Dow tumbles more than 800 points. How ugly will this get?

Page 10 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

dawp

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
11,347
2,710
136
I know you’re as shocked as I am but it appears Trump may not have been entirely truthful about who is paying the tariffs.
what's sad is he was truthful in how he saw it but was just plain wrong, which is much worse imo.
 
Last edited:

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,354
136
what's sad is he was truthful in how he saw it but was just plain wrong, which is much worse imo.

Maybe, but what does it say when he chooses to believe nonsense despite being told he's wrong over and over again? At what point is that just lying by another name?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,354
136
If a recession does happen it will be interesting to watch Trump and other Republicans switch their rhetoric from how the good economy was totally the result of Trump but the bad economy is totally the result of literally everyone other than Trump.

Bonus points if he tries to blame Obama.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,648
46,337
136
If a recession does happen it will be interesting to watch Trump and other Republicans switch their rhetoric from how the good economy was totally the result of Trump but the bad economy is totally the result of literally everyone other than Trump.

Bonus points if he tries to blame Obama.

Well he is prone to accepting responsibility.
 

Bitek

Lifer
Aug 2, 2001
10,676
5,239
136
Although what’s funny about this is that in response to Trump China STOPPED manipulating its currency. It had been acting to prop up the yuan and that recent drop happened simply because it decided to stop doing so.

This led to the surreal moment of the US threatening and then declaring China to be a currency manipulator because it...yes...stopped manipulating its currency.

Yes, that's a good clarification.

In the end, Trump is provoking damaging responses with little to nothing gained other than a sugar rush tweet his cultists to try and show "toughness" or distract from other news.

There is no policy goals here. There is no plan.

This is only contributing to the weakening of the global economy and raises taxes and recession risks in the US.

It's completely insane
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
If a recession does happen it will be interesting to watch Trump and other Republicans switch their rhetoric from how the good economy was totally the result of Trump but the bad economy is totally the result of literally everyone other than Trump.

Bonus points if he tries to blame Obama.

It's the Kenyan voodoo time warp mind control, I'm telling you.
 

alien42

Lifer
Nov 28, 2004
12,867
3,297
136
If a recession does happen it will be interesting to watch Trump and other Republicans switch their rhetoric from how the good economy was totally the result of Trump but the bad economy is totally the result of literally everyone other than Trump.

Bonus points if he tries to blame Obama.

they've already started it in this very thread...

https://forums.anandtech.com/thread...-how-ugly-will-this-get.2568443/post-39900313

https://forums.anandtech.com/thread...-how-ugly-will-this-get.2568443/post-39900056

they will just say that recessions aren't preventable, that we were simply due for one and that the long term outlook is still peachy.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
Where's Andrew Mellon when we need him?

quote-liquidate-labor-liquidate-stocks-liquidate-the-farmers-liquidate-real-estate-it-will-andrew-mellon-74-72-03.jpg
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,857
31,346
146
Consumer spending halts, middle class gets cut in half. "Market Correction".

This is really the only functional result of supply-side economics, and is the intent all along. You might see maybe 5% of those "move up" to a slightly higher bracket, but the majority of that middle class suddenly finds themselves dropping a couple of tiers, trying now to pick up extra jobs to pay the bills. All of that wealth simply gets trapped with the extremely wealthy because, as expected, tax cuts went to stock buybacks and not seeding employee pension funds, increasing salaries to a reasonable pace (still drastically way the fuck behind from the rate growing from the 40s to the mid 70s), and extending benefits.

more wealth for me, just because I never earned it, less for you! The GOP way.
 

JSt0rm

Lifer
Sep 5, 2000
27,399
3,948
126
If we go over the cliff what will they do to fix it? Thats my biggest worry. in 2008 the gop dragged ass on recovery efforts.
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,242
14,243
136
If a recession does happen it will be interesting to watch Trump and other Republicans switch their rhetoric from how the good economy was totally the result of Trump but the bad economy is totally the result of literally everyone other than Trump.

Bonus points if he tries to blame Obama.

No, Trump and his followers will claim the economy isn't actually bad. When unemployment starts to rise, he'll claim his own BLS is part of the deep state and is cooking the books.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
72,852
33,908
136
If we go over the cliff what will they do to fix it? Thats my biggest worry. in 2008 the gop dragged ass on recovery efforts.
The Fed has pretty much used up all its tools keeping the bubble inflated (in a decent economy). I guess they could print more money and buy bonds again though liquidity doesn't seem to be the problem at the moment. The Treasury is already in record deficit territory (in a decent economy). The Republicans are incapable of governing in good times or bad so I expect we'll just ride the barrel right over the falls.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
17,371
16,646
146
If we go over the cliff what will they do to fix it? Thats my biggest worry. in 2008 the gop dragged ass on recovery efforts.
It'll drag ass until another Democrat ends up in the office, they'll spend 8y fixing it, then Republicans will claim it as their victory?
 

Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
13,755
11,371
136
I have a feeling it'll be worse than '08. We don't have the tools to fix, and the tools we have don't know what the fuck they're doing.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
If we go over the cliff what will they do to fix it? Thats my biggest worry. in 2008 the gop dragged ass on recovery efforts.

Fix it? The best time to be astoundingly rich is when everybody else is broke, busted & begging. When they've accomplished that they will have fixed it. The Capitalist dream of the shining city on the hill surrounded by favelas will be realized.
 
  • Like
Reactions: JSt0rm

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
If we go over the cliff what will they do to fix it? Thats my biggest worry. in 2008 the gop dragged ass on recovery efforts.

Fix it? The best time to be astoundingly rich is when everybody else is broke, busted & begging. When they've accomplished that they will have fixed it. The Capitalist dream of the shining city on the hill surrounded by favelas will be realized.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,354
136
No, Trump and his followers will claim the economy isn't actually bad. When unemployment starts to rise, he'll claim his own BLS is part of the deep state and is cooking the books.

I expect him to panic and give every possible excuse even if those excuses are mutually exclusive. So in short I expect the sum total of the excuses to be 'those numbers are all fake and anyway it isn't my fault'.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
I have a feeling it'll be worse than '08. We don't have the tools to fix, and the tools we have don't know what the fuck they're doing.

Fuck the plebes. Suck the cash out of them on the way up, beat the cash out of them on the way down & profit. Get liquid now & wait until it all falls down. Cash is King when nobody else has it.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
I have a feeling it'll be worse than '08. We don't have the tools to fix, and the tools we have don't know what the fuck they're doing.

Fuck the plebes. Suck the cash out of them on the way up, beat the cash out of them on the way down & profit. Get liquid now & wait until it all falls down. Cash is King when nobody else has it.
 

SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,359
4,640
136
Fuck the plebes. Suck the cash out of them on the way up, beat the cash out of them on the way down & profit. Get liquid now & wait until it all falls down. Cash is King when nobody else has it.

Unless Donny Boy thinks that he can buy our way out of a recession by printing loads of money. Then all that cash is worthless paper. Maybe the best thing to do is to buy a whole lot of liquor. The worse things get the more people want it.
 

alien42

Lifer
Nov 28, 2004
12,867
3,297
136
Unless Donny Boy thinks that he can buy our way out of a recession by printing loads of money. Then all that cash is worthless paper. Maybe the best thing to do is to buy a whole lot of liquor. The worse things get the more people want it.

Pretty sure his plan is what he has done with so many businesses, declare bankruptcy.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,354
136
Unless Donny Boy thinks that he can buy our way out of a recession by printing loads of money. Then all that cash is worthless paper. Maybe the best thing to do is to buy a whole lot of liquor. The worse things get the more people want it.

Ironically, this is exactly what we should do to get ourselves out of a recession but it's something the Republicans hated under Obama. Something tells me they will not mind it so much under Trump.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
Ironically, this is exactly what we should do to get ourselves out of a recession but it's something the Republicans hated under Obama. Something tells me they will not mind it so much under Trump.

In right wing utopia, anybody who goes down stays down. FYGM, bitches. Shoulda been Rich.
 

JSt0rm

Lifer
Sep 5, 2000
27,399
3,948
126
In right wing utopia, anybody who goes down stays down. FYGM, bitches. Shoulda been Rich.


I hope everyone is prepared. I am prepped with 2 years of expenditures in cash. Im going to also stop my 401k until this volatility passes.