2-23-2013
http://www.fool.com/investing/genera...x#.UrjfQLSmYlQ
2014 Gasoline Price Forecast
There's some good news this holiday season.
Thanks to America's energy boom we will likely be paying less at the pump in 2014.
Overall, gasoline prices are forecast in 2014 to decline to an average of $3.43 per gallon, according to the U.S. Energy Information Agency. That's $0.07 lower than this year's average and $0.20 lower than Americans paid on average for a gallon in 2012.
The following chart from the EIA shows that we can expect gas prices to stay about where they are for the next month or so. After that, gas prices are forecast to heat up as they do every year along with the weather.
What's different for the coming year is that the EIA's forecast doesn't predict a pronounced spike during the summer driving season. While the seasonal pickup is inevitable, continued oil production growth from North Dakota and Texas are expected to make the U.S. less dependent on more expensive foreign oil.
This, along with an increase in fuel-efficient vehicles and the
disappearing American driver, are making the summer spikes less pronounced.
Gasoline exports keeping prices elevated
An interesting trend has developed over the past few years that now has America becoming a net exporter of refined petroleum products like gasoline. Both Valero and Phillips 66 are investing to grow export capacity in order to sell cheaper American gasoline and diesel to the international marketplace. This actually acts as a headwind to gas prices and counter balances some of the effect of lower crude oil prices.
In fact, over the past few years exports of U.S. refined products have gone from a million barrels per day to more than 3 million barrels per day.
We're using less gasoline in the U.S. due to energy efficiency gains as well as the lingering economic effects of the last recession. Those two trends would have made
gas prices much cheaper if we weren't shipping our excess gasoline outside our borders.
It's quite possible that if it weren't for the U.S. being a net exporter of gasoline and other refined products that the price Americans pay at the pump would be even cheaper in 2014.
I don't know what's worse. Dave, or the people trying to correct him. You are wasting your breath. Worse, you are just feeding the stupidity.
He is entertaining though. Let's go Dave. $6 by this spring!
Remember the OP, the so called experts said
"What's different for the coming year is that the EIA's forecast doesn't predict a pronounced spike during the summer driving season"