One major note I've seen in the polls, but not mentioned in the articles about the polls - minority voters continuing to shift toward Trump vs. prior elections. While still overall heavily favoring Democrats, this is a significant number of votes moving to Trump from the Democrat base.
Trump 2016: 28% of Hispanic votes, 6% of Black votes
Trump 2020: 36% of Hispanic votes, 8% of Black votes
Trump 2024 polling: 39% Hispanic, 13% of Black votes
Hispanic and Black voters each make up about 10% of the vote, so the 11% and 7% swings to Trump would be roughly a +3.6 point net swing for Trump in the overall popular vote vs. 2016 - just from Hispanic and Black voters (+1.8 Trump / -1.8 Harris) - and if that polling holds up in reality, is highly likely to make the difference in winning the election for Trump in 2024.
More Latino registered voters back Kamala Harris (57%) than Donald Trump (39%), and supporters of each candidate prioritize different issues.
www.pewresearch.org
About three-quarters of Black voters (77%) say they would vote for or lean toward Harris if the 2024 presidential election were held today.
www.pewresearch.org