AtenRa
Lifer
- Feb 2, 2009
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Zen+ was already in development in parallel and is likely to soon tapeout for a 2018 launch.
I have a feeling ZEN+ will come later with 7nm.
Zen+ was already in development in parallel and is likely to soon tapeout for a 2018 launch.
I have a feeling ZEN+ will come later with 7nm.
That said, I think the absolute best case scenario is Zen coming in as slightly better than Sky/Kabylake (which would really mean moderately better if AMD had access to Intel's process tech). AMD had a truly massive technological advantage during the K8 era which might not ever be the case again. The situations aren't exactly comparable.
This, agree with it totally but just to add to that the wow effect will have to come from performance & not the cheap(er) price tag. If they can't sell enough SR7's initially, even with performance IMO between 5960x & 6900K, for 700~800$ then they'll most likely not be able to tide the Intel crowd over to their side with a 600$ price tag either.
damn, you killed a polar bear and blame AMD?
I mean, wat?
When is 7nm @ GFL? I've heard they already have EUV units arriving or were about to, my source wasn't clear. He was stoked about Polaris and Zen production (@ Malta, IIRC).
I would expect AMD to go with a 12-15 month 'tick' if Zen sells well* (gotta keep momentum running). Minor uArch improvements + in situ process improvements.
* I really, really want Ryzen to do well - hasn't been much excitement in the x86 CPU world like this for a long time - it feels so good. Even if CPU improvements eventually grind back to 5-10% per gen, it'll be more fun with AMD and Intel trading places every six months.
Ehh, I know Francois, his social media accounts are not to be taken so seriously. He always errs on the side of AMD sux, but he has buddies working across the line. He posted later that he wishes nothing but the best for those working hard at AMD and knows competition keeps things spicy.
It's not but the point is if people aren't willing to spend 700~800$ (let's say 700$ just for the sake of argument) for something that's fairly close to 6900K then what makes you think that 600$ will sway them the other way? Also I do believe that octa core is still pro/gamer territory, although hexa core is mainstream IMO just that Intel doesn't want to sell it as such & would rather waste the die space of an i7 x700K on IGP, so the people looking for high end should be willing to spend that little bit extra considering the cash grab that 6950x or even 6900K is atm.$600 is not low price, only 1% of the TAM will ever consider to spend more than $300-400 for the CPU alone. 99% of Intels non Server CPUs sold the last 2-3 years have iGPUs.
The big bucks today are in the $200 to $350-400 range with Core i5 and mainstream Core i7 (Socket 1151) for the desktop segment.
We also have to take in to account the platform features, AM4 will not have the same features as 2011-v3. AM4 is targeting up to high-end mainstream not HEDT which have quad channel memory (and im sure not that much PCI-e lanes).
And 8C 16T zen die will be significantly smaller than 10C 20T Broadwell-E , making the $600 price having ridiculously high margins even for Intel standards (imagine Intel selling 4C8T + iGPU 120-140mm2 at $500).
AMD will launch the top 8C 16T SKU first in January, HEDT people will want one but it will be too expensive for the rest of the TAM. The rest of the people will opt for the 6C12T and 4C8T SKUs at way lower prices that will come later in the end of Q1 early Q2. So in the entire Q1 the demand will not be high enough with only $600 (if that is the price) CPU available but it will generate anticipation for the cheaper models that will follow the coming months.
Selling a 4C 8T ZEN with Core i7 4770K performance at $200-250 and 95W TDP, will certainly generate a Wowww effect in Q1 2017 when Intel will sell a unlocked dual core Core i3 7350K at $170.
I seriously doubt it. They will almost certainly do at least another run at 14nm.I have a feeling ZEN+ will come later with 7nm.
It's not but the point is if people aren't willing to spend 700~800$ (let's say 700$ just for the sake of argument) for something that's fairly close to 6900K then what makes you think that 600$ will sway them the other way? Also I do believe that octa core is still pro/gamer territory, although hexa core is mainstream IMO just that Intel doesn't want to sell it as such & would rather waste the die space of an i7 x700K on IGP, so the people looking for high end should be willing to spend that little bit extra considering the cash grab that 6950x or even 6900K is atm.
Indeed a quad core without IGP for ~250$ is perfect at that price, a vast majority of gamers out there have an i7 x700K & it's really a waste of a die with IGP that's barely used, if at all.
I seriously doubt it. They will almost certainly do at least another run at 14nm.
7nm exists, but they have just begin testing it. It's likely still years away.
I remember buying an athlon 64 x2 for a fairly decent price. The gouging was on the gold sample high bin parts, but if you go back in the history you'll find a64 x2 were still priced better than Intel at the time.
I think we might see a similar thing this time. A black edition Ryzen top bin part 3.6Ghz+ base will probably cost a pretty penny. But the regular 3.4Ghz base will probably be pretty decently priced. Also I do hope all Ryzen chips are unlocked like the FX chips were.
It's not but the point is if people aren't willing to spend 700~800$ (let's say 700$ just for the sake of argument) for something that's fairly close to 6900K then what makes you think that 600$ will sway them the other way? Also I do believe that octa core is still pro/gamer territory, although hexa core is mainstream IMO just that Intel doesn't want to sell it as such & would rather waste the die space of an i7 x700K on IGP, so the people looking for high end should be willing to spend that little bit extra considering the cash grab that 6950x or even 6900K is atm.
Indeed a quad core without IGP for ~250$ is perfect at that price, a vast majority of gamers out there have an i7 x700K & it's really a waste of a die with IGP that's barely used, if at all.
How cool would it be if AMD beat intel to 7nm though!?
I'd like to see how that works out for AMD, I foresee review sites & users panning them for such a move, if they were to introduce a more expensive SR7 after they've launched a 600$ octa core.Because it's a $100 cheaper!?
But seriously, I think you are misunderstanding the point of expensive items.
"Introduce a new item that’s priced even higher. Providing a higher price point for comparison, sometimes called “anchoring,” makes the original item’s price seem lower. Anchoring works because the new, higher-priced item changes customers’ expectations and perception of value where the original product is concerned. A classic example is Williams-Sonoma’s difficulty selling a $275 bread maker, which it solved by offering a similar product priced at $429. (For the greatest success, do not support the highest-priced item with a lot of inventory or marketing effort, because it may languish on store shelves.)"
If you happen to sell a few of the top tier items that have asinine markups on them, that's great, but it's not where the real money is. The real money is in that middle tier. In this case, the $200-$400 range.
Is that possible? To get it to 3.9 or 4.0 with only 3 months before they hit their self imposed deadline? We know they reached 3.4 base. For those of you who understand the manufacturing part, how many months and respins does it normally take to improve performance that much? Admittedly we don't know what the boost clocks are today, we only know minimum base. Is it even reasonable to expect a CPU that can only reach 3.4 reliably on all cores, but be able to boost up to 3.9?
Yah, I forgot about that... It's so annoying that the same terms have different meanings.GloFos 7nm will be in the same category as Intels 10nm.
Intel will launch 10nm SKUs (mobile) in H2 2017. I believe both will use 7nm (AMD) and 10nm(Intel) for Desktop SKUs in 2019 at some point.
I'd like to see how that works out for AMD, I foresee review sites & users panning them for such a move, if they were to introduce a more expensive SR7 after they've launched a 600$ octa core.
I get what both of you are saying but IMO the 700~800$ launch price just seems good enough, they can always bring it down to more reasonable levels if the sales aren't that great &/or Intel retaliates with their own round of price slashing. This also takes into account the assumption that SR7 will be within 5~15% of 6900K, after including the OC headroom.
I'm afraid I'm not able to help, I'm not familiar with that toolI've never used the program before, so I mighta gotten lost somewhere. Step by step instructions would help; make sure I provided the right info.
This is where our opinions diverge, I do believe that with an octa core ZEN AMD is targeting the HEDT line, for me personally the high end mainstream stops at six core chips. Should AMD introduce a ten core successor to the SR7, it'll just as well be aimed at the enthusiast segment & priced accordingly.People should understand that AMD with ZEN doesnt aim the HEDT segment but up to high-end mainstream ($300-400 max), the 8C 16T SKU at $600 will be the Intel 6950X or NVIDIAs TITAN XP equivalent. They will not introduce a more expensive SKU later because 8C 16T ZEN die/performance doesnt allow them. Even at $600 its very expensive for 99% of the TAM, and with less than 10% of the Desktop market share , they better aim to sell millions of $200-300 CPUs than a few thousand $600 SKUs.
If it cost more than $600 I'd just wait for Skylake-E as I originally planned. I know Skylake would be at least a little faster and if I'm spending the big money on a CPU then I'm getting the absolute best and I'll wait for it.
I can not understand FO4 and can not find places that is sufficient simple to understand. Please help and gladly in relation to zen uarch and gf 14lpp.?
On Realworldtech:I've never used the program before, so I mighta gotten lost somewhere. Step by step instructions would help; make sure I provided the right info.
Folks that have been sitting out of the market for awhile are wildcards. You would think that anyone looking to pay $800+ for a CPU would have picked up Haswell-E or Broadwell-E by now. Remaining buyers are probably on the fence between a 5820k and 6700k and don't necessarily 100% like all of what they see, but don't want to step up and pay the big bucks for the stronger LGA-2011 v3 chips.
They might pay a little more for Summit Ridge than they would a 6700k, but not THAT much more.