Originally posted by: RightIsWrong
Originally posted by: PrinceofWands
Originally posted by: RightIsWrong
These are only my personal thoughts on the matter so take them for what you will.
As far as the OP, I think that it is a perfectly acceptable counter argument to the CCW would have saved the day threads.
I am for what I see as "sensible" gun control.
That means, background checks, waiting periods and no automatic weapons. If you are not a past criminal, can wait a week and want a semi or revolver....you are welcome to it. If you absolutely positively need a gun right this second...you are probably the type of person that shouldn't have a gun, EVER! Now, the sticky point on this comes into play when it is a woman (generally speaking) who is making the case because of a stalker. In this instance, I would say if you meet the background check and have a RO against the alleged stalker, the waiting period could be waived. If you don't bother to get a RO, I'm not sure how serious you take the threat in the first place.
Regarding the stats from both sides, I think that the old saying comes into play: "There are lies, damn lies and statistics."
Both sides are manipulating the data to make their cases look stronger than they actually are. Guns will be used in crimes and there will be accidental shootings. They will also be used to stop a crime occasionally and protect someone from harm.
The 130,000-2.5 million stat is complete horseshit. If you were to total all CCW holders in the U.S. and divide them by any number in that range, you will see that it is probably somewhere between 10% and 60% of CCWs have had to use their weapon IN THAT GIVEN YEAR that the survey was conducted to make it factual. I'm sorry, but Occam's Razor comes into play here: The simplest explanation is the truth....it's a bullshit estimate and when surveyed, people will lie to make their biased opinion on such a hot topic issue more likely to appear true.
Between 1 and 4% of each states eligible citizens have a permit in any given year. In Washington, for instance, with a very low population we have 250,000 permit holders. Numbers hold up across the country except in the few may-issue states. So if you multiply 250,000 by say, 40, you have 10 million ccw's active each year. Most of those never use their weapons, it's true, but a number of people use a gun that don't have a license. In fact, far more defensive gun uses are by non-holders. If we assume between 1/4 and 1/3 of households with a firearm (which is within current estimates) we have a HUGE number of potential defensive uses.
The government, at every level, has accepted some number within the range given (usually tending towards the 130-300k range). If you have ANY evidence to the contrary I'm sure the government would love to hear from you, especially after spending MILLIONS on the National Academy of Sciences reviews that admitted such data is accurate.
We both know that I don't have numbers. As I have stated, those were my opinions based on what I feel is common sense and logic.
Let's take your numbers and use those for the sake of this argument.
At the time of my doing the math using the
US population from here, there would be 12,721, 137 (rounded up) possible CCWs if we go on the high end (4%) of issuance.
Using the lowest number in that range (130,000) would mean that there are a minimum of 2.15% of the maximum CCW holders that have used their gun in defense in a single year. Using the highest number (2.5M) will indicate that over 25% have.
Now take into account the
crime rate (2007) of 80.0645 per 1000 people (and that is ALL crimes including burglaries, theft, software piracy, police crime, etc and not just violent crime) and the numbers just don't seem feasible if I look at them realistically.
Do a number of CCW holders use their weapon in self defense? Of course they do. What that number is, I don't know and anyone that claims that they do is just giving their opinion like I am.
A random study on such a hot button topic is going to produce polar opposite stats. CCW holders want to make their case look stronger because they don't want to loose their right to their CCW and the best way to do that is to make it look like their CCW was required for safety more than it really was.