have survived, but Fuld is a prick. He tried to drive a hard deal when he was in the weak position, which is why the KDB backed out. If there's one thing for certain, he fucked up big time.

I have a good friend that has been there for 20 years, from a trader assistant to SVP generating tons of profit for the company. I am sure a huge portion of her comp was in LEH stock, probably with lockouts. She wasn't involved in the BS here. It's too bad.
 

Oil

Diamond Member
Aug 31, 2005
3,552
5
81
Haha, I applied to be an intern at Lehman Bros. this past summer
 

Special K

Diamond Member
Jun 18, 2000
7,098
0
76
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: George P Burdell
Originally posted by: Mo0o
Speaking of all this, has anyone read the Vanity Fair article about the Bear Stearns collapse? It's a GREAT read and gave me a lot of insight into what really happened behind the scenes. From they way they presented the story, it wasn't really Bear's subprimes that killed them, it was the poor reputation after that loss plus rampant speculation of liquidity issues that scuttled them. Anyways, if you guys have some time to kill, I highly recommend it:

http://www.vanityfair.com/poli.../08/bear_stearns200808

Bookmarked for later

it is a very good article.

With LEH, it's pretty sad. The company could have survived, but Fuld is a prick. He tried to drive a hard deal when he was in the weak position, which is why the KDB backed out. If there's one thing for certain, he fucked up big time.

I have a good friend that has been there for 20 years, from a trader assistant to SVP generating tons of profit for the company. I am sure a huge portion of her comp was in LEH stock, probably with lockouts. She wasn't involved in the BS here. It's too bad.

Can you explain why allowing Bear to collapse would have apparently been catastrophic to the worldwide financial system, but allowing Lehman to fail is apparently acceptable?
 

jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
142
116
Originally posted by: Special K
Can you explain why allowing Bear to collapse would have apparently been catastrophic to the worldwide financial system, but allowing Lehman to fail is apparently acceptable?
The Fannie/Freddie bailout took a lot of options off the table for other institutions.

A line has to be drawn somewhere before we start nationalizing our entire banking system.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: Special K
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: George P Burdell
Originally posted by: Mo0o
Speaking of all this, has anyone read the Vanity Fair article about the Bear Stearns collapse? It's a GREAT read and gave me a lot of insight into what really happened behind the scenes. From they way they presented the story, it wasn't really Bear's subprimes that killed them, it was the poor reputation after that loss plus rampant speculation of liquidity issues that scuttled them. Anyways, if you guys have some time to kill, I highly recommend it:

http://www.vanityfair.com/poli.../08/bear_stearns200808

Bookmarked for later

it is a very good article.

With LEH, it's pretty sad. The company could have survived, but Fuld is a prick. He tried to drive a hard deal when he was in the weak position, which is why the KDB backed out. If there's one thing for certain, he fucked up big time.

I have a good friend that has been there for 20 years, from a trader assistant to SVP generating tons of profit for the company. I am sure a huge portion of her comp was in LEH stock, probably with lockouts. She wasn't involved in the BS here. It's too bad.

Can you explain why allowing Bear to collapse would have apparently been catastrophic to the worldwide financial system, but allowing Lehman to fail is apparently acceptable?

I think the scale of the "bailout" would be too huge for LEH. It'd certainly create a massive conflict and moral hazard. I think that Paulson et al. are saying..."This is what happen if you fuck up, refuse to take offered liquidity, and then come crying to us, don't do that". Look at AIG, they're willing to let them sit and spin. Not to mention, the "bazooka" has been shot, there isn't much left.

People wanted lessons taught and they are being taught now. I hope that people listen and stop this BS.
 

OrByte

Diamond Member
Jul 21, 2000
9,303
144
106
Article on FDIC participation

Top Economist: Americans Should Worry About Bank Deposits if Congress Doesn't Act
Posted Sep 15, 2008 12:58pm EDT by Aaron Task in Investing, Recession, Banking
Related: LEH, MER, BAC, AIG, WM, ^DJI, ^GSPC
Updated from 12:58 p.m. EDT

With the "financial storm of the century" hitting financial institutions, many Americans are worried about the safety of their bank deposits. While the FDIC insures individual accounts up to $100,000, the reaction to IndyMac's failure this summer -- lines outside retail branches -- shows Americans have limited faith in the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which guarantees individual accounts up to $100,000.

Update: "The banking system is safe and sound," Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson declared at a mid-afternoon press conference Monday, seeking to ameliorate such concerns.

"Nothing is more important than the stability and orderliness of our financial markets [and] regulators remain vigilant," Paulson continued. "We're working through a difficult period in our financial markets right now as we work of some of the past excesses, but the American people can remain confident in the soundness and resilience of our financial system."

But Americans are justified to be worried, says Nouriel Roubini, of NYU's Stern School and RGE Monitor, who notes there is already a "slow-motion run on retail banks" occurring nationwide.

That "run" could accelerate as people realize the FDIC fund has about $50 billion to "insure" about $1 trillion in assets at the nation's financial institutions, says Roubini. "They're going to run out of money" unless Congress acts soon to recapitalize the FDIC.

In addition, the recent spike in number of banks on the FDIC's "troubled list" is only through June, meaning even that inflated number understates the problem.

The intent here isn't to add to people's anxieties, but Roubini is one of the few market watchers to correctly predict the severity of this ongoing credit crisis. If nothing else, he says people with accounts exceeding $100,000 in value should spread their money - and the risk - among different firms.


Now I am sure that the $50 bil that the FDIC has on hand to "insure" the nationals banks will go up, I am sure Congress will pour money into the fund.

But

$50 Bill vs $1 Trill ?? is that the type of money descrepency that the Fed is looking at right now? is there historical data to measure the amount of money that the Fed normally has to insure vs its capital on hand?

$50 bill vs $1 trill seems like huge gap to me.