If we lack credible leaks or announcements to support a claim, we can always use certain types of phrasing to let others know speculation is involved. This is not a sign of weakness or uncertainty, it's a sign of respect for the rest of the community, and will probably avoid unnecessary additional discussions when folks dispute a claim.
I added a credible leak to support my claim
Let's analyze that chart closely. Intel is going to update the pinout for PTL-U and PTL-H. This platform will be released in 2026 and actual devices will appear in Q1 or Q2 2026. The following platform released in 2027 will use the same pinout as Panther Lake.
Intel did that with CFL/TGL, ADL/RPL, MTL/ARL, and will continue with PTL and the next platform. It's too expensive for OEMs to redesign a platform every year.
DDR5/LPDDR5 is currently 4-5 years old and slowly reaching its limits. In 2026 and 2027, it will be completely obsolete, especially considering the AI hype. Those "++TOPS" we see on the chart require more memory bandwidth, so LNL is using one of the fastest LPDDR5 memory.
LPDDR6 is expected to be introduced this year. Rumors suggest that Snapdragon 4 Gen 4 and Apple A18 will use LPDDR6. I do not see any reason why it will not be available in 2026.
If we consider other aspects, the leaked chart tells us more information:
1. ARL can use the same SoC tile as Meteor Lake with DDR5/LPDDR5 memory. That's why there is no "++TOPS" label.
2. ARL Refresh will be more than a clock bump. Intel plans to redesign at least the SoC tile, add a more powerful NPU, and introduce the LPDDR6 support. That's why there's a note "Not Pin to Pin"
3. ARL-HX is the most confusing part here. For some reason, RPL-HX is not pin-to-pin compatible with ARL-HX. So, we will have a situation when the design should be updated for ARL-HX and once again for ARL-HX Refresh for the LPDDR6 CAMM2 support. It's not a big issue because the HX laptops are usually more expensive.
4. LNL will not have a direct successor. It will probably be replaced with the refreshed version of PTL-U, which has a new SoC tile and a larger NPU.
5. My biggest concern here is the ARL-H refresh. I'm not sure how Intel will manage this transition. Probably, the initial version of ARL-H will be offered as a drop-in replacement for the current MTL-H platforms (with the same NPU), but the vendors will be able to release refreshed ARL-H platforms a bit later. It still looks weird to me.
6. Technically, ARL refresh and Panther Lake can support both LPDDR5/LPDDR5X and LPDDR6, but I'm not entirely sure here.