Gallup poll 4-17 Romney 48% Obama 43%

[Jhhnn]

There's only one poll that matters, and it comes in November. That won't stop Repubs from trying to bandwagon support for Romney, which will become an increasingly tough sell.

He apparently has no comprehension wrt women's issues and will likely continue to shove his foot deeper into his mouth on that level.

He'll have a lot of trouble selling a tax plan that will actually increase deficits, even as he says he'll cut them, nor will he be able to create much enthusiasm among a base that distrusts him from a variety of angles.

And, let's face it, he epitomizes the worst of Wall St in his role as a financial manipulator extraordinaire, his role as a member of the hedge fund lootocracy.

 

[boomerang]

Why does everyone think Romney is going to lose to Obama? Even the conservatives seem to think that. Obama's approval ratings aren't that great. The job situation has improved but still sucks. Gas prices are high. I know Romney isn't that great a candidate and I can see this being something like Bush/Kerry but remember Kerry actually got pretty close to Bush there and we didn't even have a bad economy during that election.

Why? One of the oldest tricks in the book. Divide and conquer. Segment us into groups and attack the weak spots of each group. It's a strategy that works until people figure out what's being done. Then, they lash out because they don't like to be fooled. Countering the Obama offensive is really just that easy. The trick is to give him a lot of rope. Timing is everything.

 

[Darwin333]

So people are stupid, confirmed.

You are just figuring this out? Do you not interact with the general public?

 

[dmcowen674]

4-17 update

Romney 48% Obama 43% Romney running away wit victory

Another poll 55% Americans say Obama will be one term President

 

[Zebo]

It this country elects a wall street raider and jobs destroyer they are truly insane and deserve what they get. Gingrich/limbaugh would be more preferable to me.

 

[sportage]

So sad. They all hate the Mitt but its time to pretend they dont. But they do. Just how to pull this rabit out of a hat when the hat is missing?

 

[PokerGuy]

I'm pleasantly surprised by the fact that Romney is even that close to obummer in the polls. Sadly once the media start their smearing of Romney and cheering on obummer like a high school cheerleader, I don't see how Romney can win.

 

[rudder]

The polls are all pointless. It depends what happens in the month of October. If a ton of people leave the workforce and unemployment "drops" to 7.8%... that is all the voter cares about. If people were really farsighted they would reject Obama and Romney.

 

[Doc Savage Fan]

Why does everyone think Romney is going to lose to Obama? Even the conservatives seem to think that. Obama's approval ratings aren't that great. The job situation has improved but still sucks. Gas prices are high. I know Romney isn't that great a candidate and I can see this being something like Bush/Kerry but remember Kerry actually got pretty close to Bush there and we didn't even have a bad economy during that election.

Doesn't Obama have more than $1B for his campaign war chest? That money can buy a lot of "perception".

 

[PokerGuy]

Doesn't Obama have more than $1B for his campaign war chest? That money can buy a lot of "perception".

Not to mention the $1B in free media cheerleading obummer will get, along with the $1B worth of smearing whoever is running against obummer.

 

[xBiffx]

I predict the election will come down to another SC decision after which will will know how racist they really are. 🙄

 

[thraashman]

I'm pleasantly surprised by the fact that Romney is even that close to obummer in the polls. Sadly once the media start their smearing of Romney and cheering on obummer like a high school cheerleader, I don't see how Romney can win.

If the media did nothing but just play clips of what Romney said in his speeches, it would constitute an attack on him. The media doesn't need to cheerlead or spin anything. With the way that each time Romney opens his mouth he says the opposite of the last time he opened it, Romney's own worst opponent is himself. Obama ain't perfect, far from it, but he's certainly a shitload better than Romney.

The funny thing is the mainstream media will mostly tell the truth about both candidates and at best show slight favoritism to Obama. Then Fox News will come along, tell pretty much not a single ounce of truth show complete bias in favor of Romney, and the dittoheads on the right will still complain that the MSM is being biased. Well yes, they're being approximately 1% as biased as Fox News.

 

[yllus]

Why does everyone think Romney is going to lose to Obama? Even the conservatives seem to think that. Obama's approval ratings aren't that great. The job situation has improved but still sucks. Gas prices are high. I know Romney isn't that great a candidate and I can see this being something like Bush/Kerry but remember Kerry actually got pretty close to Bush there and we didn't even have a bad economy during that election.

The margin of victory in modern U.S. presidential elections is always less than 5%. Of that 5%, I figure Romney loses 1.5% right away because:

A) 1% would rather vote for the devil they know (the incumbent) rather than the devil they don't. They'll figure Obama is not that bad and it's not worth taking a flyer on Romney because he might be better.

B) 0.5% will vote for the almost purely based on the perspective of "which candidate is nicer". By all accounts Obama adores his family, who adores him back.

That leaves 3.5% that decide that the incumbent's stance and hand on the big issues (economy, immigration, crime, gun control) warrant a change. I may be observing from afar, but I just don't see that happening.

 

[woolfe9999]

Doesn't Obama have more than $1B for his campaign war chest? That money can buy a lot of "perception".

Last I heard, Romney was doing pretty well at raising cash too.

I think it's just too early to call this election.

 

[woolfe9999]

The margin of victory in modern U.S. presidential elections is always less than 5%. Of that 5%, I figure Romney loses 1.5% right away because:

A) 1% would rather vote for the devil they know (the incumbent) rather than the devil they don't. They'll figure Obama is not that bad and it's not worth taking a flyer on Romney because he might be better.

B) 0.5% will vote for the almost purely based on the perspective of "which candidate is nicer". By all accounts Obama adores his family, who adores him back.

That leaves 3.5% that decide that the incumbent's stance and hand on the big issues (economy, immigration, crime, gun control) warrant a change. I may be observing from afar, but I just don't see that happening.

Perhaps, but again, look at Kerry 2004, who came within 1 state of beating Bush, and who wasn't a very good candidate, and the economy was fine back then, and it's not so great now.

 

[Kev]

What's sad is that from every republican I know, they won't be voting "for Romney" - they will be voting for "not Obama"

 

[fskimospy]

Remember, according to Dave Obama was going to be a zero term president. He famously predicted that McCain had such an overwhelming advantage that he didn't even need to campaign... shortly before McCain lost in a landslide. He even predicted Hawaii for McCain, a state that Obama later won by 45 points.

Speaking of that. Dave, do you believe that Romney needs to campaign this time?

 

[BurnItDwn]

Why does everyone think Romney is going to lose to Obama? Even the conservatives seem to think that. Obama's approval ratings aren't that great. The job situation has improved but still sucks. Gas prices are high. I know Romney isn't that great a candidate and I can see this being something like Bush/Kerry but remember Kerry actually got pretty close to Bush there and we didn't even have a bad economy during that election.

Because if George Bush can do it, then anybody can do it.

 

[werepossum]

Why does everyone think Romney is going to lose to Obama? Even the conservatives seem to think that. Obama's approval ratings aren't that great. The job situation has improved but still sucks. Gas prices are high. I know Romney isn't that great a candidate and I can see this being something like Bush/Kerry but remember Kerry actually got pretty close to Bush there and we didn't even have a bad economy during that election.

Because it's very difficult to unseat a sitting President, especially one with the main stream media on his side. Bush I was upset, but conservatives never liked him, and he was the first election where the main stream media blatantly took sides (beyond the unconscious bias we all have.) The Democrats' October surprise accusation that Bush had made a secret trip to France to meet his lover was solemnly reported even by those reporters who had been on the trip in question. Granted, Kerry gave a decent run, but Kerry was everything the Democrats had long been accusing the Republicans of being and then some, an out of touch rich elite plus just generally an unlikable person.

I think it will be a very close election. Romney is the only Republican candidate who can come close to raising Obama-level cash - he might even out raise him, as many expected Obama donors are being unexpectedly slow to contribute. Romney will be hard to demonize, as his personal life is squeaky clean and he doesn't hold a lot of views beyond the social mainstream. I expect a lot of stories about racism in America, a lot of solemn looks at the Mormon faith and its history of overt racism, and a lot of stories about corporate raiders and the very wealthy. In the end I'm guessing Obama will pull it out, although ironically if he does fall it will be the things over which he has the least control that cause it.

 

[cybrsage]

They all hate the Mitt but its time to pretend they dont.

This sentence only makes sense to a liberal. Seriously, Romney won almost every state's primary election and yet you still claim all republicans hate Mitt?

Do you want to explain how you determined all reps hate Romney? Personally, I would simply ignore this post since it is obvious you cannot.

 

[cybrsage]

What's sad is that from every republican I know, they won't be voting "for Romney" - they will be voting for "not Obama"

I look forward to the day when I will be able to vote for a president. Come one GOP and DNC, ONE of you can give me someone I can vote FOR!

 

[ShawnD1]

we just need one more big race-driven event do excite the base! either that or spread more lies about how the republicans hate old people and minorities.

Lies? That's a confirmed fact. Who wanted to slash medicare and tell old people to go die in a fire? Republicans. They repeatedly rallied against "entitlement" programs social security and medicare.

What's sad is that from every republican I know, they won't be voting "for Romney" - they will be voting for "not Obama"

South Park already covered this a few years back. You always end up voting for the lesser of 2 extreme evils.

 

[zsdersw]

Romney very much has a chance of winning... for the exact same reason Obama has a chance of getting re-elected: they're both experienced panderers.

 

[CPA]

Part of me wants OBama to win, so Chris Christie will run in 2016.

 

[Sunburn74]

It this country elects a wall street raider and jobs destroyer they are truly insane and deserve what they get. Gingrich/limbaugh would be more preferable to me.

Our last president was an ex-alcoholic, cocaine using cow-boy, wannabe fighter pilot and he beat Nobel prize winner Al Gore the first time he ran. I think our country is already literally insane.

The margin of victory in modern U.S. presidential elections is always less than 5%. Of that 5%, I figure Romney loses 1.5% right away because:

A) 1% would rather vote for the devil they know (the incumbent) rather than the devil they don't. They'll figure Obama is not that bad and it's not worth taking a flyer on Romney because he might be better.

B) 0.5% will vote for the almost purely based on the perspective of "which candidate is nicer". By all accounts Obama adores his family, who adores him back.

That leaves 3.5% that decide that the incumbent's stance and hand on the big issues (economy, immigration, crime, gun control) warrant a change. I may be observing from afar, but I just don't see that happening.

I think you underestimate the importance religious perceptions are of presidents in this country. My gut tells me literally the reason Bush was able to crush Kerry was his being so open about his faith whilst Kerry being rather secretive. People voted for Bush literally because "he was a good christian man" or so they thought. Anyway, there is a lot of distrust of mormonism in this country. I could see Romney seriously having issues because of that.