ed21x
Diamond Member
Greetings!
I'll start by listing some sources if anyone is really interested in the topic, will post later also.
Punctuated equilibrium is actually the most recent revision of the evolution model (Biology, Campbell, 6th edition). To quote it in context, "The archaic model of gradual evolution has been replaced by an updated model involving punctuated equilibrium." What punctuated equlibrium infers is that macroevolution occurs in brief spurts of no more than several hundred to up to 3000 years at a time. Thus in such periods, often times of rapid climate change, the formation of new species MUST occur. *note that few transition species are ever found if any, but rather larger striation of sedimentary deposits shows distinct periods where the entire spectrum of species is often vastly different from layers before it (eg, Precambrian to Cambrian was marked by a huge explosion in invertebrate population despite a relatively small separation).
We're not talking about microevolution here, where birds simply grow bigger beaks. That is an accepted fact. We're talking about evolution to the point of reproductive isolation. Relative to mammal reproduction rate and population, a genetic mutation occurs in approximately 1 in 10,000 births. This of course with the frequency of harmful mutation coming in at around 95-99.9% These are all common numbers that any college level textbook can verify. On the very bottom is a book that references to the fact that a 20 year investigation involving heavily encouraged mutation and breeding over several decades brought about over 3000 different mutations on the Drosophila melanogaster. Interestingly enough, not a single mutation was found to have a single beneficiary effect on the population's survival in nature.
One of the more commonly accepted facts is that humans are a branch from other primates. However, the largest primate community (or tribe) has never exceeded more than 100 members. And considering that a mutation in a single organism, however rare it is has a near 99% chance of death, to believe that such mutation even has the remote chance of being the magic key in survivng/reproducing during a catastrophic transition period from one era to the next is damn near preposterous.
To give everyone the benefit of the doubt, we'll now assume that the the transition period is 2000 years. Given 6 billion humans (assume we are all part of the same breeding community =P) there will be aproximately 30 generations. Now take 1/10000 of this number (mutation rate), multiply that by a generous 1% rate that it is not a 'harmful' mutation, and your left with the fate of humanity resting in 6 people per generation (we'll once again assume that they all breed with one another). Assuming 6 people are alive per generation and manage to start a community of 200 people, genetic inbreeding would be the death of humanity. Once again, this is all suppose to occur during a period of catastrophe where huge changes in the enviroment calls for unbelievable compensation stemming from genetics.
Oh by the way, this was streamed off the top of my head in just a few minutes. i'll post more once I lay off the beer :beer:
Dan L. Lindsley and E.H. Grell, Genetic Variations of Drosophila melanogaster, Carnegie Institution of Washington, Publication No. 627
I'll start by listing some sources if anyone is really interested in the topic, will post later also.
Punctuated equilibrium is actually the most recent revision of the evolution model (Biology, Campbell, 6th edition). To quote it in context, "The archaic model of gradual evolution has been replaced by an updated model involving punctuated equilibrium." What punctuated equlibrium infers is that macroevolution occurs in brief spurts of no more than several hundred to up to 3000 years at a time. Thus in such periods, often times of rapid climate change, the formation of new species MUST occur. *note that few transition species are ever found if any, but rather larger striation of sedimentary deposits shows distinct periods where the entire spectrum of species is often vastly different from layers before it (eg, Precambrian to Cambrian was marked by a huge explosion in invertebrate population despite a relatively small separation).
We're not talking about microevolution here, where birds simply grow bigger beaks. That is an accepted fact. We're talking about evolution to the point of reproductive isolation. Relative to mammal reproduction rate and population, a genetic mutation occurs in approximately 1 in 10,000 births. This of course with the frequency of harmful mutation coming in at around 95-99.9% These are all common numbers that any college level textbook can verify. On the very bottom is a book that references to the fact that a 20 year investigation involving heavily encouraged mutation and breeding over several decades brought about over 3000 different mutations on the Drosophila melanogaster. Interestingly enough, not a single mutation was found to have a single beneficiary effect on the population's survival in nature.
One of the more commonly accepted facts is that humans are a branch from other primates. However, the largest primate community (or tribe) has never exceeded more than 100 members. And considering that a mutation in a single organism, however rare it is has a near 99% chance of death, to believe that such mutation even has the remote chance of being the magic key in survivng/reproducing during a catastrophic transition period from one era to the next is damn near preposterous.
To give everyone the benefit of the doubt, we'll now assume that the the transition period is 2000 years. Given 6 billion humans (assume we are all part of the same breeding community =P) there will be aproximately 30 generations. Now take 1/10000 of this number (mutation rate), multiply that by a generous 1% rate that it is not a 'harmful' mutation, and your left with the fate of humanity resting in 6 people per generation (we'll once again assume that they all breed with one another). Assuming 6 people are alive per generation and manage to start a community of 200 people, genetic inbreeding would be the death of humanity. Once again, this is all suppose to occur during a period of catastrophe where huge changes in the enviroment calls for unbelievable compensation stemming from genetics.
Oh by the way, this was streamed off the top of my head in just a few minutes. i'll post more once I lay off the beer :beer:
Dan L. Lindsley and E.H. Grell, Genetic Variations of Drosophila melanogaster, Carnegie Institution of Washington, Publication No. 627