I didn't say I believe that. Who is making assumptions now?
I asked if you thought that punishment is a deterrent and you said yes.
Are you saying that conditions of prison are not a form of punishment? I think its rational to think that if a person had to choose a prison with good conditions vs bad, they would choose the good conditions. That would make the worse conditions a harsher punishment, so its logical to conclude that you see conditions as a deterrent to crime. Are you disagreeing with this?
I didn't say I agreed about conditions. Who is making assumptions now?
Again, if you think that punishments are a deterrent, then putting people in conditions they do not like is a form of punishment and thus would deter people from crime. Its not making an assumption, its drawing a logical conclusion. Are you arguing that conditions are not a form of punishment? I am not asking if they should be a form, but are they a form.
Who said anything about statistical significance? He said he suspects that other people are deterred from committing crimes by the bad conditions they would face in prison the way he is. How could this not have an effect on crime rates if it were true?
He claimed it was a deterrent for him and figured it would be for others as well. He did not say how many this would be true for. If he thought it was a significant number, he would be making a casual argument and he did not do that. He also did not claim that his rational was popular enough to impact the rate in a significant way aka statistical significance. If he does not believe his viewpoint is popular enough, the it would not be picked up in the data aka the rate. So, it has an effect on the rate, but it may not be statistically significant enough to be seen in the rate unless you go way to the right of the decimal. I hope this is clear enough, but it should have been already, so the fact that you did not get it means you might not get this either.
This is the full text of the post you quoted:
There is nothing in that text where I put any words in his mouth except for a direct quote of his post.
He is claiming there is possibly a direct link between prison conditions and crime rate which translates to incarceration rate.
He never claimed there was a link between conditions and crime rates. If he did, prove it. I could not find it in this thread, or the other thread. This is where you are putting words in his mouth. He claimed that conditions might change incarceration rates, not crime rates. People can commit crimes and not go to jail, so one does not always tie to the other.