40% of Youth to Vote Romney

[fantolay]

Washington Examiner Article

 

[a777pilot]

Maybe they figured out that at some point they will need a job.

 

[cybrsage]

Zogby has been especially interested in the youth vote this election. In 2008, 66 percent chose Obama over Sen. John McCain,the highest percentage for a Democrat in three decades. But their desire for hope and change has turned to disillusionment and unemployment. Zogby calls them "CENGAs" for "college-educated, not going anywhere."

Zogby speculates that Romney's selection of 42-year-old Rep. Paul Ryan helped turn more younger voters to him. "It could be his youthfulness," said Zogby of Ryan. Plus, he said, more younger voters are becoming libertarian, distrustful of current elected officials and worried that they are going to get stuck with the nation's looming fiscal bill.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/a-rom...th-vote-back-him/article/2504893#.UDZeTNCe5At

As I said in another thread, the choice of Ryan was done to energize voters.

 

[Pr0d1gy]

Well, at the very least, it should be interesting this time.

 

[nextJin]

Maybe they figured out that at some point they will need a job.

lol

 

[FerrelGeek]

Maybe they figured out that at some point they will need a job.

But the messiah promised jobs! Give him a chance already!

 

[umbrella39]

Reagan was the messiah? The trickle down retards have been promising jobs since the 80's... Yeah, let's give THIS option another chance seeing as how well it has worked out the past 12 years....

 

[Incorruptible]

Reagan was the messiah? The trickle down retards have been promising jobs since the 80's... Yeah, let's give THIS option another chance seeing as how well it has worked out the past 12 years....

obama is just as bad as romney

 

[chucky2]

I doubt it'll be anywhere near that high, more like 25% at best.

 

[cybrsage]

obama is just as bad as romney

Worse, Obama has already proven he cannot fix the economy.

 

[actuarial]

Worse, Obama has already proven he cannot fix the economy.

That would be sound logic if the economy operated as a dichotomy.

 

[Matt1970]

Reagan was the messiah? The trickle down retards have been promising jobs since the 80's... Yeah, let's give THIS option another chance seeing as how well it has worked out the past 12 years....

Reagan knocked unemployment from 10.8% to 5.3%. Don't let facts get in the way of your theory.

 

[classy]

If anyone thinks Romney will get 40% of the young vote, they are on drugs. Young people far and away are staunch liberals. Thats everywhere too.

 

[Phokus]

Maybe they figured out that at some point they will need a job.

Yeah, Romney can 'restructure' those jobs and ship them oversees.

 

[Phokus]

Worse, Obama has already proven he cannot fix the economy with an obstructionist GOP.

Fixed.

 

[cybrsage]

If anyone thinks Romney will get 40% of the young vote, they are on drugs. Young people far and away are staunch liberals. Thats everywhere too.

So you say a Zogby poll is meaningless because you dislike the results?

John Zogby (born 1948) is an American political pollster, founder of the "Zogby Poll" and the Zogby companies, is an internationally respected pollster, opinion leader and best-selling author. His polling is best known for both phone polling and interactive, Internet-based polling.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Zogby

 

[spidey07]

If anyone thinks Romney will get 40% of the young vote, they are on drugs. Young people far and away are staunch liberals. Thats everywhere too.

Obama's failed economic policies are hitting the youth the hardest. Black youth unemployment is setting new records every month.

Young folks won't be voting for him, he has totally screwed them.

It's so bad because of Obama we're going to lose an entire generation of workers due to his failed polices and presidency.

 

[First]

No one takes Zogby seriously. They aren't included in anyone's analysis anywhere in this election cycle.

 

[First]

Obama's failed economic policies are hitting the youth the hardest. Black youth unemployment is setting new records every month.

Young folks won't be voting for him, he has totally screwed them.

It's so bad because of Obama we're going to lose an entire generation of workers due to his failed polices and presidency.

lulz. Will you have my $500 ready on November 6th?

 

[spidey07]

lulz. Will you have my $500 ready on November 6th?

As long as you have mine. See you in November, this president is done. May the greatest of all fuck be upon him.

 

[cybrsage]

No one takes Zogby seriously. They aren't included in anyone's analysis anywhere in this election cycle.

John Zogby (born 1948) is an American political pollster, founder of the "Zogby Poll" and the Zogby companies, is an internationally respected pollster, opinion leader and best-selling author. His polling is best known for both phone polling and interactive, Internet-based polling.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Zogby

You have a strange idea of "no one".

 

[Aikouka]

Not even Dumbledore or Gandalf have the magical powers to create jobs for someone who majored in Women's Studies because he thought he'd get laid more.

 

[cybrsage]

Any idea what the split was during the McCain / Obama election?

EDIT: Found it:

What’s more, young voters may prove to have been the key to Barack Obama's victory. Young voters preferred Obama over John McCain by 68 percent to 30 percent — the highest share of the youth vote obtained by any candidate since exit polls began reporting results by age in 1976, according to CIRCLE, a non-partisan organization that promotes research on the political engagement of Americans between ages 15 and 25.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/2752549...08/t/youth-vote-may-have-been-key-obamas-win/

This is a large drop for Obama and subsequent gain for Romney. It could be crucial to the election.

 

[thraashman]

Reagan knocked unemployment from 10.8% to 5.3%. Don't let facts get in the way of your theory.

Reagan also had a Democrat Congress that was willing to work with him instead of a GOP group that is statistically the most obstructionist in U.S. history. Notice that the stimulus has been credited with us going from bleeding jobs at a rate of 700k a month to 29 straight months of jobs added. If there'd been more than an approximately 2 month period with a super majority, we'd be at 5% unemployment. Anyone with an IQ greater than their age can see the GOP has completely prevented fixing the problem.

 

[mshan]

Without knowing details of methodology and breakdown of sample ground (e. g. landline only?), you still have to remember that most of electorate across country has opinions locked in and won't change, and that it might be a total of 3 million potentially swayable voters, across all of the swing states in play, that will determine outcome in electoral college.

Same polling firm says Obama is ahead in Florida by 7 points, and trails Romney in North Carolina by only 2 points:

http://www.jzanalytics.com/

August 22, 2012

ZOGBY: Demographics and 2012 - The Creative Class

By John Zogby, Forbes Contributor

...

"So when we talk about 2012 being a base election, we already have seen in this column how vital Obama's support among Hispanics and African Americans will be. The fact that he is coming up a little short among young voters is a great cause for concern. But how is he doing among the creative class? In a nationwide poll of 1052 likely voters taken by JZ Analytics (August 15-16), we found that about one in three voters overall considered themselves members of the creative class. Given that the turnout was about 133 million voters in 2008, this figure looks about right in conjunction with Richard Florida's account of 40 million. In that poll, President Obama leads former Governor Mitt Romney 46% to 41% among all voters and his lead is a healthy 52% to 36% among creative class voters, with 12% undecided. We found this group more prepared to vote for a Democratic candidate for Congress in their district 45% to 31% (compared with 41% to 38% overall).

But this is not quite a rosy picture yet for Mr. Obama and his team. By 48% to 42%, creative class voters feel he deserves re-election - but he will need to secure a significant majority of these voters to win re-election. In the key state of North Carolina, where presently our polling (August 15-17) shows Romney leading by two points, creative class voters are tied at 46% over whether the President deserves re-election and the President leads his GOP challenger by only 10 points - 49% to 39%. That is not enough.

In Florida, there is a different story. The President leads overall by 7 points in our JZ Analytics Poll (August 15-17) and the creative class in Florida supports him by 20 points - 57% to 37%. By a factor of 53% to 40% feel he deserves re-election, and they rate his job performance positively 56% to 42%. That is certainly what he needs to maintain his lead in Florida - and numbers similar to these are what he will need in other battleground states to ensure his re-election."

...