nonlnear
Platinum Member
- Jan 31, 2008
- 2,497
- 0
- 76
Bull fucking shit. S&P said it themselves, it was the cluster fuck budget process and threat of default due to no tax loonies that did us in. $4T number was in the cards before that whole clusterfuck.
It depends on how you view effective cause. Yes, the recent battle made the AA+ move more likely to happen when it did, but it had no effect on its long term likelihood of happening before, say, 2020. If the ceiling were raised quietly (which I agree would have been better BTW - if only there were a way to get real talk about the debt done soon without said fake controversy), downgrades were still on the near horizon. It's best to get one downgrade early than to get them all at the same time.
The inability to come to political solutions could just as well apply to a Congress that had no issues raising the debt ceiling but couldn't agree about how to reduce the debt. It's the second part that's more critical, and we still have no solution for it. S&P's press releases could apply verbatim to a lot of scenarios that have no Tea Party whatsoever.