Originally posted by: charrison
It actually means the inspections were not working. Once the inspectors leave, whatever was buried could be dug up. If the inspections were working, we would have verifiable proof that these were destroyed, not hidden.
Well I said that the inspections were working
at deterring the regime. I didn't say they were working 100%. I agree with you that the inspections were less than perfect, but in my opinion it was a better solution to the problem than launching a unilateral, heavily opposed war. Deterrance and containment has historically been proven to work, and I think they were working with dealing with Iraq.
You say that once the inspectors left, the nuclear program would be reconstituted. I agree with you 100%. But if it were up to the UN inspectors and most of the UN Security Council, the inspectors didn't plan to leave anytime soon, if not ever. Nor did they plan to end the sanctions (which I think were unfairly punishing the Iraqi people, but were still successful in deterring the regime). It was the US who told them to get out before the bombing commenced. If the inspectors were allowed to stay in the country, they could have either a) found those centrifuge parts and other parts (not very likely) or b) after a significant time of searching without finding anything, they could have filed a report to the UN Security Council saying Iraq was most likely hiding these parts and did not give any evidence that they destroyed these parts. Then an accepted, multilateral war could have been launched, or whatever action determined by the Security Council. Either way, those centrifuge parts would have remained buried that entire time.
I know the concern is that the UN inspectors would have just left and the UN would have "appeased" Saddam, but there's no historical proof that this would have happened. Everyone knew Saddam was a dangerous menace, and he wasn't just going to be left off the hook scott-free if the inspections produced nothing. Close inspections and sanctions would have continued indefinitely. In other words, the situation where that scientist would have been ordered to dig up those centrifuge parts would have never happened.