Originally posted by: techs
Hehe. Just keep beleiving it.
Here's what's really happening.
First off notice how Guiliani is losing ground to Huckabee and and Romney (esp. Huck)?
When you have an election with non-party line, but party supported front runners the undecideds are usually higher. Just like this year.
The key is in the "break". And more importantly for the polls, the timing of the "break".
The candidate who is nearer to the "party line" or the "party choice" usually loses ground as the early break is for the non-traditional candidate. Then as the election gets really close, the break swings over to "party candidate". ( this year the party candidates are hilary and rudy)
The Obama surge is because those people who have made up their minds recently are breaking his way.
Clinton can expect a similiar surge in the last 3 weeks before each primary.
And, sadly for America, their is usually a much more pronounced "break" against African-American candidates. Study after study has pointed out that white Americans consistently support black candidates in polls, but not in elections.
Sorry, Republicans. You won't get your "dream" candidate, the only one you could beat, Obama.
Its Hilary.
