Originally posted by: palehorse74
Originally posted by: sandorski
Originally posted by: palehorse74
short quiz:
Q: When a power vaccuum is created, what happens?
A: Someone steps in and fills the vaccuum, and it's usually the least desirable candidate for the job.
Just await and see folks: if the U.S and Coalition pull out of Iraq prematurely, you are going to see some fireworks, and not the pretty kind you catch every year on July 4th. Iran, Syria, and Saudi will be tugging on th Iraqi people with barbed wire leashes, and the end result may threaten the entire globe.
We MUST find another way to resolve the ethnic and religious issues plaguing Iraq, and this "new plan" will involve our presence in Iraq for many years to come. If it doesnt, then whoever pulls our troops out will have enough blood on their hands to make Saddam and Bush look like Girl Scouts. We will be dreaming of the "good ole days when Bush was running things." Scary eh?
mark my words.
The Power Vacuum already exists. That's why the violence is growing and has been for years.
exactly. which is why we must remain in place in order to prevent Iran or another extremist entity from stepping in.
I don't think that peace in Iraq is possible with the US present. Under any circumstances, beyond possibly partitioning.
I think the threat of destabilization is vastly overstated, as long as other power players in the region (Pakistan, the Saudis, Russia, China) state that they will accept no further invasions or provocations during the stabilization process. Remember that most of the Iraqi chaos right now is from Iraqi v Iraqi, and Iraqi v US.
I don't think that Iran has the desire to embroil themselves into the chaos that plagues Iraq, and there is a fundamental racial difference as well (Persian v Arab). Also, Iran has been much more responsible in terms of foreign policy than the US has over the past 50 years of sticking our butts into every corner of the globe.
We have quite enough business to attend to domestically without causing trouble everywhere we turn.
For now, all is conjecture anyway, I could be wrong, and the Iraq vacuum could domino WW3. For all we know, our continued presence there could trigger the same thing. Hypothetical scenarios could be easily drawn for support of either idea. Undoubtedly, they have, in the State Dept, in Putin's staff, etc, etc.
We will have to wait and see. I firmly and publically support a rapid withdrawal of US forces. In a region that has writhed in violence for eons, letting our soldiers get slaughtered for a decade won't even make a dent. It will accomplish nothing but wasted money and pointless death. Of course, it will continue to feed the bank accounts of a few powerful people, and that makes it all worth it.