People want to ban guns because guns make it easy to kill. They see people getting killed, recognize that guns make it easier and more efficient if not simply enabling it at all, and they want to do something to save lives. Their hearts at least are mostly in the right place, their method is simply ineffective. More than that, a lot of countries have banned guns. None of which I am aware had a revolution as a result.
Like I said, because they're wrong, ignorant, etc.
You might get a few lone nutjobs
70-85% of people consistently oppose blanket bans of firearms. 20-40% support the idea of armed revolution against the government under some foreseeable circumstances. There are currently ~1360 tracked militia and para-military groups in the US. ~477 Sheriffs have declared they will refuse to enforce or support firearm bans or blanket confiscations. Numerous states have signed legislation refusing to adhere to the mere whisper of moderate gun laws, never mind bans and confiscations.
trying to fight a guerrilla war against law enforcement and society at large (thus justifying the need to ban guns in the first place to a lot of people) but it is a war you will never win because they can wait forever for you to come into the open and can legally kill you just so long as they can claim they thought you were dangerous. For the most part though, people who own guns will turn them in without a fuss because they aren't ready to give up their jobs or go living off the grid or take their families into a bloody war.
Incorrect. It is we who can wait forever, and government who must act or be perceived/declared impotent, and lose all credibility and force of law. Further, we KNOW who they are, almost to the last man. They have to jump a lot of hoops to find out who we are, and we change faster than they do.
Also, your statement presumes 'society at large' will support such an act, but it will not as already shown in study after poll after fact. The 'few nutjobs' are the ones doing the banning, and while they have fleeting illusory power they are insignificant compared to the will of a massed populace, especially a heavily armed and trained one (which we are).
You call me naive? Look around you, people already give up constitutional protections in massive numbers because it is too inconvenient to do anything about it. You honestly think the rebel alliance is going to rise against the evil empire when one more in a long chain of rights is trodden on? People will bitch, grumble, and then go about their daily lives because it is too much work and they have too much to lose to do anything else.
The things given up, while sickening and wrong and important, are not immediately imperative to appearance...at least much of the time. It's things that are only shown to be important over time, which is why we've been so slow to react to the 60+ year war on citizens.
Now that people are seeing how far we've slid, you notice things are heating up. More and more anti-government groups. New political parties. Protests. Plummeting government confidence/support. And this is all from relatively non-impacting things.
Tell people to give up their guns and the war begins in 24 hours. Guaranteed. I'd bet the first death would occur in less than one hour.
Further, have you perhaps noticed that police agencies are becoming more militarized? How do you think it will play out when an armed insurrectionist group (yes, that is what the media will call you and how the police will classify you) starts a war? You'll last a couple months until your local metro PD buys some shiny new drones to safely dispose of dangerous cop killers.
It will play out the way insurgencies/revolutions always play out. Small unit engagements, ambushes, sniping, ieds, etc. The government won't deploy heavy (ie military armor, etc) because they know it would alienate the people, cause massive destruction (including infrastructure and financial), and turn world opinion against us. Not to mention the military may very well NOT support the government in such a situation. After all, they're required to support the Consitution as well as obey orders...in the event of contradiction each man will choose for himself. Having been in the military I can tell you this was often discussed, and the pro-government side never fared much better than 50/50.
We'll be lucky to have 1-10% active support, which is what successful revolutions require fortunately. So it will be our ~3,000,000-30,000,000 armed people with identities unknown hiding amongst the public, sniping targets of opportunity out of the ~1,000,000 law enforcement personnel. Each officer/agent killed is a loss of tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars and hundreds or thousands of man hours of training and experience. Each revolutionary they arrest is utterly meaningless and costs us nothing. I'd imagine all law enforcement would break down/strike/quit/exempt themselves from the conflict after 2-3 months.
Bottom lining it, no, there won't be a war of any note, no, you aren't going to frighten the government into backing down if and when they decide to come for your guns, but you might accomplish is convincing some expecting mother somewhere that she doesn't want her kid to grow up in a nation where someone could go on a killing spree over political differences and write her congressman to pass a law. Fear makes people go to whoever is offering them safety and right now, that is the anti-gun crowd. When you threaten people with guns, they get afraid of guns. When they are afraid of guns, they try to pass laws to ban them.
Not expecting to frighten them off the action. I told you, they've already totally decided. I'm just giving notice.
As I already told you, you're wrong. They were already going to try and ban them, without me or anyone else saying and doing this stuff. It's what they believe, and what they want, and nothing is going to influence that. Other than a few wishy-washy ones in the middle, it's going to go on ad infinitum without any additional stimulus.
In short, we totally disagree about the situation, and the solutions. No harm no foul in that. However neither of us has the right to force the other to their way. You can't force me not to draw a line, any more than I can force you to pick up a weapon.