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When does the economy take a noticeable hit from Project 2025's administrative policies?

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When does the economy take a noticeable hit from Project 2025's administrative policies?

  • Within a month

    Votes: 6 21.4%

  • Within 3 months

    Votes: 12 42.9%

  • Within 6 months

    Votes: 7 25.0%

  • By the end of the year

    Votes: 1 3.6%

  • Not until 2026

    Votes: 2 7.1%
  • Total voters
    28
dank69 said:
I don't know but firing 300,000 federal workers can't possibly be good for the economy.
Click to expand...
What could go wrong with firing a huge chunk of federal workers whose jobs you don't understand or whose work is supported by an unknown number of private companies, and just assuming that these people can get jobs in the private sector and all will be fine?
 
Brainonska511 said:
What could go wrong with firing a huge chunk of federal workers whose jobs you don't understand or whose work is supported by an unknown number of private companies, and just assuming that these people can get jobs in the private sector and all will be fine?
Click to expand...

-Hey if unemployment starts skyrocketing... Fed brings down those interest rates!

We got ourselves a win boys!

Guys?

What's with all the chains and baseball bats?
 
UNCjigga said:
Somebody probably made him watch “Landman”, so now he’s onboard with the idea that there’s a “magical price of $76/barrel” where oil is priced low enough that consumers continue consuming and buying guzzler trucks/SUV and OPEC won’t flood the market, but still high enough that exploration/ drilling will be profitable. So Trump is shooting for $76.
Click to expand...

Landman was FULL of BS misinformation. The windmill rant was so detached from reality as to be farcical.

It is amazing to me that energy companies using the EXACT same playbook as the tobacco companies is successful.
 
Brainonska511 said:
What could go wrong with firing a huge chunk of federal workers whose jobs you don't understand or whose work is supported by an unknown number of private companies, and just assuming that these people can get jobs in the private sector and all will be fine?
Click to expand...
What's so funny is Trumpkin is going to be facing a firing squad from his voters. Virginia has an enormous amount of federal workers for US government offices in Virgina and DC. Also several military installations for all services. That state is the biggest recipient of Govment Gravy.
Can't wait to see the unemployment rates coming up.
 
hal2kilo said:
Did we have a poll for how soon Trump was going to blame Biden for current inflation. I guess he doesn't understand the rule that you as president own the current economy.

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I already just assumed from day 1 that literally anything and everything bad will be blamed on Biden, Obama, or Clinton.

giphy.gif
 
nakedfrog said:
I already just assumed from day 1 that literally anything and everything bad will be blamed on Biden, Obama, or Clinton.

giphy.gif
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To be fair, Trump didn’t blame Biden for the war in Ukraine, he blamed Zelenskyy for starting it so…
 
Last edited:
If you equate the market with the economy, then I guess the answer to the poll was 1 month and 1 day.
So less than 3 months, but not within month
 
I chose 3 months, simply because of the lag between the effect, and reporting of the effect.

200,000 Federal employees have been fired, so far, with many more to come. This does not count those laid off because their companies contracts with the federal government have been cancelled.

The tariffs, both threatened and already in effect, haven't worked through the supply chain to the retail shelf.

It may not be "official" in that Trump may well ban the responsible agencies from reporting actual unemployment, GDP, inflation numbers. It is clear that telling the truth under Trump will either get you fired, sued, or both.
 
Just a reminder which I will have to post regularly. The economy going into the election was according to the right leaning WSJ "remarkable". All the Trump MAGAts will try to claim Biden gave him a bad economy. Meanwhile Biden inherited a shitty economy but idiots blamed Biden
WSJ economy.JPEG
 
Interestingly most of the vote is for within 3 months. I didn’t vote but even 3 months seemed too soon but damn! Looks like I was wrong!
 
MrSquished said:
GDP has now been surpassed by our debt take-on, not seen since WWII. So when does this house of cards implode?

fortune.com

America's never had such high national debt heading into an economic shock. We need a 'break glass' plan, think tank warns | Fortune

The U.S. national debt has reached 100% of GDP—a level not seen since WWII. A leading fiscal watchdog is calling on Congress to build a "Break Glass Plan" before the next crisis hits.
fortune.com fortune.com
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- It's wild as fuck to say this, but the GOP needs another HW Bush.

Deeply imperfect in A LOT of ways, but the only Pub in the last 40 years who had the balls to raise taxes cause Reagan's "Voodoo economics" of deficit spending our way to growth was a really fuckin bad idea and was bound to run out of gas eventually.

Oddly enough I suppose he was the last Pub that launched an offensive war with an actual fucking start/middle/end, so that's timely as well.
 
GodisanAtheist said:
- It's wild as fuck to say this, but the GOP needs another HW Bush.
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The last time there was a Republican with any god damn common sense. Or intelligence.
The GOP is rotten to the core, and shall never produce another intellectual who listens to reason. They are a poison for the mind, body, and spirit of the nation. It's time to recall old yeller.

As for the topic and its consequences. Accelerationists are clearly taking hold, after the whole Iran BS and toppling the world's oil supply. Trump has truly done it now. AI bubble is going to burst, along with the entire house of cards.
 
Looks like the gdp was .7 last quarter

With the war we might go negative next quarter

Stable genius is on the job

GDP (Second Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 | U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 0.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the second estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent.
www.bea.gov www.bea.gov

Next news is the bea will be privatized

I am tired of of winning so I am happy we are getting kicked in the nuts
 
Since I don’t deserve good things and money is everything according to how I was raised by poor in childhood emotionally deprived parents, I am quit collecting Mauviel copper induction cookware. After much soul searching and self abasement at the ridiculous vanity driving that desire for ostentatious display, three pans into my tremulous and hesitant collecting, the tariffs hit. They have become a bridge too far. Sadly, I had to move the fascination with French high end cookware down in a long list of similar priorities. Could it be my Mother didn’t nurse me?

Color me fucked by Trump. Thanks to him the ball room I had planned is going to cost an arm and a leg.
 
LurchFrinky said:
It depends on what you mean by "economy."
If you're talking about GDP, I would say between 3 and 6 months.
For the stock market, less than 3 months.
Some personal and local economies are likely being affected right now.
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Here we are a year later, and obviously my predictions were, uhm, not good.
I honestly struggled with how the stock market could be soooo detached from reality. I mean, I know that stock prices are either purely speculative, or based loosely on company performance, but it seemed to me that company performance should have been taking a hit with the tariffs and the stock market should have reacted. And yet, this didn't seem to be happening.
And then, a couple of months ago, I heard the term "K-shaped economy" and it started to make more sense. Apparently, the upper 10% of earners have been spending enough to keep everything afloat.

It looks like that is no longer going to be enough.
 
LurchFrinky said:
Here we are a year later, and obviously my predictions were, uhm, not good.
I honestly struggled with how the stock market could be soooo detached from reality. I mean, I know that stock prices are either purely speculative, or based loosely on company performance, but it seemed to me that company performance should have been taking a hit with the tariffs and the stock market should have reacted. And yet, this didn't seem to be happening.
And then, a couple of months ago, I heard the term "K-shaped economy" and it started to make more sense. Apparently, the upper 10% of earners have been spending enough to keep everything afloat.

It looks like that is no longer going to be enough.
Click to expand...
A great deal of the Wall Street people live in a fantasy world. The message was always, "don't worry, he'll make a deal, and this will all go away".
 
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