GagHalfrunt
Lifer
- Apr 19, 2001
- 25,284
- 1,998
- 126
Doesn't really matter. If the economy tanks hard, especially if later into Trump's term, and he fails to convincingly blame it on Obama, he's dead even against a mediocre, old, white candidate. If he sells out his base to the ebil globalists, he loses the razor thin margins he had in the critical swing states and loses the electoral. If the economy continues on its current path and he takes credit for it, all the while continuing to give free jobs to the Rust Belt, a second term will be a lock. As said above, the Presidency alone isn't nearly enough to swing things back into Democratic hands anyways, there are other things to worry about.
That's pretty much it. The ways politics work in this country it's less about the merits of the candidates themselves and more a referendum on the current administration. Economy good, stay the course. Things fucked up, change change change! Things were semi-neutral this year, so it came down to which candidate was hated slightly less than the other candidate. In four years the election will be 100% about the Trump presidency. If he does well, jobs grow, economy is strong, no major wars and gas is cheap he wins no matter who runs against him. If the economy tanks, things are messy with China and in the middle east and gas is $5 a gallon then the dems could run an actual donkey (who would be more appealing than Hilary anyway) and they'd win easily.
