Anybody watching NJ and VA?

[Lost_in_the_HTTP]

Phil Murphy Widens Lead in NJ in Rare Good News for Democrats

New Jersey and Virginia are the only two states with regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections this fall.

www.newsweek.com

Could be interesting.

Or disturbing.

 

[HomerJS]

I'm looking. Republicans gaining ground on phony cultural issues like CRT which is not being taught in school districts or banning books that teach this countries real history.

GOP are marketing geniuses

 

[fskimospy]

Could be, although the exact same thing happened in Virginia in 2017 where the polls had the results as within about 3 points and Northam won by like 9.

Perhaps methodology has improved since then and they are more accurate but it's something to keep in mind.

 

[soundforbjt]

VA will be a interesting race. If a trumper masquerading as a Romney, wins...it gives republicans a blueprint for the midterms and beyond.

 

[emperus]

I'm looking. Republicans gaining ground on phony cultural issues like CRT which is not being taught in school districts or banning books that teach this countries real history.

GOP are marketing geniuses

They are, but moreso that they understand they have a mountain of voices promoting their "marketing" or "propaganda". That combined with how the main stream media likes to report on "both sides". It's amazed me that the Dems are going after Facebook over Fox News. Shows how scared of Fox News they really are.

 

[hal2kilo]

I just don't know. The bluest part of the state is suffering from their football team just being called the Washington football team, so I would not be surprised that a lot of on the fence moderate males have an axe to grind. Good luck Terry you hack. (That's the actual problem).

 

[K1052]

VA will be a interesting race. If a trumper masquerading as a Romney, wins...it gives republicans a blueprint for the midterms and beyond.

This presumes Trump essentially stays invisible for the next three years solid. Seems like a lot to ask of him.

 

[K1052]

Could be, although the exact same thing happened in Virginia in 2017 where the polls had the results as within about 3 points and Northam won by like 9.

Perhaps methodology has improved since then and they are more accurate but it's something to keep in mind.

Yeah we're in big shrug territory here no different than 17. Polling averages narrowed as LVs became the model but who's to say pollsters have the right screens one way or the other?

I've got no defensible idea what's going to happen but if I was a gambling man I say TMac by 3-4 points.

 

[soundforbjt]

This presumes Trump essentially stays invisible for the next three years solid. Seems like a lot to ask of him.

They’ll dump trump if this works out for them and they’ll give trump some role to keep him and his cult followers happy...remember they’re easily guided.

 

[Amol S.]

I'm looking. Republicans gaining ground on phony cultural issues like CRT which is not being taught in school districts or banning books that teach this countries real history.

GOP are marketing geniuses

You also forgot about books that make sexual references, are underscruitny from parents who are asking for it to be banned from schools.

 

[nakedfrog]

I'm looking. Republicans gaining ground on phony cultural issues like CRT which is not being taught in school districts or banning books that teach this countries real history.

GOP are marketing geniuses

TBF, it's not that hard to market to a crowd that's demonstrated an insatiable appetite for unfettered bullshit.

 

[hal2kilo]

You also forgot about books that make sexual references, are underscruitny from parents who are asking for it to be banned from schools.

Are we back to banning Catcher In the Rye again?

 

[uclaLabrat]

Could be, although the exact same thing happened in Virginia in 2017 where the polls had the results as within about 3 points and Northam won by like 9.

Perhaps methodology has improved since then and they are more accurate but it's something to keep in mind.

See: Newsom recall.

 

[Ajay]

I'm looking. Republicans gaining ground on phony cultural issues like CRT which is not being taught in school districts or banning books that teach this countries real history.

GOP are marketing geniuses

The GOP invented the Facebook algorithm we've heard so much about lately. Facebook just figured out how to monetize it rather than use it for getting votes.

 

[dingster1]

Live in Va. Doing my part.

 

[imported_tajmahal]

Live in Va. Doing my part.

Thank you.

 

[sportage]

Ok... Ok.... Lets give it all to the republicans. Give then full government control. Give them back their Trump, give them the house, give them the senate, and give them every governorship in every state. Lets give them all that Mitch McConnell dreams about. Oh, and lets give them more of the US Supreme Court while we're at it. Then, lets just see how the republican population feels in, oh say in about five or ten years.

When was the last time the people gave one party everything they wanted? Could it have been in 1932 Germany? Are we repeating 1932 Germany? Are we about to repeat 1932 Germany? Lets redo 1932 Germany and see how that goes for America.

 

[Ajay]

Ok... Ok.... Lets give it all to the republicans. Give then full government control. Give them back their Trump, give them the house, give them the senate, and give them every governorship in every state. Lets give them all that Mitch McConnell dreams about. Oh, and lets give them more of the US Supreme Court while we're at it. Then, lets just see how the republican population feels in, oh say in about five or ten years.

When was the last time the people gave one party everything they wanted? Could it have been in 1932 Germany? Are we repeating 1932 Germany? Are we about to repeat 1932 Germany? Lets redo 1932 Germany and see how that goes for America.

Swell. The EU is going to love the mass applications for work VISAs from sane people fleeing the US.

 

[K1052]

If any Dems want to engage in some quality pants loading here you go:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1453852517834666003

The LV screen models an R+1 electorate which...is something in a D+10 state. It's really hard to model low turnout off year elections. They didn't get it close in 2017 I'm not sure they are now. Who's gonna win? I still favor Tmac but ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

 

[Ajay]

Virginia : Governor Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Uncomfortable narrowing. If Democrats don't pull off the two pending bills, what the heck are they going to run on?

 

[JEDI]

Phil Murphy Widens Lead in NJ in Rare Good News for Democrats

New Jersey and Virginia are the only two states with regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections this fall.

www.newsweek.com

Could be interesting.

Or disturbing.

in va, cant believe a former popular va governor might lose to a Trump nut posing a Repub moderate

 

[gothuevos]

Youngkin now leading in most polls, in a state that Biden won by 10 points. Not a good look for 2022 and beyond, but with many GOP state legislatures, it doesn't even matter. We already know the results.

 

[K1052]

Youngkin now leading in most polls, in a state that Biden won by 10 points. Not a good look for 2022 and beyond, but with many GOP state legislatures, it doesn't even matter. We already know the results.

It's more complicated than that. Newsom beat the recall by his original margin and everybody was calling that the harbinger of 2022 until it wasn't because the GOP face planted.

Candidates and campaigns matter and few people are going to say anything good about how TMac has performed.

 

[gothuevos]

It's more complicated than that. Newsom beat the recall by his original margin and everybody was calling that the harbinger of 2022 until it wasn't because the GOP face planted.

Candidates and campaigns matter and few people are going to say anything good about how TMac has performed.

You think TMac ran a poor campaign? Was it the parents and education comment?

 

[soundforbjt]

You think TMac ran a poor campaign? Was it the parents and education comment?

I think he said it the wrong way, but it’s killing him with independents.